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Historical temperature variability in a representative high-latitude region in the monsoon-continental climate transition zone in China

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Abstract

Global warming has exacerbated the instability of the climate and has led to the frequent occurrence of extreme cold and warm events. The complex geography of the high-latitude region of China's monsoon-continental transition zone makes it extremely sensitive to climate response, understanding temperature changes over long periods of time is crucial to revealing trends in climate change trends. In this study, we constructed a standardized tree-ring width chronology of Korean spruce growing in this area from 1845 to 2016 and used it to analyzed the response of the radial growth of Korean spruce to climatic factors such as temperature and precipitation. The results show that the annual mean temperature was the dominant climatic factor affecting the growth of Korean spruce. Hence, we reconstructed the annual mean temperature series of this region spanning the past 172 years. The analysis results show that the study area experienced five warm periods and five cold periods in the past 172 years. Cold years were dominant before 1960s, while temperature continuously rose and changed drastically in the early twenty-first century. The reconstructed annual mean temperature series has variability cycles of 3a, 7a, 10–12a, 15–22a and 30–40a. The results of this reconstruction enrich the tree-ring database in the representative regions of the monsoon-continental climate transition zone in China and provide a reference for systematically understanding the climate change patterns in the representative regions of the transition zone.

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Data are available with the corresponding author.

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Funding

This research was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China [Grant Numbers 52069019, 51869016 and 51669016] and the Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region “Grassland Talents” project.

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Authors

Contributions

All authors contributed to the study conception and design. Yingnan Wei carried out the Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis and Writing—original draft. Bolin Sun and Jing Zhang helped in the Investigation and Software. Long Ma provided guidance in the Funding acquisition, Investigation, Methodology and Writing—review and editing. Quanpu Jing and Jianjun Xing helped in Resources, Sample collection and Visualization.

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Correspondence to Long Ma.

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Wei, Y., Ma, L., Sun, B. et al. Historical temperature variability in a representative high-latitude region in the monsoon-continental climate transition zone in China. Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess 37, 2173–2185 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-023-02387-3

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