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Impacts of the land use and land-cover changes on local hydroclimate in southwestern Amazon

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Abstract

This paper investigates the effects of advancing deforestation in the southwestern Amazon on local hydroclimate. For this purpose, a high-resolution mesoscale model, coupled with a land surface model and a hydrologic routing model, is integrated for five years in two experiments, one control without changes in land use and another changing land use annually. During the rainy season, simulated higher precipitation volumes are reduced with the expansion of pasture lands. In the dry periods, mainly in August, there is an increase in precipitation over some deforested areas, which can be associated with mesoscale circulations induced by the heterogeneous surface. In general, land-use changes reduce evapotranspiration and the net radiation at the surface and increase the sensible heat flux during the dry season. In the rainy period, there is an increase in evapotranspiration with the intensification of deforestation, which modifies the other components of energy balance. Results suggest that the impact of LUCC on the local climate is more affected by conditions that generate precipitation extremes (El Niño/La Niña events) than by the abrupt increase in the annual deforestation rate. Land-use changes reduce the streamflow in all sub-basins of Ji-Parana during the dry season. In the rainy season, LUCC increases the streamflow during periods with normal precipitation conditions and La Niña in almost all sub-basins, except in the sub-basin with more than 20% deforestation.

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Data Availability

The datasets generated during the current study are not publicly available due to lack of structure and resources but are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.

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Acknowledgements

This study was financed in part by the Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior – Brasil – Agência Nacional de Águas (CAPES-ANA) - Finance Code 88887.115869/2015-01. The authors thank the São Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP) Grant 2014/50848-9 and Grant 2018/02982-9, the National Council for Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq) Grant 308358/2018-0, the National Institute of Science and Technology for Climate Change Phase 2 under CNPq Grant 465501/2014-1, the CAPES Grant 16/2014, and the CNPq-ANA Grant 446197/2015-7.

Funding

This work was supported by the Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior – Brasil – Agência Nacional de Águas (CAPES-ANA) – Grant number 88887.115869/2015-01.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Center for Weather Forecasting and Climate Studies (CPTEC), National Institute for Space Research (INPE), Cachoeira Paulista, Brazil

    Isabel L. Pilotto, Sin-Chan Chou & Jorge L. Gomes

  2. Alberto Luiz Coimbra Institute for Graduate Studies and Research in Engineering - COPPE, Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

    Daniel A. Rodriguez

  3. Earth System Science Center (CCST), National Institute for Space Research (INPE), São José dos Campos, Brazil

    Lucas Garofolo

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All authors contributed to the study’s conception and design. Material preparation and data collection were performed by Isabel L. Pilotto. Analysis was performed by Isabel L. Pilotto and Daniel A. Rodriguez. The first draft of the manuscript was written by Isabel L. Pilotto and all authors commented on previous versions of the manuscript. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.

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Pilotto, I.L., Rodriguez, D.A., Chou, SC. et al. Impacts of the land use and land-cover changes on local hydroclimate in southwestern Amazon. Clim Dyn 61, 5597–5612 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06872-x

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