Abstract
The role of the Himalayan orography representation in a Regional Climate Model (RegCM4) nested in NCMRWF global spectral model is examined in simulating the winter circulation and associated precipitation over the Northwest India (NWI; 23°–37.5°N and 69°–85°E) region. For this purpose, nine different set of orography representations for nine distinct precipitation years (three years each for wet, normal and dry) have been considered by increasing (decreasing) 5, 10, 15, and 20% from the mean height (CNTRL) of the Himalaya in RegCM4 model. Validation with various observations revealed a good improvement in reproducing the precipitation intensity and distribution with increased model height compared to the results obtained from CNTRL and reduced orography experiments. Further it has been found that, increase in height by 10% (P10) increases seasonal precipitation about 20%, while decrease in height by 10% (M10) results around 28% reduction in seasonal precipitation as compared to CNTRL experiment over NWI region. This improvement in precipitation simulation comes due to better representation of vertical pressure velocity and moisture transport as these factors play an important role in wintertime precipitation processes over NWI region. Furthermore, a comparison of model-simulated precipitation with observed precipitation at 17 station locations has been also carried out. Overall, the results suggest that when the orographic increment of 10% (P10) is applied on RegCM4 model, it has better skill in simulating the precipitation over the NWI region and this model is a useful tool for further regional downscaling studies.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Abe M, Kitoh A, Yasunari T (2003) An evolution of the Asian summer monsoon associated with mountain uplift—simulation with the MRI atmosphere-ocean coupled GCM. J Meteorol Soc Japan 81:909–933
Anthes RA (1977) A cumulus parameterization scheme utilizing a one- dimensional cloud model. Mon Weather Rev 105:270–286
Barros AP, Lettenmaier DP (1994) Dynamic modeling of orographically induced precipitation. Rev Geophys 32:265–284
Bhardwaj R, Kumar A, Maini P, Kar SC, Rathore LS. 2007. Bias-free rainfall forecast and temperature trend-based temperature forecast using T-170 model output during the monsoon season. Met Appl 14(4):351–360
Bhaskaran B, Jones RG, Murphy JM, Noguer M (1996) Simulations of the Indian summer monsoon using a nested climate model: Domain size experiments. Clim Dyn 12:573–587
Chakraborty A, Nanjundiah RS, Srinivasan J (2002) Role of Asian and African orography in Indian summer monsoon. Geophys Res Lett. doi:10.1029/2002GL015522
Chitlangia PR (1976) Mean model of western depression. Indian J Meteorol Hydrol Geophys 27(2):157–162
Dee DP, Uppala SM, Simmons AJ, Berrisford P, Poli P, Kobayashi S, Andrae U, Balmaseda MA, Balsamo G, Bauer P, Bechtold P, Beljaars ACM, Van de Berg L, Bidlot J, Bormann N, Delsol C, Dragani R, Fuentes M, Geer AJ, Haimberger L, Healy SB, Hersbach H, Hólm EV, Isaksen L, Kållberg P, Köhler M, Matricardi M, McNally AP, Monge-Sanz BM, Morcrette JJ, Park BK, Peubey C, Rosnay P, Tavolato C, Thépaut JN, Vitart F (2011) The ERA-Interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the data assimilation system. Q J R Meteorol Soc 137:553–597
Elguindi N, Bi XQ, Giorgi F, Nagarajan B, Pal J, Solmon F, Rauscher S, Zakey A, Giuliani G (2011) Regional climatic model RegCM user manual version 4.1.1. The Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics Strada Costiera, Trieste, Italy
Feng J, Fu C (2006) Inter-comparison of 10-year precipitation simulated by several RCMs for Asia. Adv Atmos Sci 23:531–542
