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Spatiotemporal shoreline change in Boushehr Province coasts, Iran

  • Physics
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Abstract

Since coastal areas have highly dynamic nature and are one of the most beneficial regions of civilizations, it is of great significance to understand their characteristics and behavior. Changes in shorelines in the form of accretion and erosion can leave devastating effects on businesses and cities located along the shore. In this study, we statistically calculated the tendency of shoreline changes by processing and analyzing historical satellite images of Boushehr Province, Iran. Results show that these shores have experienced both sedimentation and erosion in the past 30 years. Net shoreline movement presents more than 350 m of erosion and 650 m of accretion, which are corresponded to change rates of almost 12 and 22 m/a, respectively. Statistics of shoreline changes are calculated from regression methods including end point rate, linear regression rate, weighted linear regression, and least median of squares. The best-performed method is applied to predict the shoreline position in 2050 and 2100. Potential locations of excessive changes are identified for the predicted shorelines, which should be dealt with properly.

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Data Availability Statement

The Landsat satellite images that support the findings of this study are available in USGS’s Earth Explorer website https://earthexplorer.usgs.gov.

Abbreviations

DSAS:

digital shoreline analysis system

EPR:

end point rate

LRR:

linear regression rate

LMS:

least median of squares

MAPE:

mean absolute percentage error

NSM:

net shoreline movement

SCE:

shoreline change envelope

USGS:

the United States Geological Survey

WLR:

weighted linear regression

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering, School of Engineering, Shiraz University, Shiraz, 71348-51156, Iran

    Saeed Zeinali, Nasser Talebbeydokhti & Maryam Dehghani

Authors
  1. Saeed Zeinali
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  2. Nasser Talebbeydokhti
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  3. Maryam Dehghani
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Correspondence to Saeed Zeinali.

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Zeinali, S., Talebbeydokhti, N. & Dehghani, M. Spatiotemporal shoreline change in Boushehr Province coasts, Iran. J. Ocean. Limnol. 38, 707–721 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00343-019-8373-9

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