Abstract
Historically, the high computational expense of performing lengthy climate simulations has limited the number of possible realizations. Here, we exploit the computational advantage of a recently developed parallel atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) to determine the number of realizations required to calculate the model's statistics to a specified degree of certainty. Using standard statistical analysis techniques, this minimum ensemble size is found to be highly dependent on which output field is under examination. A strong dependence on location, season and averaging is also revealed.
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Received: 23 September 1998 / Accepted: 23 July 1999
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Wehner, M. A method to aid in the determination of the sampling size of AGCM ensemble simulations. Climate Dynamics 16, 321–331 (2000). https://doi.org/10.1007/s003820050331
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s003820050331