Skip to main content
Log in

Dietary patterns and weight change: 15-year longitudinal study in Australian adults

  • Original Contribution
  • Published:
European Journal of Nutrition Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Background

Dietary intake is one of the most modifiable risk factors associated with obesity. However, data on the relationship between dietary patterns and long-term weight change are limited.

Purpose

We therefore investigated the association between dietary patterns and 15-year weight change in a sample of 1186 Australian adults (1992–2007).

Methods

We measured body weight and collected data on socio-demographic and lifestyle characteristics in 1992 and 2007. Applying principal component analysis to 38 food groups from a food frequency questionnaire collected at baseline, we identified two dietary patterns: ‘meat-and-fat’ and ‘fruit-and-vegetable.’ Using generalized estimating equations, multivariable regression models, stratified by sex, were adjusted for concurrent changes in socio-demographic and lifestyle variables.

Results

The average increase in body weight of men in the highest tertile of the meat-and-fat pattern was more than twice that of men in the lowest tertile; mean weight change (95 % CI): 4.8 (−0.1, 9.7) kg versus 2.3 (−2.6, 7.1) kg, P-for-trend = 0.02. In contrast, average weight gain of men in the highest tertile of the fruit-and-vegetable pattern was only about half that of men in the lowest tertile; mean weight change (95 % CI): 2.9 (−2.0, 7.8) kg versus 5.4 (−1.5, 10.4) kg, P-for-trend = 0.02. Among women, dietary patterns were not related to weight change.

Conclusions

These dietary patterns predict change in body weight in men, but not in women. In this cohort, a dietary pattern high in fruit and vegetables was related to less weight gain in men than a dietary pattern high in meat and fat.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. Australian Institute of Health and Welfare (2014) Australia’s health 2014. AIHW, Canberra. Report no.: 14. Cat. no. AUS 178

  2. Hall KD, Heymsfield SB, Kemnitz JW, Klein S, Schoeller DA, Speakman JR (2012) Energy balance and its components: implications for body weight regulation. Am J Clin Nutr 95(4):989–994. doi:10.3945/ajcn.112.036350

    Article  Google Scholar 

  3. Newby PK, Tucker KL (2004) Empirically derived eating patterns using factor or cluster analysis: a review. Nutr Rev 62(5):177–203

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  4. Schulze MB, Fung TT, Manson JE, Willett WC, Hu FB (2006) Dietary patterns and changes in body weight in women. Obesity (Silver Spring) 14(8):1444–1453

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Newby PK, Weismayer C, Akesson A, Tucker KL, Wolk A (2006) Longitudinal changes in food patterns predict changes in weight and body mass index and the effects are greatest in obese women. J Nutr 136(10):2580–2587

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  6. Schulz M, Nothlings U, Hoffmann K, Bergmann MM, Boeing H (2005) Identification of a food pattern characterized by high-fiber and low-fat food choices associated with low prospective weight change in the EPIC-Potsdam cohort. J Nutr 135(5):1183–1189

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  7. Mishra GD, McNaughton SA, Ball K, Brown WJ, Giles GG, Dobson AJ (2010) Major dietary patterns of young and middle aged women: results from a prospective Australian cohort study. Eur J Clin Nutr 64(10):1125–1133. doi:10.1038/ejcn.2010.121

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  8. Green A, Williams G, Neale R, Hart V, Leslie D, Parsons P, Marks GC, Gaffney P, Battistutta D, Frost C, Lang C, Russell A (1999) Daily sunscreen application and betacarotene supplementation in prevention of basal-cell and squamous-cell carcinomas of the skin: a randomised controlled trial. Lancet 354(9180):723–729

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  9. van der Pols JC, Heinen MM, Hughes MC, Ibiebele TI, Marks GC, Green AC (2009) Serum antioxidants and skin cancer risk: an 8-year community-based follow-up study. Cancer Epidemiol Biomark Prev 18(4):1167–1173

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Commonwealth Electoral Act 1918 Part XVI—The polling, Section 245 Compulsory voting 19 April 2011. Report no.: 1918 Contract no.: Act no. 27

  11. Willett W (2012) Food frequency methods. In: Walter W (ed) Nutritional epidemiology, 3rd edn. Oxford University Press, New York, pp 71–95

