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An Exploratory Analysis of the Geographical Distribution of Trauma Incidents in Shenzhen, China

Abstract

Background

The city of Shenzhen, China, is planning to establish a trauma system. At present, there are few data on the geographical distribution of incidents, which is key to deciding on the location of trauma centres. The aim of this study was to perform a geographical analysis in order to inform the development of a trauma system in Shenzhen.

Methods

Retrospective analysis of trauma incidents attended by Shenzhen Emergency Medical Services (EMS) in 2014. Data were obtained from Shenzhen EMS. Incident distribution was explored using dot and kernel density estimate maps. Clustering was determined using the nearest neighbour index. The type of healthcare facilities which patients were taken to was compared against patients’ needs, as assessed using the Field Triage Decision Scheme.

Results

There were 49,082 recorded incidents. A total of 3513 were classed as major trauma. Mapping demonstrates that incidents predominantly occurred in the western part of Shenzhen, with identifiable clusters. Nearest neighbour index was 0.048. Of patients deemed to have suffered major trauma, 8.5% were taken to a teaching hospital, 13.6% to a regional hospital, 42.6% to a community hospital, and 35.3% to a private hospital. The proportions of Step 1 or 2 negative patients were almost identical.

Conclusion

The majority of trauma patients, including trauma patients who are at greater likelihood of severe injury, are taken to regional and community hospitals. There are areas with identifiable concentrations of volume, which should be considered for the siting of high-level trauma centres, although further modelling is required to make firm recommendations.

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Disclosure

The Health Services Research Unit receives funding from the Chief Scientist Office of the Scottish Government Health and Social Care Directorates. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors alone.

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Correspondence to Susan I. Brundage or Jan O. Jansen.

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Ethical approval

The study was approved by Shenzhen EMS and Queen Mary University of London (Reference QMREC1586a).

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Zhang, G.X., Fan, J.K.M., Chan, F.S.Y. et al. An Exploratory Analysis of the Geographical Distribution of Trauma Incidents in Shenzhen, China. World J Surg 41, 2207–2214 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00268-017-4002-y

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00268-017-4002-y

Keywords

  • Emergency Medical Service
  • Trauma Centre
  • Community Hospital
  • Regional Hospital
  • Major Trauma