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Added value of arterial stiffness index for the 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk determination in a middle-aged population-based study

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Abstract

Objective

Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) is considered the leading cause of mortality worldwide. Arterial stiffness, measured by arterial stiffness index (ASI), could be a main predictor in target damage of organs. Uncertainty remains regarding the contribution of ASI to estimated ASCVD risk. This study investigates the added value of ASI in ASCVD risk determination using the general UK Biobank middle-aged population.

Methods

Among 100,598 participants from the UK Biobank population, ASI was assessed and associations between ASCVD risk were stratified by sex and estimated using multiple linear and logistic regressions adjusted for heart rate, physical activity, alcohol status, smocking pack years, BMI categories and CKD.

Results

Males presented higher ASCVD risk than females (8.58% vs. 2.82%, p < 0.001) and higher ASI levels (9.50 m/s vs. 7.00 m/s, p < 0.001). The Youden index was determined at 9.70 m/s in males (p < 0.001) and 10.46 m/s in females (p < 0.001). Among females, participants with ASI > 10.46 m/s showed higher ASCVD risk than others (3.64% vs. 2.56%, p < 0.001), similar results were observed for males (9.92% vs. 7.21%, p < 0.001). In males, ASI showed significant added value information when including overall covariates (AUC = 0.695 vs. AUC = 0.663, p < 0.001). Similar results were observed in females (AUC = 0.693 vs. AUC = 0.687, p = 0.001). In both genders, for the association between ASI and ASCVD risk, nonlinear relationships were observed with higher accuracies than linear models.

Conclusion

Further studies should investigate ASCVD risk stratification management depending on ASI measurement.

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Data availability statement

The data that support the findings of this study are available on request from the corresponding author. The data are not publicly available due to privacy or ethical restrictions.

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Acknowledgements

This research has been conducted using the UK Biobank Resource under Application Number 55917. The author thanks Polly Gobin for the English correction.

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Conceptualization, formal analysis, writing—original draft preparation were done by A.V. The author has read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.

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Correspondence to Alexandre Vallée.

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The study was conducted according to the guidelines of the Declaration of Helsinki and approved by the Northwest—Haydock Research Ethics Committee (protocol code: 21/NW/0157, date of approval: 21 June 2021).

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Vallée, A. Added value of arterial stiffness index for the 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk determination in a middle-aged population-based study. Clin Res Cardiol 112, 1679–1689 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00392-023-02267-4

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