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Identification and stochastic generation of representative rainfall temporal patterns in Hong Kong territory

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Abstract

In hydrosystem engineering design and analysis, temporal pattern for rainfall events of interest is often required. In this paper, statistical cluster analysis of dimensionless rainfall pattern is applied to identify representative temporal rainfall patterns typically occurred in Hong Kong Territory. For purpose of selecting an appropriate rainfall pattern in engineering applications, factors affecting the occurrence of different rainfall patterns are examined by statistical contingency tables analysis through which the inter-dependence of the occurrence frequency of rainfall patterns with respect to geographical location, rainfall duration and depth, and seasonality is investigated. Furthermore, due to inherent variability of rainfall mass curves or hyetographs within each classified rainfall pattern, a practical procedure to probabilistically generate plausible rainfall patterns is described. The procedure preserves the inherent stochastic features of random dimensionless rainfall hyetograph ordinates, which in general are correlated non-normal multivariate compositional variables.

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Acknowledgements

This study is conducted under the auspice of research projects “KUST6035/97E: Analysis of Rainfall Characteristics in Hong Kong” funded by the Research Grant Council of Hong Kong Special Administration Region. We are grateful to the two anonymous reviewers for their constructive criticisms and comments that greatly improve the earlier manuscript.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Civil Engineering, National Chiao Tung University, Hsinchu, Taiwan

    Shiang-Jen Wu & Jinn-Chuang Yang

  2. Department of Civil Engineering, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Clear Water Bay, Kowloon, Hong Kong

    Yeou-Koung Tung

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  1. Shiang-Jen Wu
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  2. Jinn-Chuang Yang
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  3. Yeou-Koung Tung
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Correspondence to Yeou-Koung Tung.

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Wu, SJ., Yang, JC. & Tung, YK. Identification and stochastic generation of representative rainfall temporal patterns in Hong Kong territory. Stoch Environ Res Ris Assess 20, 171–183 (2006). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-005-0245-5

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