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Table 6 Comparison of confidence in detection and attribution statements for the African regions listed in Figure 22-3 of Niang et al. (2014)

From: Rapid systematic assessment of the detection and attribution of regional anthropogenic climate change

Niang et al. (2014)’s statement Confidence in detection Confidence in attribution of major role
Niang et al. (2014) Algorithm Niang et al. (2014) Algorithm
EAC/IGAD/Egypt land annual mean precipitation changes Low low Very low No
EAC/IGAD/Egypt land and EEZ annual mean warming Medium High (land) Medium High (land)
  Medium (EEZ)   Medium (EEZ)
ECCAS land annual mean precipitation changes Very low Very low very low No
ECCAS land and EEZ annual mean warming Low Very low (land) Low Very low (land)
  Medium (EEZ)   Medium (EEZ)
ECOWAS land annual mean precipitation changes Medium Low Low No
ECOWAS land and EEZ annual mean warming Medium High (land) Medium High (land)
  High (EEZ)   High (EEZ)
SADC land annual mean precipitation changes Low Very low Very low No
SADC land and EEZ annual mean warming High Medium (land) High Medium (land)
  High (EEZ)   High (EEZ)
UMA land annual mean precipitation changes Very low Very low Very low No
UMA land and EEZ annual mean warming High Medium (land) Medium medium (land)
  Medium (EEZ)   Medium (EEZ)
  1. The regions are based on the Regional Economic Communities: the combination of the East African Community, Intergovernmental Authority on Development, and Egypt (EAC/IGAD/Egypt); the Economic Community of Central African States (ECCAS); the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS); the Southern African Development Community (SADC); and the Arab Maghreb Union (UMA). Niang et al. (2014)’s assessments of warming applied to the combination of land and Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) areas, whereas these two components are assessed separately here
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