Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Inter-decadal changes in the East Asian summer monsoon and associations with sea surface temperature anomaly in the South Indian Ocean

  • Published:
Climate Dynamics Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Previous studies have revealed inter-decadal changes in the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) that occurred around the late 1970s and early 1990s, respectively. The present study compares characteristics of these two changes and analyzes plausible influences of the South Indian Ocean (SIO) sea surface temperature (SST) change. The two changes share pronounced common features, characterized by an equivalent barotropic circulation anomaly over northern East Asia and a meridional vertical overturning circulation over the tropical region. Meanwhile, they display some distinct characteristics, especially over the tropics. The circumfluent anomalies are more robust for the first change than for the second one. Related amplitude asymmetry is partly attributed to a weakening trend in the EASM. Moreover, SST change in the SIO, featuring a decadal warming since the 1980s and a cooling after 1993, may contribute to both of these inter-decadal changes. Cold SST anomaly induces anomalous mid-tropospheric descent over the western SIO and ascent extending from the eastern SIO to western Australia and over the equatorial Indian Ocean. The accompanying upper-tropospheric divergent flows from western Australia and equatorial Indian Ocean to the Philippines lead to anomalous descent and an anomalous lower-tropospheric anticyclone over the South China Sea–Philippines. Warm SST anomaly induces opposite changes in above regions. The possible influence of SST anomaly in the SIO is further confirmed by numerical experiments.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7
Fig. 8
Fig. 9
Fig. 10
Fig. 11
Fig. 12

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Behera SK, Yamagata T (2001) Subtropical SST dipole events in the Southern Indian Ocean. Geophys Res Lett 28:327–330

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cao J et al (2014) Summer rainfall variability in low-latitude highlands of China and subtropical Indian ocean dipole. J Clim 27:880–892

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chang CP, Zhang YS, Li T (2000) Interannual and interdecadal variations of the East Asian summer monsoon and tropical Pacific SSTs. Part I: roles of the subtropical ridge. J Clim 13:4310–4325

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chen WY (1982) Fluctuation in Northern Hemisphere 700 mb height filed associated with the Southern Oscillation. Mon Wea Rev 110:802–823

    Google Scholar 

  • Chen LX, Xie A (1988) Westward propagating low-frequency oscillation and its teleconnection in the eastern hemisphere. Acta Meteorologica Sinica 2:300–312

    Google Scholar 

  • Chen LX, Yang JH, Wang G (1989) Evolutional features of interannual low-frequency oscillations and their relation to the occurrence of El Nino. Acta Meteorologica Sinica 3:352–365

    Google Scholar 

  • Chen LX, Chen D, Shen RG (1990) The interannual oscillation of rainfall over China and its relation to the interannual oscillation of the air-sea system. Acta Meteorologica Sinica 4:598–612

    Google Scholar 

  • Chen JP, Wu R, Wen ZP (2012) Contribution of South China sea tropical cyclones to an increase in Southern China summer rainfall around 1993. Adv Atmos Sci 29:585–598

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chen ZS et al (2014) Influence of two types of El Ninos on the East Asian climate during boreal summer: a numerical study. Clim Dyn 43:469–481. doi:10.1007/s00382-013-1943-1

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chen JP et al (2015) Influences of northward propagating 25–90-day and quasi-biweekly oscillations on eastern China summer rainfall. Clim Dyn 45:105–124. doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2334-y

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ding YH, Wang ZY, Sun Y (2008) Inter-decadal variation of the summer precipitation in East China and its association with decreasing Asian summer monsoon. Part I: observed evidences. Int J Climatol 28:1139–1161

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ding YH et al (2009) Inter-decadal variation of the summer precipitation in East China and its association with decreasing Asian summer monsoon. Part II: possible causes. Int J Climatol 29:1926–1944

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Guan B, Johnny CLC (2006) Nonstationary of the intraseasonal oscillations associated with the Western North Pacific summer monsoon. J Clim 19:622–629

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Guo QY et al (2003) Interdecadal variability of East Asian summer monsoon and its impact on the climate of China. Acta Geogr Sin 58:569–576 (in Chinese)

    Google Scholar 

  • Han WQ et al (2014) Intensification of decadal and multi-decadal sea level variability in the western tropical Pacific during recent decades. Clim Dyn 43:1357–1379. doi:10.1007/s00382-013-1951-1

