Abstract
Aims
The association between estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and the risk of diabetes remains uncertain. We aimed to examine the association between eGFR based on creatinine (eGFRcr), cystatin C (eGFRcys), or a combination of both (eGFRcr-cys) and new-onset diabetes, using data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), a nationally representative cohort study.
Methods
A total of 4,775 participants with pertinent measurements and without diabetes at baseline from CHARLS were included in the final analysis. The eGFR was calculated by creatinine, cystatin C or a combination of both using the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration equations. The study outcome was new-onset diabetes, defined as physician-diagnosed diabetes or use of glucose-lowering drugs during follow-up, or fasting glucose ≥ 126 mg/dL, random glucose ≥ 200 mg/dL, or HbA1c ≥ 6.5% (48 mmol/mol) at the exit visit.
Results
The mean age of the study population was 59.6 years. The mean values for the eGFRcr, eGFRcys, and eGFRcr-cys were 92.4, 78.9 and 85.9 mL/min/1.73m2, respectively. Over 4 years of follow-up, 612 (12.8%) participants experienced diabetes. Participants with lower eGFRcr-cys (< 60 mL/min/1.73m2) had a significantly higher risk of new-onset diabetes (adjusted OR, 1.46; 95%CI: 1.02, 2.09), compared to those with eGFRcr-cys ≥ 60 mL/min/1.73m2. However, there was no significant association between eGFRcr (< 60 vs. ≥ 60 mL/min/1.73m2; adjusted OR, 1.27; 95%CI: 0.75, 2.17) or eGFRcys (adjusted OR, 1.04; 95%CI: 0.80, 1.36) and new-onset diabetes.
Conclusions
Lower eGFRcr-cys (< 60 mL/min/1.73m2), but not eGFRcr or eGFRcys, was significantly associated with an increased risk of new-onset diabetes in Chinese adults.
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Code availability
Analytic code will be made available from the corresponding author.
Availability of data and material
The data and study materials that support the findings of this study will be available at the CHARLS project website(http://charls.pku.edu.cn/).
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Acknowledgements
This analysis uses data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). We thank the CHARLS research team and the field team for collecting and providing the data. We thank all volunteers and staff involved in this research.
Funding
The study was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China [81973133, 81730019].
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Zhuxian Zhang and Xianhui Qin designed and conducted the study; Zhuxian Zhang, Panpan He and Xianhui Qin performed the data management and statistical analyses; Zhuxian Zhang and Xianhui Qin drafted the manuscript; all authors read and approved the final manuscript.
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Dr. Xianhui Qin reports grants from the National Natural Science Foundation of China [81973133, 81730019]. No other disclosures were reported.
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The CHARLS was approved by the Biomedical Ethics Review Committee of Peking University, Beijing, China (IRB00001052-11015).
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All participants provided written informed consent.
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This article belongs to the topical collection Diabetic Nephropathy, managed by Giuseppe Pugliese.
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Zhang, Z., He, P., Zhou, C. et al. Association of estimated glomerular filtration rate from serum creatinine and cystatin C with new-onset diabetes: a nationwide cohort study in China. Acta Diabetol 58, 1269–1276 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00592-021-01719-5
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00592-021-01719-5