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Evaluation of the PECARN rule for traumatic brain injury applied to infants younger than 3 months and creation of a modified, age-specific rule

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A Correction to this article was published on 05 December 2022

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Abstract

Infants < 3 months with minor head trauma (MHT) are a particularly vulnerable group, though few studies have focused specifically on these patients. We aimed to evaluate the application of the PECARN prediction rule, designed for clinically important traumatic brain injury (ciTBI) in children < 2 years in infants < 3 months, and create a specific prediction rule for this population. We conducted a prospective multicenter observational study in 13 pediatric emergency departments (PEDs) in Spain. The PECARN rule was applied to all patients. A new specific prediction rule for infants < 3 months of age was created. The main outcome measures were (1) ciTBI, (2) TBI evidenced on computed tomography (CT) scan, and (3) isolated skull fracture (ISF). Telephone follow-up was conducted for all patients over the 4 weeks after the initial PED visit. Of 21,981 children with MHT, 366 (1.7%) were < 3 months old and 195 (53.3%) underwent neuroimaging, including 37 (10.1%) with CT scan. The sensitivity and negative predictive value (NPV) of the PECARN prediction rule for ciTBI were 100% (95% CI, 20.7–100) and 99.7% (95% CI, 98.4–100%), respectively. Of the 230 infants (62.8%) who met the PECARN low-risk criteria, none had ciTBI, 1 (0.4% overall, 95% CI, 0–2.4) had TBI on CT, and 2 (0.9% overall; 95% CI, 0.1–3.1) had an ISF. Among the 136 infants (37.2%) who did not meet the PECARN low-risk criteria, 1 (0.3% overall; 95% CI, 0–1.5) had ciTBI, 11 (8.1% overall; 95% CI, 4.1–14.0) had TBI on CT, and 18 (13.2% overall; 95% CI, 8–20.1) had an ISF. The sensitivity and NPV of the Spanish prediction rule for ciTBI were 100% (95% CI, 20.7–100) and 100% (95% CI, 98.4–100%), respectively. No infants in the registry developed complications during follow-up.

Conclusion: The PECARN rule for infants < 2 years old accurately identified infants < 3 months old at low risk for ciTBI in our population, although the adapted Spanish rule presented here could be even more accurate.

What is Known:

• Infants younger than 3 months are vulnerable to minor blunt head trauma due to their age and to difficulties in assessing the subtle symptoms and minimal physical findings detected on examination.

• A low threshold for CT scan is recommended in this population.

What is New:

• PECARN rule for infants < 2 years old is an adequate tool with which to identify infants < 3 months old at low risk for clinically important traumatic brain injury.

• Spanish rule could identify even more low-risk infants without overlooking important outcomes but it should be validated to confirm its predictive capacity.

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Acknowledgements

We thank all the patients and families for their participation in this study and the staff members who gathered data from all the involved Units. We would like to thank Oliver Shaw for the language review.

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Contributions

JAA and RJ conceptualized and designed the study, performed data management, statistical analysis, and drafted the manuscript. All co-authors enrolled participants and participated in the collection of data. All co-authors participated and were involved in the critical review of the final manuscript.

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Correspondence to José Antonio Alonso-Cadenas.

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The authors declare no competing interests.

Ethics approval

The Ethics Committee of the Hospital Infantil Universitario Niño Jesús, Madrid, approved this study (R-0064/16).

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Informed consent was obtained from the parents or legal guardians.

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All authors reviewed and approved the manuscript and agreed to publish this work.

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The authors declare no competing interests.

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Communicated by Peter de Winter

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The original online version of this article was revised: In this article the co-author's family name María José Pérez García was incorrectly written as González.

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Alonso-Cadenas, J.A., Calderón Checa, R.M., Rivas García, A. et al. Evaluation of the PECARN rule for traumatic brain injury applied to infants younger than 3 months and creation of a modified, age-specific rule. Eur J Pediatr 182, 191–200 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00431-022-04661-y

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