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Performance evaluation and bias correction of gridded precipitation products over Arun River Basin in Nepal for hydrological applications

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Abstract

An accurate estimation of precipitation amount is crucial for various studies and planning related to water resource management, effective flood prediction and warning systems, agriculture, climatic research, and disaster risk management. However, due to the sparse and uneven distribution of ground-based precipitation gauges over rugged terrain, accurate and consistent measurement is inadequate in many developing and mountainous countries like Nepal. Therefore, satellite-based precipitation products (SPPs) and interpolation-based gridded data are considered as a vital source of precipitation estimation, which may serve as crucial inputs for a wide range of hydrological applications. However, in the absence of quality assessment, applications of these products pose uncertainty. This study evaluated the performance of three SPPs, i.e., CHIRPS V2.0, PERSIANN CDR, and MSWEP V2.8, and a ground-based gridded precipitation product APHRODITE on daily, monthly, and annual scales at ten rain gauges over the Arun River Basin. The performance of the precipitation products was evaluated from 1983 to 2014 using several statistical categorical and continuous indices. Our results show APHRODITE and MSWEP V2.8 are comparatively better than CHIRPS V2.0 and PERSIANN CDR in the study area. We finally applied the bias correction of the selected products using a linear scaling method, where daily precipitation data were corrected using a monthly correction factor. We find all SPPs have improved after the bias correction. The method is scalable and applicable in other river basins across the country and beyond Nepal.

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Availability of data and material

The collection of daily rainfall datasets at the selected precipitation stations was done from the Department of Hydrology and Meteorology (DHM), Nepal (http://www.dhm.gov.np). The data is not available publicly. These data have to be purchased (http://dhm.gov.np/pricelist.html) and used by the person(s)/institution for the sole purpose of their work as authorized by the DHM. The data cannot be used for commercial purposes. Sources of chosen satellite-based precipitation products are mentioned in the text.

Code availability

This study does not employ any customized code. All tools used in this study are mentioned in the Data and Methodology section.

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Acknowledgements

We want to extend our gratitude to the Department of Hydrology and Meteorology, Nepal, for providing us the valuable datasets of the observed rain gauge stations. We would also like to thank the developer of all four SPPs, for providing free downloadable daily precipitation datasets.

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Authors

Contributions

SD, RT, and VPP visualized the research work; SD formulated the methodology and analyzed the data; RT helped in coding done in Python; RT and VPP supervised the research work; SD wrote the original draft report; and RT and VPP helped in reviewing and editing. All authors have reviewed and approved the manuscript.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Vishnu Prasad Pandey.

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The authors declare no competing interests.

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Dangol, S., Talchabhadel, R. & Pandey, V.P. Performance evaluation and bias correction of gridded precipitation products over Arun River Basin in Nepal for hydrological applications. Theor Appl Climatol 148, 1353–1372 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-022-04001-y

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-022-04001-y

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