Abstract
This study examines the modulation by ENSO of the diurnal cycle of precipitation in boreal winter for the period 1998–2016 over the maritime continent (MC), using the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission data and the weather research and forecasting (WRF) model. The diurnal cycles are composited for the ENSO warm (El Niño) and cold (La Niña) phases. It is found that there are statistically significant differences in the diurnal cycle amplitude between El Niño and La Niña, with a non-uniform spatial pattern over the MC. The amplitude of precipitation diurnal cycle is larger over the western MC but smaller over the eastern MC during El Niño, and vice versa for La Niña. A diagnosis of the moisture budget shows that the difference in the diurnal cycle amplitude is primarily attributed to the vertically integrated convergence of the interannual background moisture by diurnal winds. A further analysis indicates that the ENSO-related background moisture plays a key role in causing the difference in diurnal wind activity between El Niño and La Niña, which leads to the difference in the precipitation diurnal cycle.
Similar content being viewed by others
Data availability statement
Datasets are available in a public repository that assigns persistent identifiers to datasets. TRMM 3B42 data and MERRA data are downloaded from NASA Goddard Earth Sciences Data and Information Services Center at http://disc.sci.gsfc.nasa.gov/TRMM and https://disc.gsfc.nasa.gov/MERRA. TRMM 3G68 data is downloaded from Asia–Pacific Data Research Center (http://apdrc.soest.hawaii.edu/data/data.php). ETOPO2 data is openly available at http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/mgg/global/global.html, and ONI index data is available at https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov.
References
Aldrian E, Susanto RD (2003) Identification of three dominant rainfall regions within Indonesia and their relationship to sea surface temperature. Int J Climatol 23:1435–1452
As-syakur AR, Imaoka K, Ogawara K et al (2019) Analysis of spatial and seasonal differences in the diurnal rainfall cycle over Sumatera revealed by 17-year TRMM 3B42 dataset. SOLA 15:216–221
Bai H, Schumacher C (2022) Topographic influences on diurnally driven MJO rainfall over the maritime continent. J Geophys Res Atmos 127:e2021JD035905
Banacos PC, Schultz DM (2005) The use of moisture flux convergence in forecasting convective initiation: historical and operational perspectives. Weather Forecast 20:351–366
Baranowski DB, Flatau MK, Flatau PJ, Matthews AJ (2016) Phase locking between atmospheric convectively coupled equatorial Kelvin waves and the diurnal cycle of precipitation over the Maritime Continent. Geophys Res Lett 43:8269–8276
Biasutti M, Yuter SE, Burleyson CD, Sobel AH (2012) Very high resolution rainfall patterns measured by TRMM precipitation radar: seasonal and diurnal cycles. Clim Dyn 39(1–2):239–258
Birch CE, Webster S, Peatman SC et al (2016) Scale interactions between the MJO and the western Maritime Continent. J Clim 29(7):2471–2492
Cao X, Li T, Peng M et al (2014) Effects of monsoon trough intraseasonal oscillation on tropical cyclogenesis over the Western North Pacific. J Atmos Sci 71:4639–4660
Chang C-P, Wang Z, Ju J, Li T (2004) On the relationship between Western Maritime Continent Monsoon rainfall and ENSO during Northern Winter. J Clim 17:665–672
Chen F, Dudhia J (2001) Coupling an advanced land-surface/hydrology model with the Penn State/NCAR MM5 modeling system. Part I: model description and implementation. Mon Weather Rev 129:569–585
Chen L, Li T, Yu Y (2015) Causes of strengthening and weakening of ENSO amplitude under global warming in four CMIP5 models. J Clim 28:3250–3274
Compagnucci RH, Salles MA, Canziani PO (2001) The spatial and temporal behavior of the lower stratospheric temperature over the Southern Hemisphere: the MSU view. Part I: data, methodology and temporal behavior. Int J Climatol 21:419–437
Crosman ET, Horel JD (2010) Sea and lake breezes: a review of numerical studies. Bound Layer Meteorol 137:1–29
Dee DP, Uppala SM, Simmons AJ et al (2011) The ERA-interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the data assimilation system. Q J R Meteorol Soc 137(656):553–597
