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Recent tendencies of extreme heat events in Italy

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Abstract

Over the last 20 years, several record-breaking events linked to high air temperatures have enhanced the attention over extreme heat phenomena, especially during summer. Both 2022 and 2023 have been exceptional years in this regard. Heat waves, in particular, are a major natural hazard for the most fragile groups of the population. In order to address the points of impact, adaptation and future predictions, a quantitative analysis of all their specific aspects is necessary. These include the monitoring of their changes over time. This study consists of a comprehensive analysis at national level of several air temperature-extremes indices over Italy, including those specifically related to heat waves. The dataset is based upon a set of high quality daily maximum and minimum air temperature records, from more than 250 ground-based weather stations. The time frame considered ranges from 1991 to 2020, providing information about the present Italian climate. Two analyses are reported. One is targeted to find local features and is based on single stations data. The second one looks for a global signal related to heat extremes. The double level of the information (local and global) can be very useful in the comparison of results. The two methods are in agreement in describing an increasing presence of heat extremes, in terms of overall frequency, duration and intensity. Some areas appear as hot spots for the observed tendencies.

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Data Availability

The dataset used in the current study has been selected from the SCIA-ISPRA system. Most of it is publicly available and can be accessed at scia.isprambiente.it. In respect of the policy of each data provider, some data are not accessible through the SCIA website and are either available through the regional websites or should be requested directly to the data owners.

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Funding

The authors declare that no funds, grants, or other support were received during the preparation of this manuscript.

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Contributions

All authors contributed to the study conception and design. Material preparation was performed by EP and GS. Data collection and processing were performed by PF, FL, WP, EP and GS. The analysis was performed by GS. The first draft of the manuscript was written by GS and all authors commented on previous versions of the manuscript. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.

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Correspondence to Giulio Settanta.

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The authors declare no competing interests.

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Settanta, G., Fraschetti, P., Lena, F. et al. Recent tendencies of extreme heat events in Italy. Theor Appl Climatol 155, 7335–7348 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-024-05063-w

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-024-05063-w

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