Abstract
We detect and characterize each large-scale intraseasonal perturbation in observations (1979–2009) and in coupled general circulation models of Institut Pierre Simon Laplace (IPSL) and of Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques (CNRM). These ensembles of intraseasonal perturbations are used to assess the skill of the two models in an event-by-event approach. This assessment addresses: (1) the planetary-scale (i.e. the whole Indo-Pacific area) extent of wind and rainfall perturbations and the reproducibility of the perturbation patterns for a given season; (2) the size and amplitude of rainfall and wind anomalies at basin-scale (i.e. for a particular phase of the perturbation) and; (3) the evolution of the vertical structure of the perturbations (U, T and RH) for selected events. The planetary-scale extent of rainfall perturbations is generally too small for both models. This extent is also small for the wind perturbation in the IPSL model, but is correct, or even too large in boreal winter, for the CNRM model. The reproducibility of the planetary-scale patterns is exaggerated for wind perturbations in the CNRM model and is very poor for all parameters in the IPSL model. Over the Indian Ocean during boreal winter, rainfall and wind anomalies at basin-scale are too large for the CNRM model and too small for the IPSL model. The CNRM model gives a realistic baroclinic perturbations structure for wind, moisture and temperature, but with too large amplitude due in part to a zonally extended rainfall anomaly over the eastern Indian Ocean and the Maritime Continent. The IPSL model gives a realistic response for low-level wind only. Temperature and moisture perturbations are barotropic with a wrong warm anomaly at rainfall maximum and there is no gradual increase in low-level moisture prior to this rainfall maximum. These results suggest that this version of the IPSL model is unable to initiate the coupling between the convection and the dynamic necessary to develop the perturbation. It is difficult to say if this is due to, or is at the origin of the lack of basin-scale organization of the convection. We discuss the likely role of the convective schemes in the differences found between these two versions of the CNRM and IPSL models.
This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution.












References
Uppala SM et al (2005) The ERA-40 re-analysis. Q J R Meteor Soc 131:2961–3012
Lin J-L et al (2006) Tropical intraseasonal variability in 14 IPCC AR4 climate models. Part I: convective signals. J Clim 19:2665–2690
Bechtold P, Koëhler M, Jung T, Doblas-Reyes F, Leutbecher M, Rodwell M, Vitart F, Balsamo G (2008) Advances in simulating atmospheric variability with the ECMWF model: from synoptic to decadal time-scales. Q J R Meteorol Soc 134:1337–1351
Bellenger H, Duvel JP (2007) Intraseasonal convective perturbations related to the seasonal March of the Indo-Pacific monsoons. J Clim 20:2853–2863
Bellenger H, Duvel JP (2009) An analysis of tropical ocean diurnal warm layers. J Clim 22:3629–3646
Bellenger H, Duvel JP, Lengaigne M, Levan P (2009) Impact of organized intraseasonal convective perturbations on the tropical circulation. Geophys Res Lett 36:L16703. doi:10.1029/2009GL039584
Benedict JJ, Randall DA (2007) Observed characteristics of the MJO relative to maximum rainfall. J Atmos Sci 64:2332–2354
Biello JA, Majda AJ (2005) A new multiscale model for the Madden–Julian oscillation. J Atmos Sci 62:1694–1721
Bony S, Emanuel KA (2005) On the role of moist processes in tropical intraseasonal variability: cloud–radiation and moisture–convection feedbacks. J Atmos Sci 62:2770–2789
Bougeault P (1985) A simple parameterization of the large-scale effects of cumulus convection. Mon Weather Rev 113:2108–2121
Camargo SJ, Wheeler MC, Sobel AH (2009) Diagnosis of the MJO modulation of tropical cyclogenesis using an empirical index. J Atmos Sci 66:3061–3074
Duvel JP (2012) Oceans and air-sea interaction. In: Lau WKM, Waliser DE (eds) Intraseasonal variability in the atmosphere-ocean climate system. Springer, pp 513–536
Duvel JP, Vialard J (2007) Indo-Pacific sea surface temperature perturbations associated with intraseasonal oscillations of the tropical convection. J Clim 20:3056–3082
Emanuel KA (1991) A scheme for representing cumulus convection in large-scale models. J Atmos Sci 48:2313–2335
Gill AE (1980) Some simple solutions for heat-induced tropical circulation. Q J R Metereol Soc 106:447–462
Goswami BN (2005) South Asian monsoon. In: Lau WKM, Waliser DE (eds) Intraseasonal variability in the atmosphere-ocean climate system, Praxis, Chichester, pp 221–246
Goswami BN, Guoxiong Wu, Yasunari T (2006) The annual cycle, intraseasonal oscillations, and roadblock to seasonal predictability of the Asian Summer Monsoon. J Clim 19:5078–5099