Du Y, Rotunno R (2018) Diurnal cycle of rainfall and winds near the south coast of China. J Atmos Sci 75:2065–2082
Du Y, Zhang Q, Chen YL et al (2014) Numerical simulations of spatial distributions and diurnal variations of low-level jets in China during early summer. J Clim 27(15):5747–5767
Dudhia J (1989) Numerical study of convection observed during the winter monsoon experiment using a mesoscale two-dimensional model. J Atmos Sci 46:3077–3107
Gentemann CL, Donlon CJ, Stuart-Menteth A et al (2003) Diurnal signals in satellite sea surface temperature measurements. Geophys Res Lett 30:1140
Hamada JI, Yamanaka MD, Matsumoto J et al (2002) Spatial and temporal variations of the rainy season over Indonesia and their link to ENSO. J Meteorol Soc Jpn 80:285–310
Hamada JI, Yamanaka MD, Mori S et al (2008) Differences of rainfall characteristics between coastal and interior areas of central western Sumatera, Indonesia. J Meteorol Soc Jpn 86:593–611
Hamada JI, Mori S, Kubota H et al (2012) Interannual rainfall variability over northwestern Jawa and its relation to the Indian Ocean dipole and El Niño-Southern Oscillation events. SOLA 8:69–72
Hashiguchi NO, Yamanaka MD, Ogino SY et al (2006) Seasonal and interannual variations of temperature in tropical tropopause layer (TTL) over Indonesia based on operational rawinsonde data during 1992–1999. J Geophys Res 111:D15110
Hattori M, Mori S, Matsumoto J (2011) The cross-equatorial northerly surge over the maritime continent and its relationship to precipitation patterns. J Meteorol Soc Jpn 89A:27–47
Hendon HH, Woodberry K (1993) The diurnal cycle of tropical convection. J Geophys Res 98(D9):16623–16637
Hong S-Y, Lim J-OJ (2006) The WRF single-moment 6-class microphysics scheme (WSM6). J Korean Meteorol Soc 42:129–151
Hong S-Y, Noh Y, Dudhia J (2006) A new vertical diffusion package with an explicit treatment of entrainment processes. Mon Weather Rev 134:2318–2341
Hsu PC, Li T, Tsou CH (2011) Interactions between boreal summer intraseasonal oscillations and synoptic-scale disturbances over the western North Pacific. Part I: energetics diagnosis. J Clim 24:927–941
Huffman GJ, Adler RF, Bolvin DT et al (2007) The TRMM multi-satellite precipitation analysis: quasi-global, multi-year, combined-sensor precipitation estimates at fine scale. J Hydrometeorol 8:38–55
Ichikawa H, Yasunari T (2006) Time–space characteristics of diurnal rainfall over Borneo and surrounding oceans as observed by TRMM-PR. J Clim 19:1238–1260
Janjic ZI (2001) Nonsingular implementation of the Mellor–Yamada level 2.5 scheme in the NCEP meso model. NCEP office note 437
Jiang L, Li T (2018) Why rainfall response to El Niño over maritime continent is weaker and non-uniform in boreal winter than in boreal summer. Clim Dyn 51(4):1465–1483
Kain JS (2004) The Kain-Fritsch convective parameterization: an update. J Appl Meteorol 43:170–181
Kikuchi K, Wang B (2008) Diurnal precipitation regimes in the global tropics. J Clim 21:2680–2696
Kubota H, Nitta T (2001) Diurnal variations of tropical convection observed during the TOGA-COARE. J Meteorol Soc Jpn 79:815–830
Kubota H, Shirooka R, Hamada JI, Syamsudin F (2011) Interannual rainfall variability over the eastern Maritime Continent. J Meteorol Soc Jpn 89A:111–122
Lestari S, Hamada JI, Syamsudin F et al (2016) ENSO influences on rainfall extremes around Sulawesi and Maluku Islands in the eastern Indonesian maritime continent. SOLA 12:37–41
Li W, Luo C, Wang D, Lei T (2010) Diurnal variations of precipitation over the South China Sea. Meteorol Atmos Phys 109:33–46
Lorenz EN (1956) Empirical orthogonal functions and statistical weather prediction. Scientific Rep 1, Statistical forecasting project. Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department of Meteorology, p 49
Love BS, Matthews AJ, Lister GM (2011) The diurnal cycle of precipitation over the maritime continent in a high-resolution atmospheric model. Q J R Meteorol Soc 137:934–947
Lu J, Li T, Wang L (2019) Precipitation diurnal cycle over the maritime continent modulated by the MJO. Clim Dyn 53:6489–6501
Lu J, Li T, Wang L (2021) Precipitation diurnal cycle over the maritime continent modulated by the climatological annual cycle. J Clim 34:1387–1402