Fennessy MJ, Kinter JL, Kirtman B, Marx L, Nigam S, Schneider E, Shukla J, Straus D, Vernekar A, Xue Y, Zhou J (1994) The simulated Indian monsoon: a GCM sensitivity study. J Clim 7:33–43
Fraser AB, Easter RC, Hobbs PV (1973) A theoretical study of the flow of air and fallout of solid precipitation over mountainous terrain: Part I. Airflow model. J Atmos Sci 30:801–812
Fritsch JM, Chappell CF (1980) Numerical prediction of convectively driven mesoscale pressure systems, part 1: Convective parameterization. J Atmos Sci 37:1722–1733
Fu C, Wang S, Xiong Z, Gutowski WJ, Lee DK, McGregor JL, Sato Y, Kato H, Kim JW, Suh MS (2005) Regional climate model intercomparison project for Asia. Bull Am Meteor Soc 86:257–266
Giorgi F (2006) Regional climate modeling: status and perspectives. J Phys IV 139:101–118
Giorgi F, Avissar R (1997) The representation of heterogeneity effects in earth system modeling: experience from land surface modeling. Rev Geophys 35:413–438
Giorgi F, Bates GT (1989) The climatological skill of a regional climate model over complex terrain. Mon Weather Rev 117:2325–2347
Giorgi F, Mearns LO (1991) Approaches to the simulation of regional climate change: A review. Rev Geophys 29:191–216
Giorgi F, Coppola E, Solmon F, Mariotti L, Sylla MB, Bi X, Elguindi N, Diro GT, Nair V, Giuliani G, Cozzini S, Gu¨ttler I, O’Brien TA, Tawfik AB, Shalaby A, Zakey AS, Steiner AL, Stordal F, Sloan LC, Brankovic C (2012) RegCM4: model description and preliminary tests over multiple CORDEX domains. Clim Res 52:7–29
Grell GA (1993) Prognostic evaluation of assumptions used by cumulus parameterization. Mon Weather Rev 121:764–787
Grell GA, Dudhia J, Stauffer DR (1994) Description of the fifth generation Penn State/NCAR Mesoscale Model (MM5). Tech. Rep. TN-398 + STR, NCAR, Boulder, Colorado, pp. 1–12
Hahn DG, Manabe S (1975) The role of mountains in the south Asian monsoon circulation. J Atmos Sci 32: 1515–1541
Hobbs PV, Easter RC, Fraser AB (1973) A theoretical study of the flow of air and fallout of solid precipitation over mountainous terrain, II, Microphysics. J Atmos Sci 30:813–823
Holtslag AAM, De Bruijn EIF, Pan HL (1990) A high-resolution air mass transformation model for short-range weather forecasting. Mon Weather Rev 118:1561–1575
Im ES, Ahn JB (2011) On the elevation dependency of present day climate and future change over Korea from a high-resolution regional climate simulation. J Meteoro Soc 89:89–100
Kanamitsu M, Alpert JC, Campana KA, Caplan PM, Deaven DG, Iredell M, Katz B, Pan HL, Sela J, White WH (1991) Recent changes implemented into the global forecast system at NMC. Weather Forecast 6:425–435
Kar SC (2002) Description of a high-resolution global model (T170/L28) developed at NCMRWF. National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting, Research report, NMRF/RR/ 1/2002
Kar SC (2007) Global model simulations of interannual variability of the Indian summer monsoon using observed SST variability. NCMRWF research Report, NMRF/RR/2/2007
Kar SC, Rana S (2014) Interannual variability of winter precipitation over northwest India and adjoining region: impact of global forcing’s. Theor Appl Climatol. doi:10.1007/s00704-013-0968-z
Kar SC, Iyengar GR, Bohra AK (2011) Ensemble spread and model systematic errors in the monsoon rainfall forecasts using the NCMRWF global ensemble prediction system. Atmosfer 24(2):173–191
Kasahara A (1980) Influence of orography on the atmospheric general circulation, Orographic Effects in Planetary Flows. GARP Publ Ser 23:3–49
Kasahara A, Washington WM (1968) Thermal and Dynamical Effects of Orography on the General Circulation of the Atmosphere, NCAR Manuscript, No. 68–208.
