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Age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index is a significant prognostic factor for long-term survival of patients with high-risk prostate cancer after radical prostatectomy: a Bayesian model averaging approach

  • Original Article – Clinical Oncology
  • Published:
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Abstract

Purpose

We investigated the long-term prognostic impact of age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index (ACCI) on overall mortality (OM), cancer-specific mortality (CSM), and other-cause mortality (OCM) according to risk stratification in patients with prostate cancer who underwent radical prostatectomy.

Methods

Data from 542 patients who underwent radical prostatectomy between 1992 and 2006 were analyzed. The impact of preoperative variables including age, prostate-specific antigen, biopsy Gleason sum, clinical stage, and ACCI on OM, CSM, and OCM were analyzed according to risk groups, with a median follow-up of 101 months.

Results

Subjects were stratified into either the high-risk group (n = 241) or the non-high-risk group (n = 301). Cox proportional hazards model demonstrated that the ACCI was the only significant predictor for OM in all patients (hazard ratio, HR 1.41; 95 % confidence interval, CI 1.19–1.66), non-high-risk group (HR 1.45; 95 % CI 1.09–1.91), and high-risk group (HR 1.37; 95 % CI 1.11–1.69). In competing risk analysis, CSM was not associated with the ACCI in either risk group. However, the ACCI had a significant impact on OCM in both the non-high-risk (HR 1.55; 95 % CI 1.16–2.1) and high-risk groups (HR 1.60; 95 % CI 1.23–2.08). A Bayesian model averaging approach verified that the ACCI was the most powerful predictor for OM and OCM in the both high-risk and non-high-risk groups.

Conclusions

A thorough assessment of comorbidities is mandatory in establishing prognoses, even when considering invasive treatment modalities in high-risk prostate cancer patients.

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Acknowledgments

This study was supported by a Grant from the Korean Foundation for Cancer Research (CB-2011-04-02), Republic of Korea.

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Correspondence to Kang Su Cho.

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All procedures performed in studies involving human participants were in accordance with the ethical standards of the institutional and/or national research committee and with the 1964 Helsinki Declaration and its later amendments or comparable ethical standards.

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Written informed consent given by participants was exempted because of the retrospective study design and patients records, and information was anonymized and de-identified prior to analysis.

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Lee, J.Y., Kang, H.W., Rha, K.H. et al. Age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index is a significant prognostic factor for long-term survival of patients with high-risk prostate cancer after radical prostatectomy: a Bayesian model averaging approach. J Cancer Res Clin Oncol 142, 849–858 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00432-015-2093-0

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00432-015-2093-0

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