Skip to main content

Advertisement

SpringerLink
Log in

Temperature variations in Central Italy (Marche region) and effects on wine grape production

  • Original Paper
  • Published:
Theoretical and Applied Climatology Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

The analysis of temperatures in this historical moment characterized by human-induced climate changes is becoming increasingly important. This study aims to accurately assess the change in temperatures over the past 50 years through the evaluation of 3 climatological standard normals. The pilot project was developed on the Marche region, an area on the Adriatic coast of Central Italy, and analyses climate change from a spatial point of view making extensive use of GIS software. The second purpose of this research is the evaluation of the relationship between the variation in the production quantities of wine grapes, a crop of value for the economy of this region, and the changes in average temperature. Obviously this study aims to provide a starting point for research that can also be applied to other territories, depending on the valuable crops possessed. The analysis showed a rise in temperatures from the past to the present; in fact comparing the period 1971–1990 with 2001–2020, there has been an increase of more than 0.5 °C on average although comparing the years 1981–1990 and 2011–2020, it has very weakened with a growth of only 0.1 °C. In this context, the influence that temperature can exert on Vitis vinifera has been evaluated with an inverse correlation. In fact, a higher temperature leads especially in all months except September to a decrease in production. This study could in the future calculate the optimal development temperatures for the different Vitis vinifera cultivars, not through the study of phenological phases but through production data. This analysis makes it increasingly clear how climate change can have enormous effects on the economy and on human life.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Log in via an institution

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Akbari H, Cartalis C, Kolokotsa D, Muscio A, Pisello AL, Rossi F et al (2016) Local climate change and urban heat island mitigation techniques–the state of the art. J Civ Eng Manag 22(1):1–16. https://doi.org/10.3846/13923730.2015.1111934

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Alexandersson H (1986) A homogeneity test applied to precipitation data. Int J Climatol 6(6):661–675. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3370060607

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Appiotti F, Krželj M, Russo A, Ferretti M, Bastianini M, Marincioni F (2014) A multidisciplinary study on the effects of climate change in the northern Adriatic sea and the Marche region (Central Italy). Reg Environ Chang 14(5):2007–2024. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-013-0451-5

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Arguez A, Durre I, Applequist S, Vose RS, Squires MF, Yin X et al (2012) NOAA's 1981–2010 US climate normals: an overview. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 93(11):1687–1697. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00197.1

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Colombo T, Pelino V, Vergari S, Cristofanelli P, Bonasoni P (2007) Study of temperature and precipitation variations in Italy based on surface instrumental observations. Glob Planet Chang 57(3–4):308–318. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2006.12.003

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Déqué M, Jones RG, Wild M, Giorgi F, Christensen JH, Hassell DC et al (2005) Global high resolution versus limited area model climate change projections over Europe: quantifying confidence level from PRUDENCE results. Clim Dyn 25(6):653–670. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-005-0052-1

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Domroes M, El-Tantawi A (2005) Recent temporal and spatial temperature changes in Egypt. Int J Climatol 25(1):51–63. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1114

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Duchêne E, Schneider C (2005) Grapevine and climatic changes: a glance at the situation in Alsace. Agron Sustain Dev 25(1):93–99

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fraga H, Malheiro AC, Moutinho-Pereira J, Santos JA (2013) Future scenarios for viticultural zoning in Europe: ensemble projections and uncertainties. Int J Biometeorol 57(6):909–925. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-012-0617-8

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fratianni S, Acquaotta F (2017) The climate of Italy. In: Soldati M, Marchetti M (eds) Landscapes and landforms of Italy. World Geomorphological Landscapes. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-26194-2_4

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Gentilucci M, Bisci C, Burt P, Fazzini M, Vaccaro C (2018a) Interpolation of rainfall through polynomial regression in the Marche region (Central Italy). In: Mansourian A, Pilesjö P, Harrie L, van Lammeren R (eds) Geospatial technologies for all, AGILE, vol 2018. Lecture Notes in Geoinformation and Cartography. Springer, Cham, pp 55–73. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-78208-9_3

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Gentilucci M, Barbieri M, Burt P, D’Aprile F (2018b) Preliminary data validation and reconstruction of temperature and precipitation in Central Italy. Geosciences 8(6):202. https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences8060202

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gentilucci M, Barbieri M, Burt P (2018d) Climatic variations in Macerata Province (Central Italy). Water 10(8):1104. https://doi.org/10.3390/w10081104

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Giannaros TM, Melas D (2012) Study of the urban heat island in a coastal Mediterranean City: the case study of Thessaloniki, Greece. Atmos Res 118:103–120. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2012.06.006

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Giorgi F, Lionello P (2008) Climate change projections for the Mediterranean region. Glob Planet Chang 63(2–3):90–104. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2007.09.005

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Goovaerts P (1998) Ordinary cokriging revisited. Math Geol 30(1)

