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Integration of multiple soft data sets in MPS thru multinomial logistic regression: a case study of gas hydrates

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Abstract

A new approach is described to allow conditioning to both hard data (HD) and soft data for a patch- and distance-based multiple-point geostatistical simulation. The multinomial logistic regression is used to quantify the link between HD and soft data. The soft data is converted by the logistic regression classifier into as many probability fields as there are categories. The local category proportions are used and compared to the average category probabilities within the patch. The conditioning to HD is obtained using alternative training images and by imposing large relative weights to HD. The conditioning to soft data is obtained by measuring the probability–proportion patch distance. Both 2D and 3D cases are considered. Synthetic cases show that a stationary TI can generate non-stationary realizations reproducing the HD, keeping the texture indicated by the TI and following the trends identified in probability maps obtained from soft data. A real case study, the Mallik methane-hydrate field, shows perfect reproduction of HD while keeping a good reproduction of the TI texture and probability trends.

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Acknowledgments

Authors would like to express their thanks to C. Dubreuil-Boisclair and E. Gloaguen for providing the data set for real case on Mallik gas hydrate field. Research was partly financed by NSERC (RGPIN-2015-06653). Numerous comments from three anonymous reviewers were helpful in improving significantly the manuscript.

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  1. Department of Civil, Geological and Mining, Polytechnique Montréal, C.P. 6079 Succ. Centre-ville, Montreal, QC, H3C 3A7, Canada

    Hassan Rezaee & Denis Marcotte

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  1. Hassan Rezaee
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  2. Denis Marcotte
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Correspondence to Hassan Rezaee.

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Rezaee, H., Marcotte, D. Integration of multiple soft data sets in MPS thru multinomial logistic regression: a case study of gas hydrates. Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess 31, 1727–1745 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-016-1277-8

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