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Solving data-driven newsvendor problem with textual reviews through deep learning

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Abstract

The production decision of a large commodity or equipment manufacturing enterprise can be modeled as a newsvendor problem. Managers must determine the optimal production volume in advance to minimize the underage cost and the overage cost. However, the traditional newsvendor problem assumes the known demand distribution, which is not the case in practice. Data-driven approaches have become the hot research topic and opened up new avenues for such issues. Recent studies have considered demand-related features but have failed to address how to optimize production and inventory using informative textual reviews, not just numerical feature data. To address this issue, we propose a data-driven newsvendor model that leverages sentiment analysis on textual reviews using a deep learning model to solve the data-driven newsvendor problem by integrating estimation and optimization. Experiments on real data show that our proposed method reduces the average cost by approximately 14.18% compared to the most advanced deep neural network method, making it the best-performing method. Furthermore, our method is more suitable for situations where unit shortage costs are greater than unit overage costs. Finally, our method is robust in terms of sample size and can still obtain good results even with insufficient historical data.

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Data availability

The datasets generated during and/or analyzed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.

Notes

  1. URL of Baidu index: https://index.baidu.com/.

  2. URL: https://k.autohome.com.cn/614#pvareaid=102519.

  3. URL: https://xl.16888.com/s/57415/.

  4. https://www.wonderflow.ai/blog/sentiment-analysis-examples.

References

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Funding

This work was supported by the National Social Science Fund of China [Grant Number, 19BGL229].

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Contributions

All authors contributed to the study conception and design. Material preparation, data collection, and analysis were performed by CZ and Y-XT. The first draft of the manuscript was written by Y-XT, and all authors commented on previous versions of the manuscript. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Chuan Zhang.

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The authors have no relevant financial or non-financial interests to disclose.

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Zhang, C., Tian, YX. Solving data-driven newsvendor problem with textual reviews through deep learning. Soft Comput 28, 4967–4986 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00500-023-09073-0

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00500-023-09073-0

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