Skip to main content
Log in

Role of Indian Ocean sea surface temperatures in modulating northwest Indian winter precipitation variability

  • Published:
Theoretical and Applied Climatology Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Summary

The interannual variability of North-West India Winter Precipitation (NWIWP) has been examined in association with the variability of sea surface temperature (SST), surface air temperature (SAT) and upper tropospheric (200 hPa) wind patterns over India and the surrounding regions. We have considered data for a period of 54 years (1950–2003). During the years of excess NWIWP, the SST was above normal over the equatorial Indian Ocean, SAT was below normal over east Mediterranean Sea and over the Himalayan region and upper tropospheric westerlies strengthen and shift southwards. Upper tropospheric westerlies over north and central India was found to be related with the SST anomalies over the equatorial Indian Ocean. The decrease of SAT over north India and surroundings may largely be a manifestation of cooling brought about by excessive precipitation and sweep of cold air advection in rear of the storms. The intensifying of upper troposphere westerlies embedded with a jet increases the upper level divergence over north India due to increased horizontal shear resulting in intense anticyclone at upper troposphere.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • CL Agnihotri MS Singh (1982) ArticleTitleSatellite study of western disturbances Mausam 33 249–254

    Google Scholar 

  • PD Jones A Moberg (2003) ArticleTitleHemispheric and large-scale surface air temperature variations: an extensive revision and an update to 2001 J Climate 16 206–223 Occurrence Handle10.1175/1520-0442(2003)016<0206:HALSSA>2.0.CO;2

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • E Kalnay M Kanamitsu R Kistler W Collins D Deaven L Gandin M Iredel S Saha G White J Woollen Y Zhu M Chelliah W Ebisuzaki W Higgins J Janowiak KC Mo C Ropelewski J Wang A Leetmaa R Reynolds J Roy J Dennis (1996) ArticleTitleThe NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project Bull Amer Meteor Soc 77 437–471 Occurrence Handle10.1175/1520-0477(1996)077<0437:TNYRP>2.0.CO;2

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • RE Livezey WY Chen (1983) ArticleTitleStatistical field significance and its determination by Monte Carlo techniques Mon Wea Rev 111 46–59 Occurrence Handle10.1175/1520-0493(1983)111<0046:SFSAID>2.0.CO;2

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • DA Mooley (1957) ArticleTitleThe role of western disturbances in the production of weather over India during different seasons Indian J Meteorol Geophys 8 253–260

    Google Scholar 

  • T Nitta S Yamada (1989) ArticleTitleRecent warming of tropical sea surface temperature and its relationship to the Northern Hemisphere circulation J Meteor Soc Japan 67 375–383

    Google Scholar 

  • Petterssen S (1956) Weather analysis and forecasting, 2nd edn. McGraw-Hill, p 422

  • PR Pisharoty BN Desai (1956) ArticleTitleWestern disturbances and Indian weather Indian J Meteorol Geophys 8 333–338

    Google Scholar 

  • M Rajeevan DS Pai V Thapliyal (2002) ArticleTitlePredictive relationships between Indian Ocean sea surface temperatures and Indian summer monsoon rainfall Mausam 53 337–348

    Google Scholar 

  • C Ramaswamy (1956) ArticleTitleOn the sub-tropical jet stream and its role in the development of large-scale convection Tellus 8 26–60 Occurrence Handle10.1111/j.2153-3490.1956.tb01194.x

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rayner NA, Horton EB, Parker DE, Folland CK, Hackett RB (1996) Version 2.2 of the global sea-ice and sea surface temperature dataset, 1903–94. Climate Research Technical Note, 74, Hadley Centre, U.K. Meteorological Office

  • Rayner NA, Parker DE, Horton EB, Folland CK, Alexander LV, Rowell DP, Kent EC, Kaplan A (2003) Global analyses of sea surface temperature, sea ice, and night marine air temperature since the late nineteenth century. J Geophys Res 108: 4407 doi: 10.1209/2002JD002670

  • NH Saji BN Goswami PN Vinayachandran T Yamagata (1999) ArticleTitleA dipole mode in the tropical Indian Ocean Nature 401 360–363

    Google Scholar 

  • P Terray (1994) ArticleTitleAn evaluation of climatological data in the Indian Ocean area J Meteor Soc Japan 72 359–385

    Google Scholar 

  • B Wang (1995) ArticleTitleInter-decadal changes in El Nino onset in the last four decades J Climate 8 267–285 Occurrence Handle10.1175/1520-0442(1995)008<0267:ICIENO>2.0.CO;2

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Yadav, R., Rupa Kumar, K. & Rajeevan, M. Role of Indian Ocean sea surface temperatures in modulating northwest Indian winter precipitation variability. Theor. Appl. Climatol. 87, 73–83 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-005-0221-5

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-005-0221-5

Keywords

Navigation