Mapes BE, Warner TT, Xu M (2003) Diurnal patterns of rainfall in northwestern South America. Part III: diurnal gravity waves and nocturnal convection offshore. Mon Weather Rev 131:830–844
Matsumoto J, Wang B, Li J et al (2017) An overview of the Asian monsoon years 2007–2012 (AMY) and multi-scale interactions in the extreme rain-fall events over the Indonesian Maritime Continent. In: Chih-Pei Chang, Kuo H-C, Lau N-C et al (eds) The global monsoon system: research and forecast, 3rd edn. World Scientific Publishing Co., pp 365–385
Misra V (2010) Interaction of interannual and diurnal variations over equatorial Africa. J Geophys Res Atmos 115:D01111
Mlawer EJ, Taubman SJ, Brown PD et al (1997) Radiative transfer for inhomogeneous atmospheres: RRTM, a validated correlated-k model for the longwave. J Geophys Res 102:16663–16682
Moron V, Robertson AW, Qian JH, Ghil M (2015) Weather types across the Maritime Continent: from the diurnal cycle to interannual variations. Front Environ Sci 2:65
Neale R, Slingo J (2003) The maritime continent and its role in the global climate: a GCM study. J Clim 16:834–848
Negri AJ, Bell TL, Xu L (2002) Sampling of the diurnal cycle of precipitation using TRMM. J Atmos Ocean Technol 19:1333–1344
Oh J-H, Kim K-Y, Lim G-H (2012) Impact of MJO on the diurnal cycle of rainfall over the western Maritime Continent in the austral summer. Clim Dyn 38:1167–1180
Peatman SC, Matthews AJ, Stevens DP (2014) Propagation of the Madden–Julian Oscillation through the Maritime Continent and scale interaction with the diurnal cycle of precipitation. Q J R Meteorol Soc 140(680):814–825
Philander SGH (1990) El Niño, La Niña, and the Southern Oscillation. Academic Press, New York, p 293
Qian JH (2008) Why precipitation is mostly concentrated over islands in the Maritime Continent. J Atmos Sci 65:1428–1441
Qian JH (2020) Multi-scale climate processes and rainfall variability in Sumatra and Malay Peninsula associated with ENSO in boreal fall and winter. Int J Climatol 40:4171–4188
Qian JH, Robertson AW, Moron V (2010) Interactions among ENSO, the monsoon, and diurnal cycle in rainfall variability over Java, Indonesia. J Atmos Sci 67(11):3509–3524
Qian JH, Robertson AW, Moron V (2013) Diurnal cycle in different weather regimes and rainfall variability over Borneo associated with ENSO. J Clim 26(5):1772–1790
Ramage CS (1968) Role of a tropical ‘“maritime continent”’ in the atmospheric circulation. Mon Weather Rev 96:365–370
Rasmusson EM, Carpenter TH (1982) Variations in tropical sea surface temperature and surface wind fields associated with the Southern Oscillation/El Niño. Mon Weather Rev 110:354–384
Rauniyar SP, Walsh KJE (2011) Scale interaction of the diurnal cycle of rainfall over the Maritime Continent and Australia: influence of the MJO. J Clim 24:325–348
Rauniyar SP, Walsh KJE (2013) Influence of ENSO on the diurnal cycle of rainfall over the Maritime Continent and Australia. J Clim 26:1304–1321
Rienecker MM, Suarez MJ, Gelaro R et al (2011) MERRA: NASA’s modern-era retrospective analysis for research and applications. J Clim 24(14):3624–3648
Rotunno R (1983) On the linear theory of the land and sea breeze. J Atmos Sci 40(8):1999–2009
Roundy PE (2015) On the interpretation of EOF analysis of ENSO, atmospheric Kelvin waves, and the MJO. J Clim 28:1148–1165
Saito K, Keenan T, Holland G, Puri K (2001) Numerical simulation of the diurnal evolution of tropical island convection over the maritime continent. Mon Weather Rev 129:378–400
Saji NH, Yamagata T (2003) Possible impacts of Indian Ocean dipole mode event on global climate. Clim Res 25:151–169
Sakaeda N, Kiladis G, Dias J (2017) The diurnal cycle of tropical cloudiness and rainfall associated with the Madden–Julian oscillation. J Clim 30:3999–4020
Sakaeda N, Powell SW, Dias J, Kiladis GN (2018) The diurnal variability of precipitating cloud populations during DYNAMO. J Atmos Sci 75:1307–1326
Sakurai N et al (2005) Diurnal cycle of cloud system migration over Sumatera Island. J Meteorol Soc Jpn 83:835–850
Silva FB, Longo KM, De Andrade FM (2017) Spatial and temporal variability patterns of the urban heat island in São Paulo. Environments 4(2):27
Simpson J, Keenan TD, Ferrier B et al (1993) Cumulus merger in the Maritime Continent region. Meteorol Atmos Phys 51:73–99
Skamarock WC, Klemp JB, Dudhia J et al (2019) A description of the Advanced Research WRF version 4. NCAR Tech Note NCAR/TN-5561STR, pp145
