Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Comparative assessment of farmers’ perceptions on drought impacts: the case of a coastal lowland versus adjoining mountain foreland region of northern Iran

  • Original Paper
  • Published:
Theoretical and Applied Climatology Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Agricultural activities are considered the most important source of income for ~ 23% of the population in Mazandaran Province, Iran. However, farming activities are overwhelmingly exposed to the detrimental impacts of drought in this region. The purpose of this paper is to establish differences in farmers’ perceptions on the effects of drought on social, economic, and environmental activities between coastal lowland and inland mountain foreland regions. Our research focuses on rural farming communities residing in the towns of Chalus (coastal plain adjacent to the Caspian Sea) and Kelardasht (Alborz mountain foreland). In 2019, questionnaires were distributed to villagers, and subsequently completed by household heads. Sample size was determined using Cochran, with 384 responses per sub-region. Results obtained by statistical analyses using SPSS indicate that farmers in the coastal region perceived stronger drought impacts on food security, agriculture, economy, education, immigration, and the natural environment than those in the adjoining mountainous region. The study demonstrates how location over relatively small distance, but different in topography, distance from the coast, climate, infrastructural development, and societal factors, has profound impact of people’s perceptions to, and experiences of, drought in northern Iran.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7
Fig. 8
Fig. 9
Fig. 10
Fig. 11

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Akbari M, Ownegh M, Asgari H, Sadoddin A, Khosravi H (2016) Drought monitoring based on the SPI and RDI indices under climate change scenarios (case study: semi-arid areas of west Golestan Province). IQBQ 4(4):1585–1602

    Google Scholar 

  • Ardakanian R (2005) Overview of water management in Iran. In: Policies and Strategic Options for Water Management in the Islamic Countries: Proceedings of the Symposium organized by the Regional Centre on Urban Water Management (RCUWM-Tehran), 15–16 December 2003, Tehran. Islamic Republic of Iran, IHP-VI Technical Document in Hydrology No. 73. UNESCO (ed.). UNESCO, Paris, pp. 98–110

  • Azmi A, Mirzaei Ghaleh F, Darvishi S (2014) Situation of Domestic knowledge in Natural Hazards Management in Villages (Case study: Shirz District, Harsin County). Geography and environmental Hazards 4(1):23–39

    Google Scholar 

  • Babugura AA (2008) Vulnerability of children and youth in drought disasters: a case study of Botswana. Child Youth Environ 18(1):126–157

    Google Scholar 

  • Barghi H, Bazrafshan J, Shayan M (2018) The assessment and identify the impact of drought in rural area (Feredounshar county). J Nat Environ Hazards 7(15):143–162

    Google Scholar 

  • Behforuz F (1991) Study of environmental perception and behavior in the realm of behavioral geography and human geography studies contemporary, pp. 70–31, Institute for Humanities and Cultural Studies

  • Caldwell K, Boyd CP (2009) Coping and resilience in farming families affected by drought. Rural Remote Health 9(2):1088

    Google Scholar 

  • Capra A, Consoli S, Scicolone B (2013) Long-term climatic variability in Calabria and effects on drought and agrometeorological parameters. Water Resour Manag 27:601–661

    Google Scholar 

  • Deressa TT, Hassan RM, Ringler C (2011) Perception of and adaptation to climate change by farmers in the Nile basin of Ethiopia. J Agric Sci 149(01):23–31

    Google Scholar 

  • Edwards B, Gray M, Hunter B (2009a) A sunburnt country: the economic and financial impact of drought on rural and regional families in Australia in an era of climate change. Aust J Labour Econ 12(1):109–131

    Google Scholar 

  • Edwards B, Gray M, Hunter B, Country S (2009b) The economic and financial impact of drought on rural and regional families in Australia in an era of climate change. Aust J Labour Econ 12:109–131

    Google Scholar 

  • Emadodin I, Reinsch T, Taube F (2019) Drought and desertification in Iran. Hydrology 6(3):66

    Google Scholar 

  • Ensafi Moghaddam T (2007) An investigation and assessment of climatological indices and determination of suitable index for climatological droughts in the Salt Lake Basin of Iran. Iran J Range Desert Res 14:271–288

    Google Scholar 

  • Food Agriculture Organization (FAO) (2008) Helping to build a world without hunger, summary fact sheet, Islamic Republic of Iran, Aqua Stat, Global Information System on Water and Agriculture. Profile as published in Water Report No. 34. AQUASTAT, Rome, Italy