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ju JH, Qian C, Cao J (2005) The intraseasonal oscillation of east Asian summer monsoon. Chin J Atmos Sci 29:187–194 (in Chinese)

    Google Scholar 

  • Kajikawa Y, Wang B (2012) Interdecadal change of the South China sea summer monsoon onset. J Clim 25:3207–3218

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kobayashi S et al (2015) The JRA-55 reanalysis: general specifications and basic characteristics. J Meteor Soc Jpn 93:5–48

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kwon MH et al (2005) Decadal change in relationship between east Asian and WNP summer monsoons. Geophys Res Lett 32:L16709. doi:10.1029/2005GL023026

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kwon MH, Jhun JG, Ha KJ (2007) Decadal change in east Asian summer monsoon circulation in the mid-1990s. Geophys Res Lett 34:L21706. doi:10.1029/2007GL031977

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lei YH, Hoskins B, Slingo J (2011) Exploring the interplay between natural decadal variability and anthropogenic climate change in summer rainfall over China. Part I: observational evidence. J Clim 24:4584–4599

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Li TM et al (2006) Spatiotemporal structures and mechanisms of the tropospheric biennial oscillation in the Indo Pacific warm ocean regions. J Clim 19:3070–3080

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Li HM et al (2010) Responses of East Asian summer monsoon to historical SST and atmospheric forcing during 1950–2000. Clim Dyn 34:501–514

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lindzen RS, Nigam S (1987) On the role of sea surface temperature gradients in forcing low-level winds and convergence in the tropics. J Atmos Sci 44:2418–2436

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Liu J, Wang B, Yang J (2008) Forced and internal modes of variability of the East Asian summer monsoon. Clim Past 4:225–233

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Liu Y, Huang G, Huang RH (2011) Inter-decadal variability of summer rainfall in Eastern China detected by the Lepage test. Theor Appl Climatol 106:481–488

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mao JY, Chan JC (2005) Intraseasonal variability of the South China Sea summer monsoon. J Clim 18:2388–2402

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Meehl A, Arblaster JM (2002) The tropospheric biennial oscillation and Asian-Australian monsoon rainfall. J Clim 15:722–744

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Neale RB et al (2013) The mean climate of the community atmosphere model (CAM4) in forced SST and fully coupled experiments. J Clim 26:5150–5168. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00236.1

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • New M, Hulme M, Jones P (2000) Representing twentieth-century space–time climate variability. Part II: development of 1901–1996 monthly grids of terrestrial surface climate. J Clim 13:2217–2238

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nitta T, Hu ZZ (1996) Summer climate variability in china and its association with 500 hPa height and tropical convection. J Meteor Soc Jpn 74:425–445

    Google Scholar 

  • Nitta T, Yamada S (1989) Recent warming of tropical sea surface temperature and its relationship to the northern hemisphere circulation. J Meteor Soc Jpn 67:375–383

    Google Scholar 

  • North GR et al (1982) Sampling errors in the estimation of empirical orthogonal functions. Mon Wea Rev 110:699–706

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rayner NA et al (2003) Global analyses of sea surface temperature, sea ice, and night marine air temperature since the late nineteenth century. J Geophy Res-Atmos 108:D14. doi:10.1029/2002JD002670

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Shi YY, Zhang YC (2008) The impacts of intensity variations of the East Asia Subtropical Westerly Jet on summer precipitation in North China. In: Proceedings of the 25th Chinese Meteorological Society annual meeting, pp 625–634

  • Solomon S et al (2010) Contributions of stratospheric water vapor to decadal changes in the rate of global warming. Science 327:1219. doi:10.1126/science.1182488

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Suzuki R et al (2004) Indian Ocean subtropical dipole simulated using a coupled general circulation model. J Geophys Res 109:C09001. doi:10.1029/2003JC001974

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Trenberth K, Hurrell J (1994) Decadal atmosphere-ocean variations in the Pacific. Clim Dyn 9:303–319. doi:10.1007/BF00204745

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Uppala SM et al (2005) The ERA-40 re-analysis. QJR Meteor Soc 131:2961–3012. doi:10.1256/qj.04.176

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wang B (1992) The vertical structure and development of the ENSO anomaly mode during 1979–1989. J Atmos Sci 49:698–712

