Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Validation of precipitation events in a regional climate model simulation using methods from complex systems theory

  • Published:
Theoretical and Applied Climatology Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Summary

We show that daily precipitation is characterized by a behaviour regulated by power laws. Both for the frequency distribution of both event intensity and drought duration. In this respect, precipitation appears to follow self-organized criticality laws, much as other geophysical phenomena such as avalanches and earthquakes. We use this feature to validate the simulation of daily precipitation events in a multi-decadal regional climate model experiment for the European region. Our focus is on the Italian peninsula and we show that both the model results and the station observations for daily precipitation intensity and drought length follow power laws with comparable values of the relevant parameters. We suggest that complex systems theory can provide useful tools for the validation of precipitation statistics in climate models.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

We’re sorry, something doesn't seem to be working properly.

Please try refreshing the page. If that doesn't work, please contact support so we can address the problem.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Bove R, Pelino V, De Leonibus L (2004) Complexity in rainfall phenomena. Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation (accepted)

  • A Buzzi L Foschini (2000) ArticleTitleMesoscale meteorological features associated with heavy precipitation in the southern Alpine region. Meteorol Atmos Phys 72 131–146 Occurrence Handle10.1007/s007030050011

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • JH Christensen TR Carter F Giorgi (2002) ArticleTitlePRUDENCE employs new methods to assess European climate change. EOS 83 147

    Google Scholar 

  • F Giorgi LO Mearns (1999) ArticleTitleIntroduction to special section: Regional climate modeling revisited. J Geophys Res 104 6335–6352

    Google Scholar 

  • F Giorgi MR Marinucci GT Bates (1993a) ArticleTitleDevelopment of a second generation regional climate model (RegCM2). Part I: Boundary layer and radiative transfer processes. Mon Wea Rev 121 2794–2813

    Google Scholar 

  • F Giorgi MR Marinucci GT Bates G De Canio (1993b) ArticleTitleDevelopment of a second generation regional climate model (RegCM2). Part II: Convective processes and assimilation of lateral boundary conditions. Mon Wea Rev 121 2814–2832

    Google Scholar 

  • F Giorgi B Xunqiang J Pal (2004) ArticleTitleMean, interannual variability and trends in a regional climate change experiment over Europe. I: Present day climate (1961–1990). Clim Dyn 22 733–756 Occurrence Handle10.1007/s00382-004-0409-x

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • C Huntingford RG Jones C Prudhomme R Lamb JHC Gash DA Jones (2003) ArticleTitleRegional climate model predictions of extreme rainfall for a changing climate. Quart J Roy Meteor Soc 129 1607–1622 Occurrence Handle10.1256/qj.02.97

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • JS Pal EE Small EAB Eltahir (2000) ArticleTitleSimulation of regional scale water and energy budgets: representation of sub-grid cloud and precipitation processes within RegCM. J Geophys Res 105 29579–29594 Occurrence Handle10.1029/2000JD900415

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Peters O, Christensen K (2005) Rain viewed as relaxation events. Journal of Hydrology (http://www.cmth.ph.ic.ac.uk/people/k.christensen/pub.html) (in press)

  • O Peters C Hertlein K Christensen (2002) ArticleTitleA complexity view of rainfall. Phys Rev Lett 88 1–4 Occurrence Handle10.1103/PhysRevLett.88.018701

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • VD Pope ML Gallani PR Rowntree RA Stratton (2000) ArticleTitleThe impact of new physical parameterizations in the Hadley Centre climate model. Clim Dyn 16 123–146 Occurrence Handle10.1007/s003820050009

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Pelino, V., Matera, A., Colombo, T. et al. Validation of precipitation events in a regional climate model simulation using methods from complex systems theory. Theor. Appl. Climatol. 84, 213–218 (2006). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-005-0169-5

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-005-0169-5

Keywords

Navigation