  • Gartaula H, Niehof A, Visser L (2012) Shifting perceptions of food security and land in the context of labour out-migration in rural Nepal. Food Secur 4(2):181–194

    Google Scholar 

  • Gizaw MS, Gan TY (2017) Impact of climate change and El Niño episodes on droughts in sub-Saharan Africa. Clim Dyn 49(1–2):665–682

    Google Scholar 

  • Godfray HCJ, Crute IR, Haddad L, Lawrence D, Muir JF, Nisbett N, Pretty J, Robinson S, Toulmin C, Whiteley R (2010) The future of the global food system. Philos Trans R Soc B 365:2769–2777

    Google Scholar 

  • Gornall J, Betts R, Burke E, Clark R, Camp J, Willett K, Wiltshire A (2010) Implications of climate change for agricultural productivity in the early twenty-first century. Philos Trans R Soc B 365:2973–2989

    Google Scholar 

  • Gray C, Mueller V (2012) Drought and population mobility in rural Ethiopia. World Dev 40(1):134–145

    Google Scholar 

  • Hiwasaki L, Luna E, Marçal JA (2015) Local and indigenous knowledge on climate-related hazards of coastal and small island communities in Southeast Asia. Clim Chang 128(1–2):35–56

    Google Scholar 

  • Hu Q, Luo Y, Zhou D, Xu Y-P, Wang G, Gao H (2019) Drought monitoring utility using satellite-based precipitation products over the Xiang River Basin in China. Remote Sens 11(12):1483

    Google Scholar 

  • Kelly PM, Adger WN (2000) Theory and practice in assessing vulnerability to climate change and facilitating adaptation. Clim Chang 47(4):325–352

    Google Scholar 

  • Keshavarz M, Karami E (2013) Institutional adaptation to drought: the case of Fars Agricultural Organization. J Environ Manag 127:61–68

    Google Scholar 

  • Keshavarz M, Karami E (2014) Farmers’ decision-making process under drought. J Arid Environ 108:43e56

    Google Scholar 

  • Keshavarz M, Karami E, Vanclayb F (2013) The social experience of drought in rural Iran. Land Use Policy 30:120–129

    Google Scholar 

  • Keshavarza M, Maleksaeidi H, Karami E (2017) Livelihood vulnerability to drought: a case of rural Iran. Int J Disaster Risk Reduction 21:223–230

    Google Scholar 

  • Khayyati M, Aazami M (2016) Drought impact assessment on rural livelihood systems in Iran. Ecological Indicators 69:850–858

    Google Scholar 

  • Lei Y, Zhang H, Chenc F, Zhang L (2016) How rural land use management facilitates drought risk adaptation in a changing climate, a case study in arid northern China. Sci Total Environ 550:192–199

    Google Scholar 

  • Madani K, AghaKouchak A, Mirchi A (2016) Iran’s socio-economic drought: challenges of a water-bankrupt nation. Iran Stud 49(6):997–1016

    Google Scholar 

  • McKee TB, Doesken NJ, Kleist J. 1993 The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scales. Proceedings of the 8th Conference on Applied Climatology, American Meteorological Society, Boston 179–184

  • McKee TB, Doesken NJ, Kleist J. 1995. Drought monitoring with multiple time scales. Preprints, 9th Conference on Applied Climatology, 15-20 January, Dallas, Texas, American Meteorological Society: 233–236

  • Mercer J, Kelman I, Taranis L, Suchet-Pearson S (2010) Framework for integrating indigenous and scientific knowledge for disaster risk reduction. Disasters 34(1):214–239

    Google Scholar 

  • Mishra AK, Singh VP (2010) A review of drought concepts. J Hydrol 391(1–2):202–216

    Google Scholar 

  • Naserzadeh MH, Ahmadi E (2012) Study of meteorological drought index in drought monitoring and mapping in Qazvin province. Geogr Sci Appl Res J 27:141–162

    Google Scholar 

  • Nyanga PH, Johnsen FH, Aune JB (2011) Smallholder farmers’ perception of climate change and conservation agriculture: evidence from Zambia. J Sustain Dev 4(4):73–85

    Google Scholar 

  • Pak-Uthai S, Faysse N (2018) The risk of second-best adaptive measures: farmers facing drought in Thailand. Int J Disaster Risk Reduction 28:711–719

    Google Scholar 

  • Razaghian H, Kaka K, Rahman Ali H, Ahmad K (2014) The study of climate change in Mazandaran Province using the limit indices of temperature and precipitation. J Biodivers Environ Sci 5(1):14–22

