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Longitudinal analysis of liver transplant candidates for hepatocellular carcinoma in a single center

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Abstract

Background

Wailitst lost is an critical issue and we investigated the long-term effect of insufficient liver functional reserve at liver transplantation evaluation on waitlist outcomes in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

Methods

Clinical data of patients with HCC waitlisted for liver transplantation were retrospectively collected from a single hospital cohort during the period from 2014 to 2021. Parameters of liver reserve, including cirrhosis, Child–Pugh grade, and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores, were analyzed for patient survival, after adjustment for tumor factors.

Results

Of 292 eligible patients, 94.2% had cirrhosis, 55.8% had Child–Pugh grade B or C, and the median MELD score was 13.2. The median follow-up time was 2.2 years, with a dropout rate of 62.7%. Eighty-nine candidates (30.5%) eventually received liver transplant, including 67 from live donors. The estimated 1-year mortality rate reached 40.6% in 203 patients who remained on the waitlist without receiving a transplant, of whom 143 died. Most deaths were attributed to liver failure (37.1%) and cancer death (35.7%). After we adjusted for tumor confounders, including alpha fetoprotein, primary HCC stage, tumor number at evaluation, and sequential cancer treatment before and while waiting, hazard ratios (HRs) for patient survival were 1.69 (95% confidence interval, 1.18–2.41) for cirrhotic stage B or C, 1.07 (1.04–1.10) for MELD scores, and 1.14 (1.04–1.25) for tumor size at transplant evaluation. Transplantation was a protective disease modifier with adjusted HR 0.22 (0.14–0.33).

Conclusion

Insufficient liver functional reserve poses more risk than expected to liver transplant waitlist outcomes with HCC.

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Data availability

No datasets were generated or analysed during the current study.

Abbreviations

ABI:

Albumin-Bilirubin index

ACLF:

Acute-on-chronic liver failure;

AFP:

Alpha fetoprotein

BMI:

Body mass index

CI:

Confidence interval

DDLT:

Deceased donor liver transplantation

DM:

Diabetes mellitus

EV:

Esophageal varices

HBV:

Hepatitis B virus

HCC:

Hepatocellular carcinoma

HCV:

Hepatitis C virus

HR:

Hazard ratio

IQR:

Interquartile ranges

LDLT:

Living donor liver transplantation

MELD:

Model for End-Stage Liver Disease

RFA:

Radiofrequency ablation

TACE:

Trans-arterial chemoembolization

USCF:

University of California San Francisco

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Acknowledgements

We thank the coordinators (Hui-Ying Lin and Min-Heuy Lin) for their helpful efforts in data collection.

Funding

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Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Contributions

HCM, CHY, HCY, and HRH collected the data, HCM drafted the manuscript, and HCM, HRH, and LPH designed the study. HCM, WYM, and HMC conducted data processing, and HCM and LPH performed data analysis. HCM and HRH were the directors responsible for general organization and instruction. All authors read and approved the final version of the manuscript.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Cheng-Maw Ho.

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Ethics approval and consent to participate

The Institutional Review Board of National Taiwan University Hospital approved this study (NTUH REC: 201701044RIND and 202004053RINB). Because this study retrospectively analyzed data through a chart review, the Institutional Review Board of National Taiwan University Hospital waived the need for informed consent. The research was conducted in accordance with both the Declarations of Helsinki and Istanbul.

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Not applicable.

Competing interests

The authors declare no competing interests.

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Ho, CM., Lee, PH., Cheng, HY. et al. Longitudinal analysis of liver transplant candidates for hepatocellular carcinoma in a single center. Langenbecks Arch Surg 409, 143 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00423-024-03336-6

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