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  12. Australian Bureau of Statistics (1997) Australian Standard Classification of Occupations (ASCO), 2nd edn. ABS, Canberra. Report no.: 1220.0

  13. Lahmann PH, Russell A, Green AC (2011) Prospective study of physical activity and risk of squamous cell carcinoma of the skin. BMC Cancer 11:516. doi:10.1186/1471-2407-11-516

    Article  Google Scholar 

  14. Willett WC, Sampson L, Stampfer MJ, Rosner B, Bain C, Witschi J, Hennekens CH, Speizer FE (1985) Reproducibility and validity of a semiquantitative food frequency questionnaire. Am J Epidemiol 122(1):51–65

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  15. Marks GC, Hughes MC, van der Pols JC (2006) Relative validity of food intake estimates using a food frequency questionnaire is associated with sex, age, and other personal characteristics. J Nutr 136(2):459–465

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  16. Hatcher L (1994) A step-by-step approach to using SAS for factor analysis and structural equation modeling. SAS Publishing, Cary

    Google Scholar 

  17. Nettleton JA, Diez-Roux A, Jenny NS, Fitzpatrick AL, Jacobs DR Jr (2008) Dietary patterns, food groups, and telomere length in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). Am J Clin Nutr 88(5):1405–1412

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  18. Zeger SL, Liang KY, Albert PS (1988) Models for longitudinal data: a generalized estimating equation approach. Biometrics 44(4):1049–1060

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  19. Arabshahi S, van der Pols JC, Williams GM, Marks GC, Lahmann PH (2011) Diet quality and change in anthropometric measures: 15-year longitudinal study in Australian adults. Br J Nutr. doi:10.1017/s0007114511004351

    Google Scholar 

  20. Ibiebele TI, van der Pols JC, Hughes MC, Marks GC, Williams GM, Green AC (2007) Dietary pattern in association with squamous cell carcinoma of the skin: a prospective study. Am J Clin Nutr 85(5):1401–1408

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  21. Newby PK, Muller D, Hallfrisch J, Andres R, Tucker KL (2004) Food patterns measured by factor analysis and anthropometric changes in adults. Am J Clin Nutr 80(2):504–513

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  22. Beunza JJ, Toledo E, Hu FB, Bes-Rastrollo M, Serrano-Martinez M, Sanchez-Villegas A, Martinez JA, Martinez-Gonzalez MA (2010) Adherence to the Mediterranean diet, long-term weight change, and incident overweight or obesity: the Seguimiento Universidad de Navarra (SUN) cohort. Am J Clin Nutr 92(6):1484–1493. doi:10.3945/ajcn.2010.29764

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  23. Romaguera D, Norat T, Vergnaud AC, Mouw T, May AM, Agudo A, Buckland G, Slimani N, Rinaldi S, Couto E, Clavel-Chapelon F, Boutron-Ruault MC, Cottet V, Rohrmann S, Teucher B, Bergmann M, Boeing H, Tjonneland A, Halkjaer J, Jakobsen MU, Dahm CC, Travier N, Rodriguez L, Sanchez MJ, Amiano P, Barricarte A, Huerta JM, Luan J, Wareham N, Key TJ, Spencer EA, Orfanos P, Naska A, Trichopoulou A, Palli D, Agnoli C, Mattiello A, Tumino R, Vineis P, Bueno-de-Mesquita HB, Buchner FL, Manjer J, Wirfalt E, Johansson I, Hellstrom V, Lund E, Braaten T, Engeset D, Odysseos A, Riboli E, Peeters PH (2010) Mediterranean dietary patterns and prospective weight change in participants of the EPIC-PANACEA project. Am J Clin Nutr 92(4):912–921. doi:10.3945/ajcn.2010.29482

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  24. Mozaffarian D, Hao T, Rimm EB, Willett WC, Hu FB (2011) Changes in diet and lifestyle and long-term weight gain in women and men. N Engl J Med 364(25):2392–2404. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa1014296

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  25. Schroder H (2007) Protective mechanisms of the Mediterranean diet in obesity and type 2 diabetes. J Nutr Biochem 18(3):149–160. doi:10.1016/j.jnutbio.2006.05.006

