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Applying the Catch-MSY model to the stock assessment of the northwestern Pacific saury Cololabis Saira

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Abstract

The Pacific saury (Cololabis saira) is one of the major harvested species in the temperate waters of the northwestern Pacific Ocean (NPO). The Catch-MSY model uses catch data and basic life history information to estimate the Maximum Sustainable Yield (MSY) for data-limited fisheries. Since there is considerable uncertainty in the current status of the Pacific saury stock in the NPO, the Catch-MSY model was used in this study to estimate MSY on the basis of catch data and life history information from the North Pacific Fisheries Commission (NPFC). During the process, 17 scenarios, according to different prior distributions of the intrinsic rate of increase (r) and carrying capacity (K), were set for sensitivity analysis. Moreover, the influence of different catch time series and different process errors were taken into account. The results show the following: (1) there was a strong negative correlation relationship between ln(r) and ln(K); the MSY increases with an increase in the lower limit of r; (2) The time series of catch data had a limited impact on the assessment results, whereas the results of the model were sensitive to the annual catch in the first and last years; (3) The estimated MSYs of the Pacific saury were 47.37×104 t (41.57×104 t to 53.17×104 t) in scenario S1A and 47.53×104 t (41.79×104 t to 53.27×104 t) in scenario S1B. Given the uncertainty of the Catch-MSY model, maintaining a management target between 50×104 t and 70×104 t was a better management regulation. This study shows that the Catch-MSY model is a useful choice for estimating the MSY of data-limited species such as the Pacific saury.

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Acknowledgement

We thank all the reviewers for their valuable comments and advice. Thanks are also given to other laboratory colleagues for field and laboratory work assistance.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. College of Marine Culture and Law, Shanghai Ocean University, Shanghai, 201306, China

    Yongchuang Shi & Shuolin Huang

  2. College of Marine Sciences, Shanghai Ocean University, Shanghai, 201306, China

    Chuanxiang Hua, Qingcheng Zhu & Huili Feng

  3. National Engineering Research Center for Pelagic Fishery, Shanghai, 201306, China

    Chuanxiang Hua & Qingcheng Zhu

  4. Key Laboratory of Sustainable Exploitation of Oceanic Fisheries Resources, Ministry of Education, Shanghai, 201306, China

    Chuanxiang Hua & Qingcheng Zhu

  5. Institute of Marine Policy & Law, Shanghai Ocean University, Shanghai, 201306, China

    Shuolin Huang

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  1. Yongchuang Shi
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  2. Chuanxiang Hua
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Correspondence to Chuanxiang Hua.

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Author Declaration and Data Availability

The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.

All applicable international, national, and/or institutional guidelines for the care and use of animals were followed.

The datasets created during and/or analyzed during the current study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.

Supported by the National Sci-Tech Support Plan “Fishing Technology and New Resources in Oceanic Fisheries” (No. 2013BAD13B05)

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Shi, Y., Hua, C., Zhu, Q. et al. Applying the Catch-MSY model to the stock assessment of the northwestern Pacific saury Cololabis Saira. J. Ocean. Limnol. 38, 1945–1955 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00343-019-9156-z

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