  • Johnston K, Ver Hoef JM, Krivoruchko K, Lucas N (2001) Using ArcGIS geostatistical analyst, vol 380. Esri, Redlands

    Google Scholar 

  • Johnston K, Ver Hoef JM, Krivoruchko K, Lucas N (2003) ArcGis 9. Using ArcGis Geostatistical Analyst, Environmental Systems Research Institute, Redlands, CA

  • Kürbis K, Mudelsee M, Tetzlaff G, Brázdil R (2009) Trends in extremes of temperature, dew point, and precipitation from long instrumental series from Central Europe. Theor Appl Climatol 98(1–2):187–195. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-008-0094-5

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Labudová L, Faško P, Ivaňáková G (2015) Changes in climate and changing climate regions in Slovakia. Moravian Geographical Reports 23(3):71–82. https://doi.org/10.1515/mgr-2015-0019

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lionello P, Malanotte-Rizzoli P, Boscolo R (eds) (2006) Mediterranean climate variability (Vol. 4). Elsevier

  • Malheiro AC, Santos JA, Fraga H, Pinto JG (2010) Climate change scenarios applied to viticultural zoning in Europe. Clim Res 43(3):163–177. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr00918

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Meehl GA, Stocker TF, Collins WD, Friedlingstein P, Gaye T, Gregory JM, Kitoh A, Knutti R, Murphy JM, Noda A, Raper SCB, Watterson IG, Weaver AJ, Zhao ZC (2007) Global climate projections. In: Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M, Chen Z, Marquis M, Averyt KB, Tignor M, Miller HL (eds) IPCC, 2007: climate change 2007: the physical science basis. Contribution of working group I to the fourth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge

    Google Scholar 

  • Moberg A, Jones PD (2005) Trends in indices for extremes in daily temperature and precipitation in central and western Europe, 1901–99. Int J Climatol 25(9):1149–1171. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.1163

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nendel C (2010) Grapevine bud break prediction for cool winter climates. Int J Biometeorol 54(3):231–241

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Oliver MA, Webster R (2015) Basic steps in geostatistics: the variogram and kriging, vol 106. Springer, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Piani C, Haerter JO, Coppola E (2010) Statistical bias correction for daily precipitation in regional climate models over Europe. Theor Appl Climatol 99(1–2):187–192. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-009-0134-9

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rathod IM, Aruchamy S (2010) Spatial analysis of rainfall variation in Coimbatore district Tamil Nadu using GIS. Int J Geomatics Geosci 1(2):106

    Google Scholar 

  • Salinger MJ (2005) Climate variability and change: past, present and future—an overview. In: Increasing climate variability and change. Springer, Dordrecht, pp 9–29

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Schabenberger O, Gotway CA (2017) Statistical methods for spatial data analysis. CRC Press

  • Sparks TH, Aasa A, Huber K, Wadsworth R (2009) Changes and patterns in biologically relevant temperatures in Europe 1941–2000. Clim Res 39(3):191–207. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr00814

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Spina R, Stortini S, Fusari R, Scuterini C, Di Marino M (2002) Caratterizzazione climatologica delle Marche: campo medio della temperatura per il periodo 1950–200. Centro di Ecologia e Climatologia - Osservatorio Geofisico Sperimentale, Macerata

    Google Scholar 

  • Tadić MP (2010) Gridded Croatian climatology for 1961–1990. Theor Appl Climatol 102(1–2):87–103. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-009-0237-3

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Walsh S (2012) A summary of climate averages for Ireland. Met Eireann, Dublin

    Google Scholar 

  • Wang YQ (2014) MeteoInfo: GIS software for meteorological data visualization and analysis. Meteorol Appl 21(2):360–368. https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1345

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • WMO (2017) WMO Guidelines on the Calculation of Climate Normals, WMO-No.1203, Geneva 2, Switzerland

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. School of Science and Technologies, University of Camerino, 62032, Camerino, Italy

    Matteo Gentilucci, Marco Materazzi & Gilberto Pambianchi

  2. Natural Resources Institute, University of Greenwich at Medway, Chatham, Kent, ME4 4TB, UK

    Peter Burt

  3. Department of Biology, University of Naples Federico II, Complesso Universitario di Monte S. Angelo, Via Cintia 26, I-80126, Naples, Italy

    Giulia Guerriero

  4. Interdepartmental Research Center for Environment (I.R.C.Env.), University of Naples Federico II, Via Mezzocannone 16, I-80134, Naples, Italy

    Giulia Guerriero

Authors
  1. Matteo Gentilucci
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  2. Marco Materazzi
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  3. Gilberto Pambianchi
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  4. Peter Burt
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  5. Giulia Guerriero
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Matteo Gentilucci.

Additional information

Publisher’s note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Gentilucci, M., Materazzi, M., Pambianchi, G. et al. Temperature variations in Central Italy (Marche region) and effects on wine grape production. Theor Appl Climatol 140, 303–312 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-020-03089-4

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-020-03089-4

Search

Navigation