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Drought history inferred from tree ring δ 13C and δ 18O in the central Tianshan Mountains of China and linkage with the North Atlantic Oscillation

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Abstract

Annual tree ring δ 18O and δ 13C chronologies from 1790 to 2008 were established using Tianshan spruce (Picea schrenkiana) in the central Tianshan Mountains of northwestern China. Temperature has a positive effect on tree ring δ 18O and δ 13C in the study area, while precipitation and relative humidity have negative effects. The standardized precipitation–evapotranspiration index (SPEI) considered all of these effects and was significantly negatively correlated with tree ring δ 18O and δ 13C. We combined the tree ring δ 18O and δ 13C series to reconstruct the past 192 years of SPEI, which accounted for about 46 % of the total variance of SPEI from 1950 to 2006. The reconstruction showed good spatial agreement with gridded data in Palmer Drought Severity Index and precipitation and an inverse relationship with temperature. Our SPEI reconstruction reveals several wet and dry periods over the past 192 years and has good agreement with other drought records. Wavelet analysis showed quasi-periodic 10-, 20-, 30-, and 70-year fluctuations in the reconstruction. The 10-, 20-, and 30-year periodicities may reflect the potential influence of North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). Overall, this study indicates that the SPEI is a potential drought index, and the winter NAO affects regional moisture conditions in the long term.

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Acknowledgments

This research was supported by the Global Change Research Program of China (2010CB951401), the National Natural Science Foundation of China (41171167 and 41121001), the China Desert Meteorological Science Research Foundation (Sqj2009001 and Sqj2011013), and a Chinese Academy of Sciences Special Grant for Postgraduate Research, Innovation, and Practice. We thank Professor Zhongqin Li and the workers at the Tianshan Glaciological Station, Chinese Academy of Sciences, for their help during our field work. Thanks to Professor Xiaohua Gou and Feng Chen for providing their reconstruction data. We also thank Miss Pingyu Zhang for help in our tree ring δ 13C measurements. Thanks to the anonymous reviewers and editors for their constructive comments and suggestions.

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  1. State Key Laboratory of Cryospheric Sciences, Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Donggang West Road No. 320, Lanzhou, 730000, China

    Guobao Xu, Xiaohong Liu, Dahe Qin, Tuo Chen, Weizhen Sun, Wenling An, Wenzhi Wang, Guoju Wu, Xiaomin Zeng & Jiawen Ren

  2. University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100049, China

    Guobao Xu, Wenling An, Wenzhi Wang, Guoju Wu & Xiaomin Zeng

  3. Institute of Desert Meteorology, China Meteorological Administration, Urumqi, 830002, China

    Guobao Xu & Xiaohong Liu

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  1. Guobao Xu
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Xu, G., Liu, X., Qin, D. et al. Drought history inferred from tree ring δ 13C and δ 18O in the central Tianshan Mountains of China and linkage with the North Atlantic Oscillation. Theor Appl Climatol 116, 385–401 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-013-0958-1

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