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wang HJ (2001) The weakening of the Asian monsoon circulation after the end of 1970s. Adv Atmos Sci 18:376–386

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wang B et al (2012) Recent change of the global monsoon precipitation (1979–2008). Clim Dyn 39:1123–1135. doi:10.1007/s00382-011-1266-z

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wu R, Chen LT (1998) Decadal variation of summer rainfall in the Yangtze-Huaihe River reaches and its relationship to atmospheric circulation anomalies over East Asia and western North Pacific. Adv Atmos Sci 15:510–522

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wu R, Kinter JL III, Kirtman BP (2005) Discrepancy of interdecadal changes in the Asian region among the NCEP-NCAR reanalysis, objective analyses, and observations. J Clim 18:3048–3067

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wu BY et al (2008) Distinct modes of the east asian summer monsoon. J Clim 21:1122–1138

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wu BY, Zhang RH, Wang B (2009) On the association between spring arctic sea ice concentration and chinese summer rainfall: a further study. Adv Atmos Sci 26:666–678

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wu R et al (2010) An interdecadal change in southern china summer rainfall around 1992/93. J Clim 23:2389–2403

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Xiang BQ, Wang B (2013) Mechanisms for the advanced Asian summer monsoon onset since the mid-to-late 1990s. J Clim 26:1993–2009

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Xu M et al (2006) Steady decline of East Asian monsoon winds, 1969–2000: evidence from direct ground measurements of wind speed. J Geophys Res 111:D24111. doi:10.1029/2006JD007337

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Xue F (2001) Interannual to interdecadal variation of East Asian summer monsoon and its association with the global atmospheric circulation and sea surface temperature. Adv Atmos Sci 18:567–575

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yang MZ, Ding YH (2007) A study of the impact of south Indian Ocean dipole on the summer rainfall in China. Chin J Atmos Sci 31:685–694 (in Chinese)

    Google Scholar 

  • Yang S, Lau KM, Kim KM (2002) Variations of the East Asian jet stream and Asian-Pacific-American winter climate anomalies. J Clim 15:306–325

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yim SY, Jhun JG, Yeh SW (2008) Decadal change in the relationship between east Asian–western North Pacific summer monsoons and ENSO in the mid-1990s. Geophys Res Lett 35:L20711. doi:10.1029/2008GL035751

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yim SY, Wang B, Kwon MH (2014) Interdecadal change of the controlling mechanisms for East Asian early summer rainfall variation around the mid-1990s. Clim Dyn 42:1325–1333. doi:10.1007/s00382-013-1760-6

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yu RC, Wang B, Zhou TJ (2004) Tropospheric cooling and summer monsoon weakening trend over East Asia. Geophys Res Lett 31:L22212. doi:10.1029/2004GL021270

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yuan F, Chen W (2013) Roles of the tropical convective activities over different regions in the earlier onset of the South China Sea summer monsoon after 1993. Theor Appl Climatol 113:175–185

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zhai PM et al (2005) Trends in total precipitation and frequency of daily precipitation extremes over China. J Clim 18:1096–1108

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zhou TJ et al (2009) Why the western pacific subtropical high has extended westward since the Late 1970s. J Clim 22:2199–2215

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zhu J et al (2013) Decadal changes of Meiyu rainfall around 1991 and its relationship with two types of ENSO. J Geophys Res Atmos 118:9766–9777. doi:10.1002/jgrd.50779

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zhu ZW, Li T, He JH (2014) Out-of-phase relationship between boreal spring and summer decadal rainfall changes in southern China. J Clim 27:1083–1099

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgments

The authors thank the editor and two reviewers for their comments and suggestions which led to an improved manuscript. This research was jointly supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (41530503, 41175076), National Key Basic Research and Development Projects of China (2014CB953901). RW acknowledges the support of National Natural Science Foundation of China grants (41275081 and 41475081). HZ acknowledges the support of the high-performance grid computing platform of Sun Yat-sen University.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Zhiping Wen.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Zhang, H., Wen, Z., Wu, R. et al. Inter-decadal changes in the East Asian summer monsoon and associations with sea surface temperature anomaly in the South Indian Ocean. Clim Dyn 48, 1125–1139 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3131-6

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3131-6

Keywords

Navigation