Goulet L, Duvel JP (2000) A new approach to detect and characterize intermittent atmospheric oscillations: application to the intraseasonal oscillation. J Atmos Sci 57:2397–2416
Grandpeix JY, Phillips V, Tailleux R (2004) Improved mixing representation in Emanuel’s convection scheme. Q J R Meteorol Soc 130:3207–3222
Hendon HH, Salby ML (1994) The life cycle of the Madden–Julian Oscillation. J Atmos Sci 51:2225–2237
Holloway CE, Neelin JD (2007) The convective cold top and quasi equilibrium. J Atmos Sci 64:1467–1487
Hourdin F et al (2006) The LMDZ4 general circulation model: climate performance and sensitivity to parametrized physics with emphasis on tropical convection. Clim Dyn 27(7–8):787–813
Hsu HH (2005) East Asian monsoon. In: Lau WKM, Waliser DE (eds) Intraseasonal variability in the atmosphere-ocean climate system, Praxis, Chichester, pp 221–246
Janicot S, Mounier F, Hall NMJ, Leroux S, Sultan B, Kiladis GN (2009) Dynamics of the West African monsoon. Part IV: analysis of 25–90-Day variability of convection and the role of the Indian Monsoon. J Clim 22:1541–1565
Kemball-Cook SR, Weare BC (2001) The onset of convection in the Madden–Julian Oscillation. J Clim 14:780–793
Kiladis GN, Straub KH, Haertel PT (2005) Zonal and vertical structure of the Madden–Julian Oscillation. J Atmos Sci 62:2790–2809
Kim D, Sobel AH, Maloney ED, Dargan MW, Frierson I-S (2011) A systematic relationship between intraseasonal variability and mean state bias in AGCM simulations. J Clim 24:5506–5520
Liebmann B, Smith CA (1996) Description of a complete (interpolated) outgoing longwave radiation dataset. Bull Am Meteor Soc 77:1275–1277
Lin J-L, Lee M-I, Kim D, Kang I-S, Frierson DMW (2008) The impacts of convective parameterization and moisture triggering on AGCM-simulated convectively coupled equatorial waves. J Clim 21:883–909
McPhaden MJ (1999) Genesis and evolution of the 1997–98 El Niño. Science 283:950–954
Mitovski T, Folkins I, von Salzen K, Sigmond M (2010) Temperature, relative humidity, and divergence response to high rainfall events in the tropics: observations and models. J Clim 23:3613–3625
Salby ML, Hendon HH (1994) Intraseasonal behavior of clouds, temperature, and winds in the tropics. J Atmos Sci 51:2207–2224
Simmons A, Uppala S, Dee D, Kobayashi S (2007) ERA-Interim: new ECMWF reanalysis products from 1989 onwards. ECMWF Newsletter no. 110, ECMWF, Reading, pp 25–35
Sobel AH, Maloney ED, Bellon G, Frierson DM (2008) The role of surface fluxes in tropical intraseasonal oscillations. Nat Geosci 1:653–657
Straub KH, Kiladis GN (2003) The observed structure of convectively coupled Kelvin waves: comparison with simple models of coupled wave instability. J Atmos Sci 60:1655–1668
Tokioka T, Yamazaki K, Kitoh A, Ose T (1988) The equatorial 30–60 day oscillation and the Arakawa-Schubert penetrative cumulus parameterization. J Meteor Soc Jpn 66:883–901
Vitart F, Woolnough S, Balmaseda MA, Tompkins AM (2007) Monthly forecast of the Madden–Julian oscillation using a coupled GCM. Mon Weather Rev 135:2700–2715
Weare BC, Nasstrom JS (1982) Examples of extended empirical orthogonal function analysis. Mon Weather Rev 110:481–485
Wheeler MC, JL McBride (2005) Australian-Indonesian monsoon. In Lau WKM, Waliser DE (eds) intraseasonal variability in the atmosphere-ocean climate system, Praxis, Chichester, pp 221–246
Wu MLC, Schubert SD, Suarez MJ, Pegion PJ, Waliser DE (2006) Seasonality and meridional propagation of the MJO. J Clim 19:1901–1921
Xavier PK, Duvel JP, Doblas-Reyes FJ (2008) Boreal summer intraseasonal variability in coupled seasonal hindcasts. J Clim 21:4477–4497
Xavier PK, Duvel JP, Braconnot P, Doblas-Reyes FJ (2010) An evaluation metric for intraseasonal variability in climate models. J Clim 23:3497–3508
Xie P, Arkin PA (1997) Global precipitation: A 17-year monthly analysis based on gauge observations, satellite estimates, and numerical model outputs. Bull Am Meteor Soc 78:2539–2558
Yano J-I, Blender R, Zhang C, Fraedrich K (2004) 1/f noise and pulse-like events in the tropical atmospheric surface variabilities. Q J R Meteorol Soc 130:1697–1721
Zhang C (2005) Madden-Julian oscillation. Rev Geophys 43:RG2003. doi:10.1029/2004RG000158
Zhang C, Ling J (2012) Potential vorticity of the Madden–Julian oscillation. J Atmos Sci 69:65–78
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
This paper is a contribution to the special issue on the IPSL and CNRM global climate and Earth System Models, both developed in France and contributing to the 5th coupled model intercomparison project.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Duvel, J.P., Bellenger, H., Bellon, G. et al. An event-by-event assessment of tropical intraseasonal perturbations for general circulation models. Clim Dyn 40, 857–873 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1303-6
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1303-6