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Evaluation of Dundee and ALT-70 predictive models for cellulitis in 56 patients who underwent tissue culture

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Abstract

Nonpurulent cellulitis lacks a gold standard to distinguish noninfectious sources of inflammation. Two models have been created that evaluate cellulitis. The ALT-70 model was created to reduce the overdiagnosis of cellulitis and provide clinical direction. The Dundee classification was developed to grade the severity of previously diagnosed cases of cellulitis and enhance treatment and clinical outcomes. We analyzed a dataset of 56 patients who were admitted to the OSU Wexner Medical Center with a primary admission diagnosis of cellulitis. Each patient underwent extensive tissue culture sampling to identify potential pathogens. Patients were scored using both models, then evaluated based on the positive tissue culture and skin and soft tissue infection. In both models, we found low sensitivity and specificity to predict patients with positive tissue culture cellulitis. Determination of a gold standard for classification of cellulites is important to improve future diagnosis and risk models. We recommend further study to develop a scalable consensus standard in the diagnosis of nonpurulent cellulitis.

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Funding

This publication [or project] was supported, in part, by the National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences of the National Institutes of Health under Grant Number UL1TR002733. The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of the National Institutes of Health.”

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TW and TG performed the data collection and statistical analysis. JCT, CC, HW and BK collected primary data. TW and BK wrote the manuscript and prepared the tables. All authors reviewed the manuscript.

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Correspondence to Benjamin H. Kaffenberger.

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Walker, T.D., Gilkey, T.W., Trinidad, J.C. et al. Evaluation of Dundee and ALT-70 predictive models for cellulitis in 56 patients who underwent tissue culture. Arch Dermatol Res 315, 665–668 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00403-022-02409-0

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00403-022-02409-0

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