Drought characterization: a probabilistic approach

  • A. K. Mishra
  • V. P. Singh
  • V. R. Desai
Original Paper


Using the alternative renewable process and run theory, this study investigates the distribution of drought interval time, mean drought interarrival time, joint probability density function and transition probabilities of drought events in the Kansabati River basin in India. The standardized precipitation index series is employed in the investigation. The time interval of SPI is found to have a significant effect of the probabilistic characteristics of drought.


Alternative renewal process Droughts Probability models Markov chains SPI JPDF Kansabati River basin 


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Copyright information

© Springer-Verlag 2007

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Department of Civil EngineeringMcMaster UniversityHamiltonCanada
  2. 2.Caroline and William N. Lehrer Distinguished Chair in Water Engineering, Department of Biological and Agricultural EngineeringTexas A and M UniversityCollege StationUSA
  3. 3.Department of Civil EngineeringIndian Institute of Technology-KharagpurWest BengalIndia

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