Skip to main content
Log in

Hydrometeorological application of an extratropical cyclone classification scheme in the southern United States

  • Original Paper
  • Published:
Theoretical and Applied Climatology Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Extratropical cyclones (ETCs) in the southern United States are often overlooked when compared with tropical cyclones in the region and ETCs in the northern United States. Although southern ETCs are significant weather events, there is currently not an operational scheme used for identifying and discussing these nameless storms. In this research, we classified 84 ETCs (1970–2009). We manually identified five distinct formation regions and seven unique ETC types using statistical classification. Statistical classification employed the use of principal components analysis and two methods of cluster analysis. Both manual and statistical storm types generally showed positive (negative) relationships with El Niño (La Niña). Manual storm types displayed precipitation swaths consistent with discrete storm tracks which further legitimizes the existence of multiple modes of southern ETCs. Statistical storm types also displayed unique precipitation intensity swaths, but these swaths were less indicative of track location. It is hoped that by classifying southern ETCs into types, that forecasters, hydrologists, and broadcast meteorologists might be able to better anticipate projected amounts of precipitation at their locations.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7
Fig. 8

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Bartholy J et al (2006) European cyclone track analysis based on ECMWF ERA-40 data sets. Int J Climatol 26:1517–1527

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bernardes Pezza A, Ambrizzi T (2005) Dynamical conditions and synoptic tracks associated with different types of cold surge over tropical South America. Int J Climatol 25:215–241

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bierly GD, Winkler JA (2001) A composite analysis of airstreams within cold-season Colorado cyclones. Weather Forecast 16:57–80

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bowie EH, Weightman RH (1914) Types of storms of the United States and their average movement. Mon Weather Rev 42:3–37

    Google Scholar 

  • Buckley BW, Leslie LM (2004) Preliminary climatology and improved modelling of south Indian Ocean and Southern Ocean mid-latitude cyclones. Int J Climatol 24:1211–1230

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Businger S et al (1990) Storm following climatology of precipitation associated with winter cyclones originating over the Gulf-of-Mexico. Weather Forecast 5:378–403

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Campins J et al (2000) A catalogue and a classification of surface cyclones for the Western Mediterranean. Int J Climatol 20:969–984

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Campins J et al (2010) Climatology of Mediterranean cyclones using the ERA-40 dataset. Int J Climatol. doi:10.1002/joc.2183

  • Changnon SA (2007) Catastrophic winter storms: an escalating problem. Clim Chang 84:131–139

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Colucci SJ (1976) Winter cyclone frequencies over the Eastern United States and adjacent Western Atlantic. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 57:548–553

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Curtis S (2006) Developing a climatology of the South’s ‘other’ storm season: ENSO impacts on winter extratropical cyclongenesis. Southeast Geogr 46:231–244

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Daly C, Gibson WP, Taylor GH, Johnson GL, Pasteris P (2002) A knowledge-based approach to the statistical mapping of climate. Clim Res 22:99–113

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Davis RE et al (1993) Synoptic climatology of Atlantic coast North-easters. Int J Climatol 13:171–189

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Eichler T, Higgins W (2006) Climatology and ENSO-related variability of North American extratropical cyclone activity. J Climate 19:2076–2093

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Esteban P et al (2006) Daily atmospheric circulation catalogue for Western Europe using multivariate techniques. Int J Climatol 26:1501–1515

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fragoso M, Gomes PT (2008) Classification of daily abundant rainfall patterns and associated large-scale atmospheric circulation types in Southern Portugal. Int J Climatol 28:537–544

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Frankoski NJ, DeGaetano AT (2011) An East Coast winter storm precipitation climatology. Int J Climatol 31:802–814

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Froude LSR et al (2007) The predictability of extratropical storm tracks and the sensitivity of their prediction to the observing system. Mon Weather Rev 135:315–333

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gamble DW (1997) The relationship between drainage basin area and annual peak flood seasonality in the Southeastern United States. Southeast Geogr 37:61–75

    Google Scholar 

  • Gemmer MS, Becker S, Jiang T (2004) Observed monthly precipitation trends in China 1951–2002. Theor Appl Climatol 77:39–45

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gong XF, Richman MB (1995) On the application of cluster analysis to growing season precipitation data in North American east of the Rockies. J Climate 8:897–931

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hart M et al (2006) A synoptic climatology of tropospheric ozone episodes in Sydney, Australia. Int J Climatol 26:1635–1649

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hayden, BP (1988) Flood climates. In: VR Baker, RC Kochel, and PC Patton (eds), Flood geomorphology (New York, NY: John Wiley and Sons)

  • Hirsch ME, DeGaetano AT, Colucci SJ (2001) An East Coast winter storm climatology. J Climate 14:882–899

