Abstract
The freezing index (FI) is one of the most important indicators that shows the variation of permafrost. However, the relationship between climate change and the thermal conditions of permafrost is not understood well. This study analyzed the variation of FI based on 5-cm soil temperature derived from 74 meteorological stations from 1977 to 2016 on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP). Furthermore, the factors affecting the FI variation and its relationship with permafrost degradation were also discussed. The results showed that FI was much smaller in the interior than other areas of the QTP, and it increased at a rate of 53.0 °C d/10a during the 40 years. FI in the main body of the QTP was relatively stable than surrounding areas; it was more stable in the northern part than in the southern part. On average, the FI variation coefficient was larger than 10%, indicating the large fluctuation of FI during the 40 years. FI decreased with the increasing altitude; it was more sensitive to the altitude in the south of 33° N than in the north. The variation of FI was closely related to the maximum freezing depth (MFD) and the active layer thickness (ALT). It was observed that MFD decreased and ALT increased by approximately 1.4 cm and 1.6 cm, respectively, with each 10.0 °C d increase in FI. The results exhibited the thermal condition variation of the permafrost in QTP and revealed a degrading trend of the permafrost.
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The data that support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author, upon reasonable request.
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Acknowledgements
The authors thank Miss Lynn Everett for her help to improve language.
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This research was funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (42071093), the National Key Research and Development Program of China (2020YFA0608502), the State Key Laboratory of Cryospheric Science (SKLCS-ZZ-2023), the National Natural Science Foundation of China (41941015; 41671070), and the Natural Science Foundation of Gansu Province (22JR5RA061, 22JR5RA054, and 21JR7RA063).
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Li, R., Ma, J., Wu, T. et al. The spatiotemporal variations of freezing index and its relationship with permafrost degradation over the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau from 1977 to 2016. Theor Appl Climatol 155, 985–998 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-023-04672-1
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-023-04672-1