Slingo J, Inness P, Neale R et al (2003) Scale interactions on diurnal to seasonal timescales and their relevance to model systematic errors. Ann Geophys 46:139–155
Smith WHF, Sandwell DT (1997) Global seafloor topography from satellite altimetry and ship depth soundings. Science 277(5334):1956–1962
Supari TF, Salimun E, Aldrian E, Sopaheluwakan A, Juneng L (2018) ENSO modulation of seasonal rainfall and extremes in Indonesia. Climate Dyn 51:2559–2580
Taylor PC (2012) Tropical outgoing longwave radiation and longwave cloud forcing diurnal cycles from CERES. J Atmos Sci 69:3652–3669
Teo C-K, Koh T-Y, Lo JC-F, Bhatt BC (2011) Principal component analysis of observed and modelled diurnal precipitation in the maritime continent. J Clim 24:4662–4675
Trilaksono NJ, Otsuka S, Yoden S (2012) A time-lagged ensemble simulation on the modulation of precipitation over west Java in January–February 2007. Mon Weather Rev 140:601–616
Villafuerte MQ, Matsumoto J (2015) Significant influences of global mean temperature and ENSO on extreme rainfall in Southeast Asia. J Clim 28:1905–1919
Vincent CL, Lane TP (2017) A 10-year austral summer climatology of observed and modeled intraseasonal, mesoscale, and diurnal variations over the Maritime Continent. J Clim 30(10):3807–3828
Wang B, Wu R, Fu X (2000) Pacific-East Asian teleconnection: how does ENSO affect East Asian Climate? J Clim 13:1517–1536
Wang B, Kim HJ, Kikuchi K, Kitoh A (2011) Diagnostic metrics for evaluation of annual and diurnal cycles. Clim Dyn 37(5–6):941–955
Wang L, Li T, Maloney E, Wang B (2017) Fundamental causes of propagating and nonpropagating MJOs in MJOTF/GASS models. J Clim 30:3743–3769
Wang L, Li T, Chen L (2019) Modulation of the Madden–Julian oscillation on the energetics of wintertime synoptic-scale disturbances. Clim Dyn 52:4861–4871
Wei Y, Pu Z, Zhang C (2020) Diurnal cycle of precipitation over the Maritime Continent under modulation of MJO: perspectives from cloud-permitting scale simulations. J Geophys Res Atmos 125:e2020JD032529
Wu P, Hara M, Fudeyasu H et al (2007) The impact of trans-equatorial monsoon flow on the formation of repeated torrential rains over Java Island. SOLA 3:93–96
Wu P, Hara M, Hamada JI et al (2009) Why a large amount of rain falls over the sea in the vicinity of Western Sumatra Island during nighttime. J Appl Meteorol Climatol 48:1345–1361
Wu P, Arbain AA, Mori S et al (2013) The effects of an active phase of the Madden–Julian oscillation on the extreme precipitation event over western Java Island in January 2013. SOLA 9:79–83
Wu B, Zhou TJ, Li T (2017a) Atmospheric dynamic and thermodynamic processes driving the western North Pacific anomalous anticyclone during El Niño. Part I: maintenance. Mech J Clim 30:9621–9635
Wu B, Zhou TJ, Li T (2017b) Atmospheric dynamic and thermodynamic processes driving the western North Pacific anomalous anticyclone during El Niño. Part II: formation processes. J Clim 30:9637–9650
Yamanaka MD (2016) Physical climatology of Indonesian maritime continent: an outline to comprehend observational studies. Atmos Res 178–179:231–259
Yamanaka MD, Ogino SY, Wu PM et al (2018) Maritime Continent coastlines controlling Earth’s climate. Prog Earth Planet Sci 5(1):1–28
Yang GY, Slingo J (2001) The diurnal cycle in the tropics. Mon Weather Rev 129:784–801
Acknowledgements
We thank the Editor and three anonymous reviewers for their constructive and insightful comments and suggestions. This work was supported by NSFC grants 42088101 and 41875069, and Postgraduate Research and Practice Innovation Program of Jiangsu Province KYCX21_0943. We acknowledge the High Performance Computing Center of Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology for their support of this work.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
Publisher's Note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Rights and permissions
Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.
About this article
Cite this article
Lu, J., Li, T. & Shen, X. Precipitation diurnal cycle over the maritime continent modulated by ENSO. Clim Dyn 61, 2547–2564 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06699-6
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06699-6