Concentration of circulating cell-free DNA in healthy individuals and lymphoma patients
The median concentration of ccfDNA in the 80 healthy individuals tested was 209.0 ng/ml (mean 222.5 ng/ml, range 100.0–456.0 ng/ml); however, in patients with lymphoma (n = 174), this concentration was significantly higher (median 686.0 ng/ml, P < 0.0001) with greater variability among the patients (mean 1407.6 ng/ml, range 100.0–14,180.0 ng/ml). Elevated ccfDNA concentration levels were observed in patients with HL (n = 18, median 681.0 ng/ml, mean 988.8 ng/ml, P = 0.001), DLBCL (n = 98, median 845.0 ng/ml, mean 1722.2 ng/ml, P < 0.0001), other types of B-NHL (n = 28, median 332.0 ng/ml, mean 1096.3 ng/ml, P < 0.0001), T-NHL (n = 9, median 942.0 ng/ml, mean 1247.0 ng/ml, P < 0.0001), and NK/TCL (n = 21, median 662.0 ng/ml, mean 782.7 ng/ml, P < 0.0001) (Fig. 1a).
To assess the diagnostic accuracy of the ccfDNA levels in lymphoma patients, an ROC curve analysis was conducted, and the area under the curve (AUC) was calculated as 0.75 (95% CI 0.66–0.84, P = 0.001) for HL, 0.86 (95% CI 0.80–0.90, P < 0.0001) for DLBCL, and 0.79 (95% CI 0.70–0.87, P < 0.0001) for NK/TCL, suggesting a moderate discriminatory power. For HL, the sensitivity and specificity were 61 and 100%, respectively, at a cut-off of 456.0 ng/ml; for DLBCL, 73 and 94% at a cut-off of 340.0 ng/ml, and for NK/TCL, 71 and 96% at a cut-off of 392.0 ng/ml.
Based on these results, elevated levels of ccfDNA were associated with a higher risk of lymphoma. When analyzed as a logistic regression model, a 10.0 ng/ml increase in the ccfDNA concentration increased the lymphoma risk by 7.3% (odds ratio 1.073; 95% CI 1.045–1.102).
Integrity of circulating cell-free DNA in healthy individuals and lymphoma patients
The DII was calculated as the ratio of the quantitative real-time PCR results using the two primer sets as follows: QAPP180/QAPP67. Because the annealing sites of APP67 are contained within the APP180 annealing sites, the DII would be 1.0 when the template DNA was not truncated and 0.0 when all of the template DNA was truncated into fragments smaller than 180 bp.
The median DII in patients with lymphoma was 0.39 (mean 0.42, range 0.11–0.97), which was significantly higher than that of the normal control subjects (median 0.21, mean 0.22, range 0.07–0.49; P < 0.0001). Elevated DII values were observed in patients with HL (median 0.37, mean 0.40, P < 0.0001), DLBCL (median 0.43, mean 0.46, P < 0.0001), other types of B-NHL (median 0.34, mean 0.35, P = 0.002), T-NHL (median 0.42, mean 0.41, P = 0.008), and NK/TCL (median 0.33, mean 0.38, P = 0.001), respectively (Fig. 1b).
Using the ROC analysis, the AUC of the ccfDNA DII was 0.83 (95% CI 0.74–0.90, P < 0.0001) for HL, 0.90 (95% CI 0.83–0.93, P < 0.0001) for DLBCL, and 0.81 (95% CI 0.72–0.88, P < 0.0001) for NK/TCL. Additionally, the ROC analysis assessed whether a combination of the raw ccfDNA concentration and the DII could improve the diagnostic ability compared with using the concentration alone. The results showed that the AUC was significantly increased after the addition of the DII to the ccfDNA concentration in patients with DLBCL (0.86 vs. 0.91; Z = 2.697, P = 0.007; Fig. 2); whereas in patients with either HL or NK/TCL, there was only a trend of increased AUC observed (0.75 vs. 0.84; Z = 1.714, P = 0.087 and 0.79 vs. 0.88; Z = 1.646, P = 0.0997, respectively).
Correlation of circulating cell-free DNA and clinicopathological features in lymphoma patients
To assess the clinical significance of ccfDNA levels, we analyzed the clinicopathological correlations in the total lymphoma group but restricted the analysis to patients with DLBCL; in this patient subset, the adverse prognostic factors advanced stage disease (stage IIB–IV) and elevated LDH levels were associated with increased ccfDNA levels and DII (Table 2). In patients with DLBCL, the presence of B-symptoms was also correlated with increases in both the ccfDNA concentration and the DII. As a consequence, patients with an adverse prognostic score had higher levels of ccfDNA, which was significant among all lymphoma patients and DLBCL patients [20, 21]. Otherwise, no statistical significance was observed when the ccfDNA concentration and the DII were analyzed with regard to other clinical parameters such as age, gender, and bulky disease.
Table 2 Plasma circulating cell-free DNA levels and clinicopathologic features in lymphoma patients
Prognostic significance of circulating cell-free DNA in diffuse large B cell lymphoma patients
The role of the ccfDNA levels at the time of diagnosis as a prognostic marker was analyzed in patients with DLBCL, who constituted the largest diagnostic entity included in this study. The most discriminatory cut-offs for 2-year PFS were identified by ROC. The ccfDNA concentration and the DII were analyzed as dichotomic variables using 1586 ng/ml and 0.61 as the cut-off points, respectively. As shown in the Kaplan-Meier curves for the different levels of ccfDNA concentration, patients with a ccfDNA concentration >1586 ng/ml had a 2-year probability of PFS of only 44% (95% CI 15–73%), whereas patients with a ccfDNA concentration ≤1586 ng/ml had significantly higher probability of 2-year PFS at 78% (95% CI 55–99%; P = 0.001; Fig. 3a). The prognostic value of ccfDNA fragmentation on PFS was also evaluated using the DII. Patients showing a DII >0.61 had a 59% probability of 2-year PFS (95% CI 38–79%), which was significantly shorter than that in patients with a DII ≤0.61 (87%, 95% CI 69–100%, P < 0.0001; Fig. 3b).
Following the univariate analysis, we found that both the ccfDNA concentration and the DII were associated with PFS; moreover, advanced stage, B-symptoms, and elevated LDH levels were significant adverse factors (Table 3). Thus, these variables were assessed in a multivariate Cox regression model, which showed that the DII appeared to be a statistically independent prognostic factor (HR = 3.04, 95% CI 1.197–7.696; P = 0.019), whereas the ccfDNA concentration was not significant in this multivariate analysis (HR = 1.45, 95% CI 0.490–4.263; P = 0.504).
Table 3 Univariable Cox regression models for progression-free survival (PFS) in diffuse large B cell lymphoma patients