Between 2018 and 2021, 265 age-disputed refugees were examined at the Medico-legal Institute of Montpellier in order to assess their age according to AGFAD recommendations. This represents 7.6% of forensic age assessments carried out by court order in France during the same period [22]. However, this percentage is significantly higher when only considering age assessments carried out according to AGFAD recommendations. Indeed, only 12 out of the 35 Medico-legal Institutes performing age assessments in France (34.3%) include an X-ray examination of the hand skeleton, an orthopantomogram and a CT examination of the clavicles as part of their assessment protocol [23]. Other institutes perform a radiographic examination of the hand skeleton whether alone (n = 5, 14.3%) or in association with either an orthopantomogram (n = 12, 34.3%) or a CT examination of the clavicles (n = 6, 17.1%). Our institute actually carried out more than 20% of the standardized examinations based on AGFAD recommendations performed at the national level in 2021 [22].
In comparison, 54,621 requests from unaccompanied minors were processed by French youth welfare offices between 2018 and 2021 [24] (Fig. 1). However, the number of applications lodged by unaccompanied minors in 2020 and 2021 significantly decreased in European countries including France [1, 2, 24, 25] mainly due to the COVID-19 pandemic and the related travel restrictions implemented by the EU Member States. As a result, the number of age assessments during these 2 years was proportionally reduced compared with 2019 at the national level (respectively − 51% and − 45%) [25] and at our institute (respectively − 41% and − 25%).
The vast majority (97.7%) of unaccompanied minors examined in our institute during the 2018–2021 period were male and originated from countries of sub-Saharan Africa, mainly Guinea (26.8%), Mali (24.5%) and Ivory Coast (15.1%). This is consistent with national figures regarding unaccompanied minor applications and age assessments which showed a clear predominance of male refugees (95%) from these three countries [22, 25]. A recent German study also found that most unaccompanied minors examined in Münster during the 2017–2018 period came from countries of sub-Saharan Africa, with Guinea being the most represented country (31%) [3]. As regards the declared ages, our figures also complied with national statistics, with a predominance of individuals stating an age of 16 years and over (76.6%) in our study. This age group accounted for 64.5% of applicants in France during the 2018–2020 period [25].
All but a few of the individuals had a completed development of the forearm/hand skeleton (97.7%), which allowed the implementation of the full AGFAD procedure including a CT scan of the clavicular sternal ends in most cases. A negligible part of orthopantomograms and CT scans could not be interpreted, mainly because of missing teeth or anatomical variations (n = 19 and n = 7, respectively).
One hundred thirty-one of the assessable CT scans showed a stage 3c or a more advanced stage. The most prevalent stages of clavicular ossification were 3c (27.4%) and 4 (20.6%), while stage 5 accounted for 4.0%. Overall, 131 unaccompanied minors (49.4%) were thus considered to be 18 years or older beyond reasonable doubt. In the remaining cases where minority could not be excluded by forensic assessment (although the age of majority had probably been reached for most of them), the individual’s claimed age was compatible with the forensic expert’s age assessment in 31 cases (11.7%).
Numerous studies on forensic age assessment of migrants have been carried out in various countries [3, 26,27,28,29,30,31,32]. Among those that applied AGFAD recommendations, Hagen et al. reported 37.8% of unaccompanied minors that had reached the age of majority beyond doubt [3], while Rudolf et al. found that 61% had reached this age limit in their cohort [26].
In order to validate the age assessments performed in our institute, we compared our age diagnoses with the ages established in the course of legal proceedings. The sources of verification included identification documents (birth certificates, passports), rectified information on their age given by the persons during the proceedings and tapping of phone lines. Actual ages could be established in only 27 cases, highlighting the duration and the low completion rate of these proceedings (some of them were still ongoing at the time of writing this article). This is partly due to the frequent lack of reliable birth registration systems in the countries of origin [3, 26]. However, it could be observed from this sub-sample that the assessed minimum age was systematically lower than the established age, which was always beyond the age of majority. In other terms, the protocol used never led to any age overestimation. The mean difference between the claimed and the verified age was 6.4 ± 4.0 years, while the most probable age tended to be higher than the verified age. However, it should be kept in mind that the determination of the individual’s age in the course of legal proceedings is sometimes based on identification documents potentially containing false information that rejuvenate the persons while still considering them 18 years or older. By consequence, the age differences observed could have been underestimated, and any correlation between the actual and most probable age could have been prevented. Once again, a comparison with data from other studies is difficult given the fact that the protocol used for age assessment in these studies did not match with AGFAD recommendations, except in the study of Schmeling et al. [28] in which deviations between the estimated and the actual age did not exceed ± 12 months in cases where the age of the person could be verified, thus demonstrating the reliability of the three-step procedure.
In conclusion, our study reaffirms the value of AGFAD guidelines for forensic age assessment of living adolescents and young adults. This scientific approach currently represents the most reliable methodology and should therefore be systematically applied for assessing the skeletal and dental age of young refugees with questionable minority. We stress the need for European countries to standardize their practice of age assessments based on the AGFAD methodology.