Kiehl JT, Hack JJ, Bonan GB, Boville BA, Briegleb BP, Williamson DL, Rasch PJ (1996) Description of the NCAR Community Climate Model (CCM3). NCAR Tech. Note NCAR/TN- 420 + STR
Kuo YH (1974) Further studies of the parameterization of the influence of cumulus convection of large-scale Flow. J Atmos Sci 31:1232–1240
Mohanty UC, Madan OP, Rao PLS, Raju PVS (1998) Meteorological fields associated with western disturbances in relation to glacier basins of western Himalayas during winter season. Technical Report, Centre for Atmospheric Science, IIT Delhi, India
Namias J (1960) Synoptic and planetary scale phenomena leading to the formation and recurrence of precipitation, in Physics of Precipitation. Geophys Monogr Ser, 5, H. Weickmann (eds). AGU, Washington, DC, pp. 32–44
Namias J (1980) The art and science of long-range forecasting. Eos Trans AGU 61:449–450
Oleson KW, Niu GY, Yang ZL, Lawrence DM, Thornton PE, Lawrence PJ, Stöckli R, Dickinson RE, Bonan GB, Levis S, Dai A, Qian T (2008) Improvements to the Community Land Model and their impact on the hydrological cycle. J Geophys Res 113:1021–1026
Pai DS, Sridhar L, Rajeevan M, Sreejith OP, Satbhai NS, Mukhopadhyay B (2014) Development of a new high spatial resolution (0.25° × 0.25°) long period (1901–2010) daily gridded rainfall data set over India and its comparison with existing data sets over the region. Mausam 65:1–8
Pielke R, Avissar R (1990) Influence of landscape structure on local and regional climate. Landscape Ecol 4:133–155
Pisharoty P, Desai BN (1956) Western Disturbance and Indian Weather. Indian J Meteorol Hydrol Geophys 7:333–338
Revadekar JV, Kulkarni A (2008) The El Nino-Southern Oscillation and winter precipitation extremes over India. Int J Climatol 28:1445–1452
Roads JO, Maisel TN (1991) Evaluation of the National Meteorological Center’s medium range forecast model precipitation forecasts. Weather Forecast 6:123–130
Rummukainen M (2009) State-of-the-art with regional climate models. WIREs. Climate Change 1:82–96
Sinha P, Tiwari PR, Kar SC, Mohanty UC, Raju PVS, Dey S, Shekhar MS (2015) Sensitivity studies of convective schemes and model resolutions in simulations of wintertime circulation and precipitation over western Himalayas. Pure Appl Geophys 172(2):503–530
Smith RB (1979) The influence of mountains on the atmosphere. Adv Geophys 21:87–233
Song JH, Kang HS, Byun YH, Hong SY (2010) Effects of the Tibetan Plateau on the Asian summer monsoon: a numerical case study using a regional climate model. Int J Climatol 30:743–759
Taylor KE (2001) Summarizing multiple aspects of model performance in a single diagram. J Geophys Res 106:7183–7192
Tiwari PR, Kar SC, Mohanty UC, Dey S, Sinha P, Raju PVS, Shekhar MS (2014) Dynamical downscaling approach for wintertime seasonal scale simulation over the western Himalayas. Acta Geophysica 62(4):930–935
Tiwari PR, Kar SC, Mohanty UC, Dey S, Sinha P, Raju PVS, Shekhar MS (2016) On the dynamical downscaling and bias correction of seasonal-scale winter precipitation predictions over North India. Q J R Meteo Soc. doi:10.1002/qj.2832
Wallace JM (1987) Observations of orographic influences upon large-scale atmospheric motions, in Seminar/Workshop 1986 on Observation, Theory and Modeling of Orographic Effects, vol. 1, pp. 23–49, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, England
Wilks DS (1995) Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences. Academic Press, San Diego, CA
Willmott CJ (1982) Some comments on the evaluation of model performance. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 63:1309–1313
Acknowledgements
We thank the anonymous reviewers for their comments and suggestions that helped us to improve the manuscript. The RegCM4.1.1 model, installed at IIT Delhi, has developed at the ICTP, Trieste, Italy. Authors sincerely acknowledge the IMD and SASE for providing their daily gridded and station precipitation data. The authors would like to acknowledge European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) for making their ERA-Interim data available to this study. The work is partly supported by research grant from Department of Science and Technology, Govt. of India under contract DST/CCP/PR/11/2011 through a research project operational at IIT Delhi (IITD/IRD/RP2580). The authors duly acknowledge Bianca C. for editing the English of the manuscript.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Tiwari, P.R., Kar, S.C., Mohanty, U.C. et al. Sensitivity of the Himalayan orography representation in simulation of winter precipitation using Regional Climate Model (RegCM) nested in a GCM. Clim Dyn 49, 4157–4170 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3567-3
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3567-3