Abstract
Vegetation is an indicator of changes in the ecological environment and a key source of feedback on the impact of drought. In this work we selected northern China as the study area and used the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) and the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) to assess the relationship between drought and vegetation dynamics at annual and seasonal scales for the period 1982–2015. The results indicated that annual drought showed a slight increase in northern China during this time, and it was mainly attributed to the intensified summer drought; the percentages of areas where significant drying, drying, wetting, and significant wetting occurred accounted for 3.30%, 53.36%, 40.39%, and 2.95%, respectively. Annual NDVI showed a highly significant (p < 0.01) upward trend in northern China, suggesting that vegetation there is greening. However, there was still a significant decrease in the NDVI trend in 13.65% of the study area, and forest accounted for the greatest area among the three land cover types studied. A positive correlation between annual SPEI and annual NDVI was found in most of northern China, and 18.66% of the study area (p < 0.05) were mainly distributed in the central-eastern part of Inner Mongolia, the central part of the Loess Plateau, and northwestern part of Xinjiang Province. Residual analysis found that the percentages of vegetation dynamics affected by human-induced degradation, human-induced improvement, and drought accounted for 13.91%, 47.91%, and 38.18%, respectively; however, 54.15% of the areas affected by drought were located in arid and semi-arid regions and that about 54.61% of those were grassland. The work could provide guidance for vegetation construction and water resource management in northern China.
Similar content being viewed by others
Data availability
The NDVI3g dataset was downloaded from the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) observation instruments by the Global Inventory Modeling and Mapping Studies (GIMMS) group (http://ecocast.arc.nasa.gov). The standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) dataset (SPEI base v2.5) was obtained from the SPEI library (http://digital.csic.es/handle/10261/153475). The land cover data was extracted from the Global Land Cover 2000 database (https://forobs.jrc. ec.europa.eu/products/glc2000/products.php).
Code availability
Not applicable.
References
Beguería S, Vicente-Serrano SM, Reig F, Latorre B (2014) Standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) revisited: parameter fitting, evapotranspiration models, tools, datasets and drought monitoring. Int J Climatol 34:3001–3023. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3887
Dai AG (2011) Drought under global warming: a review. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change 2:45–65. https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.81
Evans J, Geerken R (2004) Discrimination between climate and human-induced dryland degradation. J Arid Environ 57(4):535–554
Geng GP et al (2016) Agricultural drought hazard analysis during 1980–2008: a global perspective. International Journal of Climatology 36:389–399. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4356
Gouveia CM, Trigo RM, Beguería S, Vicente-Serrano SM (2017) Drought impacts on vegetation activity in the Mediterranean region: An assessment using remote sensing data and multi-scale drought indicators. Global Planet Change 151:15–27. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2016.06.011
Guo H, Bao AM, Liu T, Jiapaer G, Ndayisaba F, Jiang LL, Kurban A, Maeyer PD (2018) Spatial and temporal characteristics of droughts in Central Asia during 1966–2015. Sci Total Environ 624:1523–1538. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.12.120
Herrmann SM, Anyamba A, Tucker CJ (2005) Recent trends in vegetation dynamics in the African Sahel and their relationship to climate. Glob Environ Chang 15(4):394–404. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2005.08.004
Huang QZ, Zhang Q, Singh VP, Shi PJ, Zheng YJ (2017) Variations of dryness/wetness across China: Changing properties, drought risks, and causes. Global Planet Change 155:1–12. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2017.05.010
Jiang L, Jiapaer G, Bao A, Guo H, Ndayisaba F (2017) Vegetation dynamics and responses to climate change and human activities in Central Asia. Sci Total Environ 599–600:967–980. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.05.012