    Article  Google Scholar 

  26. Bornet FR, Jardy-Gennetier AE, Jacquet N, Stowell J (2007) Glycaemic response to foods: impact on satiety and long-term weight regulation. Appetite 49(3):535–553. doi:10.1016/j.appet.2007.04.006

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  27. Prentice AM, Jebb SA (2003) Fast foods, energy density and obesity: a possible mechanistic link. Obes Rev 4(4):187–194

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  28. Schulz M, Kroke A, Liese AD, Hoffmann K, Bergmann MM, Boeing H (2002) Food groups as predictors for short-term weight changes in men and women of the EPIC-Potsdam cohort. J Nutr 132(6):1335–1340

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  29. Togo P, Osler M, Sorensen TIA, Heitmann BL (2004) A longitudinal study of food intake patterns and obesity in adult Danish men and women. Int J Obes Relat Metab Disord 28(4):583–593

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  30. Boggs DA, Palmer JR, Spiegelman D, Stampfer MJ, Adams-Campbell LL, Rosenberg L (2011) Dietary patterns and 14-y weight gain in African American women. Am J Clin Nutr 94(1):86–94. doi:10.3945/ajcn.111.013482

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  31. Quatromoni PA, Copenhafer DL, D’Agostino RB, Millen BE (2002) Dietary patterns predict the development of overweight in women: the Framingham Nutrition Studies. J Am Diet Assoc 102(9):1239–1246

    Article  Google Scholar 

  32. Saarni SE, Silventoinen K, Rissanen A, Sarlio-Lahteenkorva S, Kaprio J (2007) Recurrent dieting and smoking among Finnish men and women. Obesity (Silver Spring) 15(7):1851–1859. doi:10.1038/oby.2007.219

    Article  Google Scholar 

  33. Field AE, Manson JE, Taylor CB, Willett WC, Colditz GA (2004) Association of weight change, weight control practices, and weight cycling among women in the Nurses’ Health Study II. Int J Obes Relat Metab Disord 28(9):1134–1142. doi:10.1038/sj.ijo.0802728

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  34. Juhaeri Steven J, Chambless LE, Tyroler HA, Harp J, Jones D, Arnett D (2001) Weight change among self-reported dieters and non-dieters in white and African American men and women. Eur J Epidemiol 17(10):917–923

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  35. Gorin AA, Phelan S, Wing RR, Hill JO (2004) Promoting long-term weight control: does dieting consistency matter? Int J Obes Relat Metab Disord 28(2):278–281. doi:10.1038/sj.ijo.0802550

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  36. Hebert JR, Hurley TG, Peterson KE, Resnicow K, Thompson FE, Yaroch AL, Ehlers M, Midthune D, Williams GC, Greene GW, Nebeling L (2008) Social desirability trait influences on self-reported dietary measures among diverse participants in a multicenter multiple risk factor trial. J Nutr 138(1):226S–234S

    CAS  Google Scholar 

  37. Twisk JW (1997) Different statistical models to analyze epidemiological observational longitudinal data: an example from the Amsterdam Growth and Health Study. Int J Sports Med 18(Suppl 3):S216–S224

    Article  Google Scholar 

  38. Australian Bureau of Statistics (2012) Australian Health Survey: first results, 2011–12. ABS, Canberra. Contract no.: 4364.0.55.001

  39. Arabshahi S (2010) Longitudinal change in anthropometric characteristics and diet quality in Australian adults. The University of Queensland, Brisbane

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgments

We thank the participants for their long-term commitment to this study. We also thank Mr. Robert Hughes and A/Prof. Geoffrey Marks, for their contributions to collection of dietary and anthropometric data, and Professor Adѐle Green for making the Nambour Study data available for these analyses. This work was supported by the National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia, PHRDC Program Grant No. 922068, NHMRC Project Grant No. 442976, and NHMRC Program Grant No. 552429.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Simin Arabshahi.

Ethics declarations

Conflict of interest

The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.

Electronic supplementary material

Below is the link to the electronic supplementary material.

Supplementary material 1 (DOCX 58 kb)

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Arabshahi, S., Ibiebele, T.I., Hughes, M.C.B. et al. Dietary patterns and weight change: 15-year longitudinal study in Australian adults. Eur J Nutr 56, 1455–1465 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00394-016-1191-3

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00394-016-1191-3

Keywords

Navigation