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Analysis of the July 2021 extreme precipitation in Henan using the novel moisture budget equation

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Abstract

In this study, we use the moisture budget equation and the three-pattern decomposition of global atmospheric circulation to analyze the extreme precipitation in Henan Province that occurred from 17 to 22 July 2021. The results obtained from the moisture budget equation show that the dynamic and thermodynamic terms can explain 75% and 22% of the anomalous precipitation, respectively, while the residual term only explains 3%. Changes in divergence (advection) are the main contributor to the dynamic (thermodynamic) term, which can explain 80% (22%) of the anomalous precipitation. Further analysis based on the novel moisture budget equation shows that the contributions of the horizontal, meridional, and zonal circulations to the anomalous precipitation caused by the dynamic term induced by divergence and thermodynamic term induced by advection are 13%, 13%, and 76%, respectively, suggesting the dominant role of zonal circulation in causing this anomalous precipitation. The underlying physical mechanism of horizontal, meridional, and zonal circulations in causing this anomalous precipitation was also studied.

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Data availability

The hourly rainfall data and atmospheric variables from ERA5 data were available at https://cds.climate.copernicus.eu/cdsapp#!/search?text=ERA5&type=-dataset.

Code availability

The code analyzed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.

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Funding

This work was funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (42130610, 42005012, 41975088), the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province (BK20201058), the National Key Research and Development Program of China (2017YFC1502303), and the School-level research projects of Yancheng Institute of Technology (xjr2020022).

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All authors contributed to the study conception and design. JC performed the analysis and wrote the manuscript. YZ performed the analysis. RZ revised the manuscript. GF provided guidance and revised the manuscript.

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Correspondence to Rong Zhi or Guolin Feng.

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The authors declare no competing interests.

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Cheng, J., Zhao, Y., Zhi, R. et al. Analysis of the July 2021 extreme precipitation in Henan using the novel moisture budget equation. Theor Appl Climatol 149, 15–24 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-022-04022-7

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-022-04022-7

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