Abstract
In the context of environmental change, determining the causes underpinning unusual mortality events of vertebrate species is a crucial conservation goal. This is particularly true for polar and sub-polar colonial seabirds, often immunologically naïve to new and emerging diseases. Here, we investigate the patterns of black-browed albatross (Thalassarche melanophris) chick mortality events unrelated to predation recorded between the 2004/05 and 2019/2020 breeding seasons in four colonies across the species range in the Falklands. The prevalence of these mortality events was highly variable across years, causing the death of between 3 and 40% of all chicks in the studied plots. With few exceptions, mortality was patchily distributed. Using clustering methodologies, we identified the spatio-temporal mortality clusters based on the nest locations and chick death date. Using generalised linear models and generalised additive mixed-effects models we found that chicks nearer the first mortality event were predicted to die before those in more distant nests. The probability of death increased with age and was highest for chicks close to nests where a chick had died previously. Our findings, along with the symptoms consistently exhibited by most deceased chicks in the study, strongly suggest the prevalence of a widespread infectious disease, potentially with a common aetiology, both in areas with regular and with very rare human presence. Understanding the causes driving these disease-related mortality events, which seem different from the outbreaks documented in the literature, is a conservation priority for the Falklands black-browed albatross population, which comprises over 70% of the species global population.
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Data availability
The dataset presented here is available for download as electronic supplementary material at https://figshare.com/authors/Francesco_Ventura/7066628
Code availability
The supporting R scripts to reproduce the analysis are available for download as electronic supplementary material at https://figshare.com/authors/Francesco_Ventura/7066628
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Acknowledgements
This work would not have been possible without the help and support of the late Ian Strange, who created the conditions for researchers to work on New Island and who we remember with much gratitude and admiration. Thanks to Maria and Georgina Strange, Dan Birch, Riek van Noordwijk, Nina Dehnhard, Ana Campos, Teresa Catry, Miguel Lecoq, Ana Almeida, Amanda Kuepfer, Caitlin Frankish, Natasha Gillies and Martin Beal for their help. We are grateful to Katie Hampson for her helpful insight into quantitative epidemiological analysis. The New Island Conservation Trust supported field studies on New Island through the supply of research facilities. Thanks to Miguel Ferrer and two anonymous referees for their helpful comments on a previous version of this manuscript.
Funding
This work was funded by the Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia (FCT, Portugal) through the projects: UIDB/04292/2020 and UIDP/04292/2020, granted to MARE; UIDB/50017/2020 and UIDP/50017/2020, granted to CESAM. The Falkland Islands Government provided formal permits and funding through the Environmental Studies Budget.
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PC and JPG designed the research; FV, PC, JPG and RM performed the research and conducted field-work; FV developed the analytical methodology; FV wrote the paper. All authors contributed critically to the drafts and gave final approval for publication.
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Ventura, F., Granadeiro, J.P., Matias, R. et al. Spatial and temporal aggregation of albatross chick mortality events in the Falklands suggests a role for an unidentified infectious disease. Polar Biol 44, 351–360 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00300-020-02797-x
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00300-020-02797-x