Soft Computing

, Volume 21, Issue 19, pp 5765–5778 | Cite as

A multi-stage conflict style large group emergency decision-making method

  • Chen-guang Cai
  • Xuan-hua Xu
  • Pei Wang
  • Xiao-hong Chen
Methodologies and Application

Abstract

Unconventional emergencies usually have the characteristics of complexity, dynamic, and unpredictability, which greatly enhances the difficulty of emergency decision-making. Aiming at the multi-stage large group emergency decision-making problem featuring unknown stage weight and preference information expressed as interval numbers, we propose a new decision-making method. First, we present a similarity measurement formula for interval numbers. Each stage’s preference information is clustered using this similarity. To minimize the conflict of preferences, we derived two relative entropy optimization models to calculate the aggregation and stage weights. Next, we rank the alternatives based on the comprehensive group preference information. Finally, we present an illustrative example to verify the validity and practicability of this approach, and discuss several advantages of this method for managing emergency decision-making problems.

Keywords

Multiple stage Conflict Large group Group decision-making 

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Copyright information

© Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2016

Authors and Affiliations

  • Chen-guang Cai
    • 1
  • Xuan-hua Xu
    • 1
  • Pei Wang
    • 1
  • Xiao-hong Chen
    • 1
  1. 1.School of BusinessCentral South UniversityChangshaPeople’s Republic of China

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