Jiang YL, Wang RH, Peng Q, Wu XQ, Ning HS, Li C (2018) The relationship between drought activity and vegetation cover in Northwest China from 1982 to 2013. Nat Hazards 92:145–163. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-018-3282-3
Jiang WX, Wang LC, Feng L, Zhang M, Yao R (2020) Drought characteristics and its impact on changes in surface vegetation from 1981 to 2015 in the Yangtze River Basin, China. Int J Climatol 40:3380–3397. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6403
Kallis G (2008) Droughts. Annu Rev Environ Resour 33:85–118. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.environ.33.081307.123117
Li CL, Filho WL, Yin J, Hu RC, Wang J, Yang CS, Yin S, Bao YH, Ayal DY (2018) Assessing vegetation response to multi-time-scale drought across inner Mongolia plateau. J Clean Prod 179:210–216. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.01.113
Li XY, Li Y, Chen AP, Gao MD, Slette IJ, Piao SL (2019) The impact of the 2009/2010 drought on vegetation growth and terrestrial carbon balance in Southwest China. Agric for Meteorol 269–270:239–248. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2019.01.036
Li KW, Tong ZJ, Liu XP, Zhang JQ, Tong SQ (2020) Quantitative assessment and driving force analysis of vegetation drought risk to climate change: Methodology and application in Northeast China. Agric for Meteorol 282–283:1–12. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2019.107865
Liu ZJ, Liu YS, Li YR (2018) Anthropogenic contributions dominate trends of vegetation cover change over the farming-pastoral ecotone of northern China. Ecol Indic 95:370–378. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2018.07.063
Lu YH, Zhang LW, Feng XM, Zhang Y, Fu BJ, Yao XL, Li JR, Wu BF (2015) Recent ecological transitions in China: greening, browning, and influential factors. Sci Rep 5:8732. https://doi.org/10.1038/srep08732
McKee TB, Doesken NJ, Kleist J (1993) The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scales. In: Proceedings of the 8th Conference on Applied Climatology vol 22. Boston, pp 179–183
Mishra AK, Singh VP (2010) A review of drought concepts. J Hydrol 391:202–216. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2010.07.012
Okin GS, Dong C, Willis KS, Gillespie TW, MacDonald GM (2018) The Impact of Drought on Native Southern California Vegetation: Remote Sensing Analysis Using MODIS-Derived Time Series. J Geophys Res Biogeosci 123:1927–1939. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018jg004485
Palmer WC (1965) Meteorological drought, U.S. Research Paper No. 45 US Weather Bureau, Washington, DC
Pan NQ, Feng XM, Fu BJ, Wang S, Ji F, Pan SF (2018) Increasing global vegetation browning hidden in overall vegetation greening: Insights from time-varying trends. Remote Sens Environ 214:59–72. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2018.05.018
Pinzon JE, Tucker CJ (2014) A non-stationary 1981–2012 AVHRR NDVI3g time series. Remote Sensing 6:6929–6960
Sheffield J, Wood EF, Roderick ML (2012) Little change in global drought over the past 60 years. Nature 491:435–438. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature11575
Shi Y, Jin N, Ma X, Wu BY, He QS, Yue C, Yu Q (2020) Attribution of climate and human activities to vegetation change in China using machine learning techniques. Agric for Meteorol 294:108146. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2020.108146
Spinoni J, Naumann G, Vogt JV (2017) Pan-European seasonal trends and recent changes of drought frequency and severity. Global Planet Change 148:113–130. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2016.11.013
Su BD et al (2018) Drought losses in China might double between the 1.5 ℃ and 2.0 ℃ warming. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 115:10600–10605. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1802129115
Vicente-Serrano SM, Beguería S, López-Moreno JI (2010) A Multiscalar Drought Index Sensitive to Global Warming: The Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index. J Clim 23:1696–1718. https://doi.org/10.1175/2009jcli2909.1
Vicente-Serrano SM, Gouveia C, Camarero JJ, Beguería S, Trigo R, López-Moreno JI, Azorín-Molina C, Pasho E, Lorenzo-Lacruz J, Revuelto J, Morán-Tejeda E, Sanchez-Lorenzo A (2013) Response of vegetation to drought time-scales across global land biomes. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 110:52–57. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1207068110
Wang H, Liu GH, Li ZS, Ye X, Fu BJ, LuYH, (2018) Impacts of Drought and Human Activity on Vegetation Growth in the Grain for Green Program Region, China. Chin Geogra Sci 28:470–481. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11769-018-0952-8
