Abstract
The high-resolution reanalysis data-base BaltAn65+ covers the period of 1965–2005. Here, this dataset is used to derive essential climate parameters for the Baltic Sea region and Estonia. In particular, monthly mean temperature and total precipitation are calculated and a trend analysis is performed to analyze the temporal evolution of these climatological parameters during the reanalysis period. Monthly, seasonal, and annual maps of the climate characteristics, including trend maps, are created for the Baltic Sea region. Time series of monthly and annually averaged temperature and precipitation sum are presented over the Baltic Sea and Estonian domains together with fitted linear trends and trend significance analysis. Then, comparison with an observational database is performed to assess the quality of the reanalysis database. Additionally, the time series are compared with official climate normals for the period of 1971–2000, as calculated by the Estonian Environment Agency (EtEA). Findings of other publications in the scientific literature dealing with the climate of similar time period for Estonia and the Baltic Sea region are discussed. The quality of the BaltAn65+ reanalysis is found to be generally good for temperature but weak for precipitation.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Haylock MR, Hofstra N, Klein Tank AMG, Klok EJ, Jones PD, New M (2008) A European daily high-resolution gridded data set of surface temperature and precipitation for 1950-2006. J Geophys Res 113(20). doi:10.1029/2010JD015468
Heikkilä U, Sandvik A, Sorteberg A (2011) Dynamical downscaling of ERA-40 in complex terrain using the WRF regional climate model. Climate Dynamics 37:1551–1564
Jaagus J (2006) Climatic changes in Estonia during the second half of the 20th century in relationship with changes in large-scale atmospheric circulation. Theor Appl Climatol 83:77–88
Kalnay E, Kanamitsu M, Kistler R, Collins W, Deaven D, Gandin L, Iredell M, Saha S, White G, Woollen J, Zhu Y, Leetmaa A, Reynolds R, Chelliah M, Ebisuzaki W, Higgins W, Janowiak J, Mo K, Ropelewski C, Wang J, Jenne R, Joseph D (1996) The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 77(3):437–471
Kanamaru H, Kanamitsu M (2007) 57-year California Reanalysis Downscaling at 10km (CaRD10) Part ii: comparison with North American Regional Reanalysis. J Clim 20:5553–5571
Kanamitsu M, Kanamaru H (2007) 57-year California Reanalysis Downscaling at 10km (CaRD10) Part i: system detail and validation with observations. J Clim 20:5527–5552
Luhamaa A, Kimmel K, Männik A, Rõõm R (2011) High resolution re-analysis for the Baltic Sea region during 1965–2005 period. Climate Dynamics 36:727–738
Mesinger F, DiMego G, Kalnay E, Mitchell K, Shafran PC, Ebisuzaki W, Jović D, Woollen J, Rogers E, Berbery EH, Ek MB, Fan Y, Grumbine R, Higgins W, Hong Li YL, Manikin G, Parrish D, Shi W (2006) North American regional reanalysis. Bull Amer Meteor Soc 87:343–360
Post P, Kärner O (2013) Time series analysis: a new methodology for comparing the temporal variability of air temperature. Journal of Climatology 1. (in press)
Remm K, Jaagus J, Briede A, Rimkus E, Kelviste T (2011) Interpolative mapping of mean precipitation in the Baltic countries by using landscape characteristics. Estonian J Earth Sci 60:172–190
The BACC Author Team (2008) Assessment of climate change for the Baltic Sea Basin. Springer Verlag
Undén P, Rontu L, Heikki Järvinen PL, Calvo J, Cats G, Cuxart J, Eerola K, Fortelius C, Garcia-Moya JA, Jones C, Lenderink G, McDonald A, McGrath R, Navascues B, Nielsen NW, Ødegaard V, Rodrigues E, Rummukainen M, Rõõm R, Sattler K, Sass BH, Savijärvi H, Schreur BW, Sigg R, The H, Tijm A (2002) HIRLAM-5 Scientific Documentation. Norrköpping, available from the HIRLAM member institutes or http://hirlam.knmi.nl/
Uppala SM, Kållberg P W, Simmons AJ, Andrae U, Bechtold VDC, Fiorino M, Gibson JK, Haseler J, Hernandez A, Kelly GA, Li X, Onogi K, Saarinen S, Sokka N, Allan RP, Andersson E, Arpe K, Balmaseda MA, Beljaars ACM, Berg LVD, Bidlot J, Bormann N, Caires S, Chevallier F, Dethof A, Dragosavac M, Fisher M, Fuentes M, Hagemann S, Hólm E, Hoskins BJ, Isaksen L, Janssen PAEM, Jenne R, Mcnally AP, Mahfouf JF, Morcrette JJ, Rayner NA, Saunders RW, Simon P, Sterl A, Trenberth KE, Untch A, Vasiljevic D, Viterbo P, Woollen J (2005) The ERA-40 re-analysis. Q J R Meteorol Soc 131(612):2961– 3012
Acknowledgments
This work was supported by research grant No. 9140 and targeted financing grant SF0180038s08 of the Estonian Science Foundation and research project No. SLOOM12144T (EstKliima) under the Environmental Protection and Technology Programme KESTA of the Estonian Research Council. The BaltAn65+ database was created with the support of the Estonian Environmental Investment Centre. We acknowledge the provision of the E-OBS dataset by the EU-FP6 project ENSEMBLES http://ensembles-eu.metoffice.com and the data providers in the ECA&D project http://www.ecad.eu . We also thank the developers of the free and open-source software packages GrADS and R for their excellent work in providing these indispensable scientific tools.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Männik, A., Zirk, M., Rõõm, R. et al. Climate parameters of Estonia and the Baltic Sea region derived from the high-resolution reanalysis database BaltAn65+. Theor Appl Climatol 122, 19–34 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-014-1271-3
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-014-1271-3