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A study on the spatial and temporal evolution of multi-year extreme precipitation in the Huaihe River Basin

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Abstract

The scientific analysis of the precipitation evolution characteristics of watersheds is of great value and significance in revealing the spatial and temporal patterns of regional precipitation and in predicting flooding and climate. Based on precipitation data from 45 meteorological stations in the Huaihe River basin from 1960 to 2019, 12 extreme precipitation indices were selected, and ESMD-R-MK trend analysis and cross-wavelet transform were used to study-in-depth the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics of extreme precipitation in the Huaihe River basin and its relationship with sunspots and atmospheric circulation anomalies factors. The results of the study show that between 1960 and 2019, the extreme rainfall indices in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River basin, except for CDD and CWD, all followed a decreasing and then increasing trend, with a significant increase in rainfall at a rate of 33.3 mm/10 years since 1990. With a design return period of 20 years, all the extreme precipitation indices, except CDD and CWD, show a semi-annular trend of decreasing from the southeastern part of the basin to the third side, and most of the extreme precipitation indices show a significant upward trend in the Gaoyou Lake basin, the lower reaches of the Huai River and the Hongze Lake basin; some of the anomalous distributions may be related to topographic factors; sunspots and atmospheric circulation anomalies have a strong influence on the changes of extreme precipitation.

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Data availability

Data and materials are available from the corresponding author upon request.

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Funding

The authors wish to thank the Key Scientific Research Project of Colleges and Universities in Henan Province (CN) [grant number 17A5700041 for the collection, analysis, and interpretation of data.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Water Conservancy College, North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power, Zhengzhou, 450046, China

    Xianqi Zhang, Yimeng Xiao, Kai Wang & Tao Wang

  2. Collaborative Innovation Center of Water Resources Efficient Utilization and Protection Engineering, Zhengzhou, 450046, China

    Xianqi Zhang

  3. Technology Research Center of Water Conservancy and Marine Traffic Engineering, Henan Province, Zhengzhou, 450046, China

    Xianqi Zhang

Authors
  1. Xianqi Zhang
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  2. Yimeng Xiao
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  3. Kai Wang
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  4. Tao Wang
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Corresponding author

Correspondence to Kai Wang.

Ethics declarations

In this paper, we mainly consider the influence of ENSO, PDO, and sunspots on the extreme precipitation in the basin, but the influence of precipitation is not strong in some years during the analysis, which indicates that there may be other influences on the change of extreme precipitation to some extent, but they are not taken into account and there are some shortcomings.

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Zhang, X., Xiao, Y., Wang, K. et al. A study on the spatial and temporal evolution of multi-year extreme precipitation in the Huaihe River Basin. Theor Appl Climatol 152, 397–405 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-023-04416-1

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-023-04416-1

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