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Incorporating Carbon Storage into the Optimal Management of Forest Insect Pests: A Case Study of the Southern Pine Beetle (Dendroctonus Frontalis Zimmerman) in the New Jersey Pinelands

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Abstract

Forest insect pest disturbance is increasing in certain areas of North America as many insect species, such as the southern pine beetle, expand their range due to a warming climate. Because insect pests are beginning to occupy forests that are managed for multiple uses and have not been managed for pests before, it is becoming increasingly important to determine how forests should be managed for pests when non-timber ecosystem services are considered in addition to traditional costs and revenues. One example of a service that is increasingly considered in forest management and that may affect forest pest management is carbon sequestration. This manuscript seeks to understand whether the incorporation of forest carbon sequestration into cost-benefit analysis of different forest pest management strategies affects the financially optimal strategy. We examine this question through a case study of the southern pine beetle (SPB) in a new area of SPB expansion, the New Jersey Pinelands National Reserve (NJPR). We utilize a forest ecology and economics model and include field data from the NJPR as well as outbreak probability statistics from previous years. We find under the majority of scenarios, incorporating forest carbon sequestration shifts the financially optimal SPB management strategy from preventative thinning toward no management or reactionary management in forest stands in New Jersey. These results contradict the current recommended treatment strategy for SPB and signify that the inclusion of multiple ecosystem services into a cost-benefit analysis may drastically alter which pest management strategy is economically optimal.

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Notes

  1. We are working with Illick and Aughanbaugh’s (1930) data because it is the most comprehensive data set on growth and yield of pitch pine stands in the Northeastern United States. Illick and Aughanbaugh’s (1930) data was consistent with Lathrop et al.’s (2011) growth and yield estimates from a ZELIG gap model of New Jersey pine stands, and with 2011 Forest Inventory and Analysis (FIA) data on total volume in New Jersey pine stands. FIA data was not used in this study because FIA data in New Jersey lacked the specificity about volume and basal area over time that was needed in this model.

  2. In this study, the thin is conducted at a stand age of 50 because this is when a fully stocked pitch pine stand reaches the “high risk” basal area of 120 ft2/ac according to Illick and Aughanbaugh’s (1930) growth and yield estimates. At initial stand ages greater than 50, a thin was assumed to happen the first year modeled. While thinning in the South may occur every 5–8 years, pitch pine stands in New Jersey are much slower growing than loblolly and shortleaf pine in the South; thus after a one-time thinning at age 50, stands did not grow back in our model to a basal area of 120 ft2/ac and additional thinning was unnecessary.

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Acknowledgments

The authors would like to thank Mark Borsuk, Matthew P. Ayres, and Carissa Aoki for their contributions to this manuscript. R. Niemiec was supported by funding from the Downey Family Prize in Environmental Studies and the James Dougherty’58 Fund in Environmental Studies. This work was supported in part by the New Hampshire Experimental Program to Stimulate Competitive Research (EPSCoR) under Award # EPS 1101245 from the National Science Foundation. Additional support was provided by a grant to Dartmouth College from USDA Forest Service (Northeastern Area State and Private Forestry and Forest Health Monitoring Program). Special thanks to Lynn Fleming and the New Jersey Forest Service for their cooperation on this project. Additional thanks go to Ann Majchrzak for her support and the New Jersey Forest Fire Service, state foresters, and contractors interviewed who made this work possible.

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Correspondence to Rebecca M. Niemiec.

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Niemiec, R.M., Lutz, D.A. & Howarth, R.B. Incorporating Carbon Storage into the Optimal Management of Forest Insect Pests: A Case Study of the Southern Pine Beetle (Dendroctonus Frontalis Zimmerman) in the New Jersey Pinelands. Environmental Management 54, 875–887 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00267-014-0304-0

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