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Invasion Depth Measured in Millimeters is a Predictor of Survival in Patients with Distal Bile Duct Cancer: Decision Tree Approach

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Abstract

Background

AJCC staging system is unreliable for predicting survival in distal bile duct (DBD) cancer patients, due to inter-observer variation. Measured depth of invasion (DOI) is suggested to be more accurate to predict patients’ clinical outcome in extra-hepatic cholangiocarcinomas, but its significance in DBD cancer and cutoff values are still debatable. This study aimed to identify the optimal cutoff value of DOI in relation to prognosis in DBD cancer patients.

Methods

Data of 179 patients with DBD adenocarcinoma treated in three institutions were investigated. Under microscopic review, DOI was measured. The relationships between the clinicopathological parameters and the groups based on DOI (≤3; 3–10; >10 mm) were evaluated, and the survival times of each group based on DOI and T classification were compared.

Results

Deeply invading tumors exhibited a greater tendency toward the infiltrative type, high histological grade, AJCC stage, and pancreatic, duodenal, lymphovascular and perineural invasion. The measured DOI was significantly correlated with worse relapse-free and overall survival (all p < 0.05). In multivariate analyses, the DOI remained as one of the prognostic factors (all p < 0.05), while T classification was not a significant prognostic factor. The new prognostic models (low, intermediate, and high risk) that applied DOI and nodal metastasis showed significant difference in recurrence and survival rate (all p < 0.05).

Conclusions

On the basis of the proposed cutoff value, the DOI could be clear and meaningful, overcoming the vagueness of the T classification for predicting clinical outcomes in patients with DBD carcinoma.

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Abbreviations

DOI:

Depth of invasion

DBD:

Distal bile duct

PBD:

Perihilar bile duct

AJCC:

American Joint Committee on Cancer

REMARK:

Reporting recommendations for tumor marker prognostic studies

ROC:

Receiver operating characteristic

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Acknowledgments

We are grateful to our English teacher, Ina Jeong, for editing this manuscript.

Funding

This work was supported by Hanmi Pharm (IIT-ESO-009) in 2015.

Authors’ contributions

K-WM contributed to acquisition and analysis of clinicopathological data, statistical analyses and manuscript preparation. E-KK, SBA, SHK, YJJ, YSP, JYJ, HIH, JWL, YHO, SO and HYK contributed to the collection of clinical data and the evaluation of histological results. JS, MJK, SKM, H-RP and J-YC contributed to statistical analyses and English proofreading. D-HK and BKS contributed to study design and data interpretation and supervised the study. All authors read and approved the submitted version.

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Correspondence to Byoung Kwan Son.

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Conflict of interest

The authors have no conflict of interest to declare.

Ethics approval

This study was approved by the Ethics Committee of the Eulji General Hospital (EMCIRB 15-24), and it was performed in accordance with the ethical standards of the Declaration of Helsinki, as revised in 2008.

Additional information

Kyueng-Whan Min and Dong-Hoon Kim have contributed equally to this work.

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Min, KW., Kim, DH., Son, B.K. et al. Invasion Depth Measured in Millimeters is a Predictor of Survival in Patients with Distal Bile Duct Cancer: Decision Tree Approach. World J Surg 41, 232–240 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00268-016-3687-7

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