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hirschboeck, KK (1991) The role of climate in the generation of floods. In: RW Paulson, EB Chase, RS Roberts, and DW Moody (eds.) National water summary 1988–1989 USGS Water Supply Paper 2375. Denver, CO: USGS

  • Huth R (1996) An intercomparison of computer-assisted circulation classification methods. Int J Climatol 16:893–922

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Huth R et al (2008) Classification of atmospheric circulation patterns—recent advances and applications. Ann N Y Acad Sci 1146:105–152

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kalnay E et al (1996) The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 77:437–471

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Klein WH (1957) Principal tracks and mean frequencies of cyclones and anticyclones in the northern hemisphere. Research Paper 40, U.S. Weather Bureau: 60 pp

  • Kocin PJ, Uccellini LW (2004) A snowfall impact scale derived from Northeast storm snowfall distributions. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 85:177–194

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kocin PJ et al (1995) Overview of the 12–14 March 1993 Superstorm. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 76:165–182

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kouroutzoglou J et al (2010) Climatological aspects of explosive cyclones in the Mediterranean. Int J Climatol. doi:10.1002/joc.2203

  • Kunkel KE et al (1999) Temporal fluctuations in weather and climate extremes that cause economic and human health impacts: a review. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 80:1077–1098

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lewis JK, Hsu SA (1992) Mesoscale air-sea interactions related to tropical and extratropical storms in the Gulf of Mexico. J Geophys Res 97:2215–2228

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Maheras P et al (2001) A 40 year objective climatology of surface cyclones in the Mediterranean region: spatial and temporal distribution. Int J Climatol 21:109–130

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mennis J (2001) Exploring relationships between ENSO and vegetation vigour in the south-east USA using AVHRR data. Int J Remote Sens 22:294–311

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mesquita MS et al (2010) Characteristics and variability of storm tracks in the North Pacific, Bering Sea, and Alaska. J Climate 23:294–311

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Neal RA, Phillips ID (2009) Summer daily precipitation variability over the East Anglian region of Great Britain. Int J Climatol 29:1661–1679

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Norusis MJ (2010) PASW statistics 18 statistical procedures companion. 656 pp

  • Peters AJ, Ji L, Walter-Shea E (2003) Southeastern U.S. vegetation response to ENSO events (1989–1999). Clim Chang 60:175–188

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pettersen S (1956) Weather analysis and forecasting. McGraw-Hill, New York, NY. 422 pp

  • Raible CC et al (2008) Northern hemisphere extratropical cyclones: a comparison of detection and tracking methods and different reanalyses. Mon Weather Rev 136:880–897

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Reitan CH (1974) Frequencies of cyclones and cyclogenesis for North America, 1951–1970. Mon Weather Rev 102:861–868

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Roth DM (2002) A fifty year history of subtropical cyclones. 25th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, P1.43

  • Schubert SD et al (2008) ENSO and wintertime extreme precipitation events over the contiguous United States. J Climate 21:22–39

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sheridan SC et al (2008) A further analysis of the spatio-temporal variability in aerosols across North America: incorporation of lower tropospheric (850-hPa) flow. Int J Climatol 28:1189–1199

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Simmonds I, Keay K (2000) Mean southern hemisphere extratropical cyclone behavior in the 40-year NCEP-NCAR reanalysis. J Climate 13:873–885

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Thomas BC, Martin JE (2010) A synoptic climatology and composite analysis of the Alberta Clipper. Weather Forecast 22:315–333

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wernli H, Schwierz C (2006) Surface cyclones in the ERA-40 dataset (1958–2001). Part I: novel identification method and global climatology. J Atmos Sci 63:2486–2507

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Whittaker LM, Horn LH (1981) Geographical and seasonal distribution of North American cyclogenesis, 1958–1977. Mon Weather Rev 109:2312–2322

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Whittaker LM, Horn LH (1984) Northern hemisphere extratropical cyclone activity for four mid-season months. Int J Climatol 4:297–310

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zielinski GA (2002) A classification scheme for winter storms in the Eastern and Central United States with an emphasis on Nor’easters. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 83:37–51

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zishka KM, Smith PJ (1980) The climatology of cyclones and anticyclones over North America and surrounding ocean environs for January and July, 1950–77. Mon Weather Rev 108:387–401

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgment

The authors would like to thank anonymous reviewers for their helpful criticism and insight in improving this manuscript.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to J. C. Senkbeil.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Senkbeil, J.C., Brommer, D.M., Comstock, I.J. et al. Hydrometeorological application of an extratropical cyclone classification scheme in the southern United States. Theor Appl Climatol 109, 27–38 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-011-0562-1

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-011-0562-1

Keywords

Navigation