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Myocardial fibrosis and prognosis in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: a pooled analysis of 12 cohort studies

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Abstract

Objectives

Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is a syndrome with significant clinical heterogeneity. Myocardial fibrosis has been considered a common pathological process in the development and progress of HFpEF. This study aimed to consolidate data on the prognostic effect of myocardial fibrosis, evaluated by cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) imaging in patients with HFpEF.

Methods

Three medical databases were searched for potentially related articles up to February 28, 2023. Cohort studies reporting associations between myocardial fibrosis and risk of all-cause mortality or composite major adverse cardiac outcomes (MACE) were included. Cardiac fibrosis was evaluated by CMR metrics, including late gadolinium enhancement (LGE) or myocardial extracellular volume (ECV). The hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of the outcomes for higher myocardial fibrosis were calculated.

Results

Twelve studies with 2787 patients with HFpEF were included for analysis. After a median follow-up duration of 31.2 months, a higher level of cardiac fibrosis was associated with a significant increase in the risk of MACE (HR = 1.34, 95% CI = 1.14–1.57) and all-cause mortality (HR = 1.74, 95% CI = 1.27–2.39), respectively. Furthermore, the increased risk of outcomes was both observed when cardiac fibrosis was defined according to LGE or ECV, respectively.

Conclusions

Higher burden of myocardial fibrosis evaluated by CMR can predict a poor prognosis in patients with HFpEF. Evaluation of LGE or ECV based on CMR could be recommended in these patients for risk stratification and guiding further treatment.

Clinical relevance statement

Inclusion of cardiovascular magnetic resonance examination in the diagnostic and risk-evaluation algorithms in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction should be considered in clinical practice and future studies.

Key Points

• Myocardial fibrosis is a common pathological process in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction.

• A higher myocardial fibrosis burden on cardiac magnetic resonance predicts a poor prognosis in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction.

• Evaluation of myocardial fibrosis may be useful in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction for risk stratification and treatment guidance.

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Abbreviations

CI:

Confidence intervals

CMR:

Cardiovascular magnetic resonance

ECV:

Myocardial extracellular volume

HFpEF:

Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction

HFrEF:

Heart failure with reduced ejection fraction

HRs:

Hazard ratios

LGE:

Late gadolinium enhancement

MACE:

Major adverse cardiac event

MOLLI:

Modified Look-Locker inversion recovery sequence

QUIPS:

Quality in Prognosis Studies

RRs:

Relative risks

SEs:

Standard errors

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Acknowledgements

We thank Emily Woodhouse, PhD, from Liwen Bianji (Edanz) (www.liwenbianji.cn) for editing the English text of a draft of this manuscript.

The datasets and/or analyses during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.

Funding

This study was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (no.: 82270384), Guangdong Basic and Applied Basic Research Fund (Key project of Guangdong-Foshan Joint Fund) (2019B1515120044), the Scientific Research Start-up Plan of Southern Medical University (CX2018N202), the Clinical Research Startup Program of Shunde Hospital, Southern Medical University (CRSP2019001), and the Outstanding Young Medical Staff in Guangdong Province (600001).

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Correspondence to Haixiong Chen or Yuli Huang.

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The scientific guarantor of this publication is Yuli Huang.

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The authors declare that there is no conflict of interest.

Statistics and biometry

No complex statistical methods were necessary for this paper.

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Not required. The study is a meta-analysis of published studies, and written informed consent is not applicable.

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Not applicable. The study is a meta-analysis of published studies, and ethical compliance is not applicable.

Study subjects or cohorts overlap

No.

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•Meta-analysis

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Zhang, X., Yang, S., Hao, S. et al. Myocardial fibrosis and prognosis in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: a pooled analysis of 12 cohort studies. Eur Radiol 34, 1854–1862 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00330-023-10218-w

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00330-023-10218-w

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