Abstract
Purpose
This study investigated the prognostic factors of thymic epithelial tumors (TETs) to identify patients who require multidisciplinary treatment and improve the TET prognosis.
Methods
We retrospectively reviewed the data of 268 TET patients. Prognostic variables for the overall survival (OS) were analyzed in all TET stages (n = 268), and the recurrence-free survival (RFS) was analyzed in patients who achieved complete resection (n = 164).
Results
The median follow-up period was 7 years; thymic carcinomas (TCs) and advanced stages of tumor, node, and metastasis (TNM) classification had the worse prognosis according to a Kaplan–Meier analysis. The cut-off value of the tumor size to predict the OS and RFS was determined using modified Harrell’s c-index calculated by a Cox regression analysis of the OS. Regarding the OS, a multivariate analysis revealed that age > 70 years old (p = 0.011), tumor size > 5 cm (p < 0.001), and TCs (p = 0.002) were significant prognostic factors aside from the TNM stage (p < 0.001). Regarding the RFS, tumor size > 5 cm was the only significant prognostic factor in the multivariate analysis (p = 0.002) aside from the TNM stage (p = 0.008).
Conclusions
Tumor size > 5 cm was shown to be a prognostic predictor in addition to the WHO and TNM classifications. Therefore, multidisciplinary treatment should be developed for TET patients with poor prognostic factors, specifically tumor size.
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Change history
25 September 2022
A Correction to this paper has been published: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00595-022-02586-5
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Acknowledgements
We would like to thank Mari S. OBA Ph.D. of the Department of Medical Statistics Faculty of Medicine, Toho University, for assisting with the statistical analysis.
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No grant or administrative support was provided for this study. No funder had any involvement regarding study design; collection, analysis, or interpretation of the data; writing of the report; or decision to submit the report for publication.
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Sakai, T., Aokage, K., Miyoshi, T. et al. Tumor size exceeding 5 cm as a valid prognostic factor in all stages of thymic epithelial tumors. Surg Today 53, 42–50 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00595-022-02530-7
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00595-022-02530-7