Wang WJ, Guo B, Zhang YQ, Zhang LG, Ji M, Xu Y, Zhang XL, Zhang YW (2021) The sensitivity of the SPEI to potential evapotranspiration and precipitation at multiple timescales on the Huang-Huai-Hai Plain, China. Theoret Appl Climatol 143:87–99. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-020-03394-y
Wu Z, Wu J, He B, Liu JH, Wang QF, Zhang H, Liu Y (2014) Drought offset ecological restoration program-induced increase in vegetation activity in the Beijing-Tianjin sand source region, China. Environ Sci Technol 48:12108–12117. https://doi.org/10.1021/es502408n
Wu XC, Liu HY, Li XY, Ciais P, Babst F, Guo WC, Zhang CC, Magliulo V, Pavelka M, Liu SM, Huang YM, Wang P, Shi CM, Ma YJ (2018) Differentiating drought legacy effects on vegetation growth over the temperate Northern Hemisphere. Glob Chang Biol 24:504–516. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13920
Xu HJ, Wang XP, Zhao CY, Yang XM (2018a) Diverse responses of vegetation growth to meteorological drought across climate zones and land biomes in northern China from 1981 to 2014. Agric for Meteorol 262:1–13. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2018.06.027
Xu L, Chen NC, Zhang X (2018b) Global drought trends under 1.5 and 2 °C warming. Int J Climatol 39:2375–2385. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5958
Xu CG, McDowell NG, Fisher RA, Wei L, Sevanto S, Christoffersen BO, Wang ES, Middleton RS (2019) Increasing impacts of extreme droughts on vegetation productivity under climate change. Nat Clim Chang 9:948–953. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-019-0630-6
Xu H, Wang X, Zhao C, Yang X (2020) Assessing the response of vegetation photosynthesis to meteorological drought across Northern China. Land Degrad Dev 32(1):20–34. https://doi.org/10.1002/ldr.3701
Yao N, Li Y, Lei TJ, Peng LL (2018) Drought evolution, severity and trends in mainland China over 1961–2013. Sci Total Environ 616–617:73–89. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.10.327
Zhang Q, Kong DD, Singh VP, Shi PJ (2017) Response of vegetation to different time-scales drought across China: Spatiotemporal patterns, causes and implications. Global Planet Change 152:1–11. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2017.02.008
Zhao AZ, Zhang AB, Liu JH, Feng LL, Zhao YL (2019) Assessing the effects of drought and “Grain for Green” Program on vegetation dynamics in China’s Loess Plateau from 2000 to 2014. CATENA 175:446–455. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2019.01.013
Zheng JY, Bian JJ, Ge QS, Hao ZX, Yin YH, Liao YM (2013) The climate regionalization in China for 1981–2010. Chin Sci Bull 58:3088–3099
Zhou QW, Luo Y, Zhou X, Cai MY, Zhao CW (2018) Response of vegetation to water balance conditions at different time scales across the karst area of southwestern China-A remote sensing approach. Sci Total Environ 645:460–470. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.07.148
Zhou ZQ, Ding YB, Shi HY, Cai HJ, Fu Q, Liu SN, Li TX (2020) Analysis and prediction of vegetation dynamic changes in China: Past, present and future. Ecological Indicators 117:1–11. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2020.106642
Acknowledgements
We would like to thank Editage (www.editage.cn) for English language editing.
Funding
This work was jointly supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant numbers: 41807503), the Scientific Research Project of Education Department of Shaanxi Provincial Government (21JK0771), and the Start-up Fund Project of Xi’an University of Science and Technology (Grant number: 2017QDJ030).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Contributions
Conceptualization, methodology, and writing: Guangpo Geng. Data analysis and editing: Hongkui Zhou and Tao Wang. All authors contributed to the drafting and revision of the manuscript.
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Ethics approval
There are no ethical issues in this paper.
Consent to participate and consent for publication
All the authors have consent to participate and also for publication.
Conflicts of interest
The authors declare no competing interests.
Additional information
Publisher’s note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Geng, G., Zhou, H. & Wang, T. Assessing the relationship between drought and vegetation dynamics in northern China during 1982–2015. Theor Appl Climatol 148, 467–479 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-022-03956-2
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-022-03956-2