    Google Scholar 

  • Roshan G, Ghanghermeh A, Grab SW (2018) Testing a new application for TOPSIS: monitoring drought and wet periods in Iran. Theor Appl Climatol 131:557–571

    Google Scholar 

  • Roshan Gh, Moghbel M, Attia Sh (2020) Evaluating the wind cooling potential on outdoor thermal comfort in selected Iranian climate types. J Therm Biol 92(102660):1–13

    Google Scholar 

  • Shahabfar L, Ghulam A, Eitzinger J (2012) Drought monitoring in Iran using the perpendicular drought indices. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geo information 18:119–127

    Google Scholar 

  • Sharafi H (2015) Foundations of cultural geography, Kerman Shahid Bahonar University

  • Slegers MFW (2008) “If only it would rain”: farmers’ perceptions of rainfall and drought in semi-arid central Tanzania. J Arid Environ 72(11):2106–2123

    Google Scholar 

  • Solh M, vanGinkel M (2014) Drought preparedness and drought mitigation in the developing world's drylands. Weather Clim Extremes 3:62–66

    Google Scholar 

  • Spinoni J, Naumann G, Carrao H, Barbosa P, Vogt J (2014) World drought frequency, duration, and severity for 1951–2010. Int J Climatol 34(8):2792–2804

    Google Scholar 

  • Summary for policymakers (2007) In: Parry ML, Canziani OF, Palutikof JP, van der Linden PJ, Hanson CE (eds) Climate change 2007: impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. Contribution of working group II to the fourth assessment report of The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge

    Google Scholar 

  • Trinh TQ, Rañola RF Jr, Camachoc L, D., Simeltond, E., (2018) Determinants of farmers’ adaptation to climate change in agricultural production in the central region of Vietnam. Land Use Policy 70:224–231

    Google Scholar 

  • Tirivarombo S, Osupile D, Eliasson P (2018) Drought monitoring and analysis: Standardised Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) and Standardised Precipitation Index (SPI). Phys Chem Earth Parts A/B/C 106:1–10

    Google Scholar 

  • Tsakirisa G (2016) Proactive Planning against Droughts, International Conference on Efficient & Sustainable Water Systems Management toward Worth Living Development. 2nd EWaS 2016. Procedia Eng 162:15–24

    Google Scholar 

  • Udmale P, Ichikawa Y, Manandhar S, Ishidaira H, Kiem A (2014) Farmers' perception of drought impacts, local adaptation and administrative mitigation measures in Maharashtra State, India. Int J Disaster Risk Reduction 10:250–269

    Google Scholar 

  • Urquijo J, De Stefano L (2015) Perception of drought and local responses by farmers: a perspective from the Jucar River Basin, Spain. Water Resour Manag 30(2):577–591

    Google Scholar 

  • Vasseur DA, DeLong JP, Gilbert B, Greig HS, Harley CD, McCann KS, Savage V, Tunney TD, O'Connor MI (2014) Increased temperature variation poses a greater risk to species than climate warming. Proc R Soc B 281(1779):20132612

    Google Scholar 

  • Yazdanpanah M, Rahimi Feyzabada F, Forouzania M, Mohammadzadeh S, Burtonc RJF (2015) Predicting farmers’ water conservation goals and behavior in Iran: A test of social cognitive theory. Land Use Policy 47(2015):401–407

    Google Scholar 

  • Zarafshani K, Sharafi L, Azadi H, Hosseini Nia GH, De Maeyer F, Witlox F (2012) Drought vulnerability assessment: the case of wheat farmers in Western Iran. Glob Planet Chang 98–99:122–130

    Google Scholar 

  • Zarei R, Sarajian M, Bazgeer S (2013) Monitoring meteorological drought in Iran using remote sensing and drought indices. Deserts 18(1):89–97

    Google Scholar 

  • Zhang Q, Li J, Singh VP, Bai Y (2012) SPI-based evaluation of drought events in Xinjiang, China. Nat Hazards 64(1):481–492

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Gholamreza Roshan.

Additional information

Publisher’s note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Electronic supplementary material

ESM 1

(DOCX 24 kb)

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Hesam, M., Roshan, G., Grab, S.W. et al. Comparative assessment of farmers’ perceptions on drought impacts: the case of a coastal lowland versus adjoining mountain foreland region of northern Iran. Theor Appl Climatol 143, 489–503 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-020-03432-9

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-020-03432-9

Navigation