Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Harnessing Ecosystem Models and Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis for the Support of Forest Management

  • Published:
Environmental Management Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

The decision-making environment in forest management (FM) has changed drastically during the last decades. Forest management planning is facing increasing complexity due to a widening portfolio of forest goods and services, a societal demand for a rational, transparent decision process and rising uncertainties concerning future environmental conditions (e.g., climate change). Methodological responses to these challenges include an intensified use of ecosystem models to provide an enriched, quantitative information base for FM planning. Furthermore, multi-criteria methods are increasingly used to amalgamate information, preferences, expert judgments and value expressions, in support of the participatory and communicative dimensions of modern forestry. Although the potential of combining these two approaches has been demonstrated in a number of studies, methodological aspects in interfacing forest ecosystem models (FEM) and multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) are scarcely addressed explicitly. In this contribution we review the state of the art in FEM and MCDA in the context of FM planning and highlight some of the crucial issues when combining ecosystem and preference modeling. We discuss issues and requirements in selecting approaches suitable for supporting FM planning problems from the growing body of FEM and MCDA concepts. We furthermore identify two major challenges in a harmonized application of FEM-MCDA: (i) the design and implementation of an indicator-based analysis framework capturing ecological and social aspects and their interactions relevant for the decision process, and (ii) holistic information management that supports consistent use of different information sources, provides meta-information as well as information on uncertainties throughout the planning process.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Subscribe and save

Springer+ Basic
$34.99 /Month
  • Get 10 units per month
  • Download Article/Chapter or eBook
  • 1 Unit = 1 Article or 1 Chapter
  • Cancel anytime
Subscribe now

Buy Now

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1

Similar content being viewed by others

Explore related subjects

Discover the latest articles and news from researchers in related subjects, suggested using machine learning.

References

  • Alho JM, Kangas J (1997) Analysing uncertainties in experts’ opinions of forest plan performance. Forest Science 43:521–528

    Google Scholar 

  • Alho JM, Kangas J, Kolehmainen O (1996) Uncertainty in expert predictions of the ecological consequences of forest plans. Applied Statistics 45:1–14

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Al-Shemmeri T, Al-Kloub B, Pearman A (1997) Model choice in multicriteria decision aid. European Journal of Operational Research 97:550–560

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ananda J, Herath G (2009) A critical review of multi-criteria decision making methods with special reference to forest management and planning. Ecological Economics 68:2535–2548

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ascough JC II, Maier HR, Ravalico JK, Strudley MW (2008) Future research challenges for incorporation of uncertainty in environmental and ecological decision-making. Ecological Modelling 219:383–399

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Battaglia M, Sands PJ (1998) Process-based forest productivity models and their application in forest management. Forest Ecology and Management 102:13–32

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Belton V, Stewart TJ (2002) Multiple criteria decision analysis: an integrated approach. Kluwer, Dordrecht, 372 pp

    Google Scholar 

  • Bigler C, Bugmann H (2004) Assessing the performance of theoretical and empirical tree mortality models using tree-ring series of Norway spruce. Ecological Modelling 174:225–239

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Borchers JG (2005) Accepting uncertainty, assessing risk: decision quality in managing wildfire, forest resource values, and new technology. Forest Ecology and Management 211:36–46

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bormann BT, Kiester AR (2004) Options forestry. Acting on uncertainty. Journal of Forestry 102(4):22–27

    Google Scholar 

  • Bouyssou D, Marchant T, Pirlot M, Tsoukias A, Vincke P (2006) Evaluation and decision models with multiple criteria. Stepping stones for the analyst. Springer, New York, 445 pp

    Google Scholar 

  • Bugmann H, Lindner M, Lasch P, Flechsig M, Ebert B, Cramer W (2000) Scaling issues in forest succession models. Climatic Change 44:265–289

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bunnell FL, Boyland M (2003) Decision-support systems: it’s the question not the model. Journal for Nature Conservation 10:269–279

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Busing RT, Mailly D (2004) Advances in spatial, individual-based modeling of forest dynamics. Journal of Vegetation Science 15:831–842

    Google Scholar 

  • Choo EU, Schoner B, Wedley WC (1999) Interpretation of criteria weights in multicriteria decision making. Computers & Industrial Engineering 37:527–541

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Crookston NL, Dixon GE (2005) The forest vegetation simulator: a review of its structure, content, and applications. Computers and Electronics in Agriculture 49:60–80

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • De Steiguer JE, Liberti L, Schuler A, Hansen B (2003) Multi-criteria decision models for forestry and natural resources management: an annotated bibliography. GTR-NE 307. USDA Forest Service, Delaware, 37 pp

    Google Scholar 

  • Diaz-Balteiro L, Romero C (2008) Making forestry decisions with multiple criteria: a review and an assessment. Forest Ecology and Management 255:3222–3241

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Duinker PN (2001) Criteria and indicators of sustainable forest management in Canada: progress and problems in integrating science and politics at the local level. In: Franc A, Laroussinie O, Karjalainen T (eds) Criteria and indicators for sustainable forest management at the forest management unit level. EFI Proceedings No 38. European Forest Institute, Joensuu, pp 7–29

    Google Scholar 

  • ECOBAS (2009) Register of ecological models (REM). A meta-database for existing mathematical models in ecology. University of Kassel, Faculty of Organic Agricultural Sciences. http://ecobas.org/. Accessed on 24 January 2009

  • Failing L, Gregory R (2003) Ten common mistakes in designing biodiversity indicators for forest policy. Journal of Environmental Management 68:121–132

    Google Scholar 

  • FMA (2009) Forest model archive. University of Greenwich. http://www.forestmodelarchive.info/. Accessed on 24 January 2009

  • Funtowicz SO, Ravetz JR (1993) Science for the post-normal age. Futures 25:739–755

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fürstenau C, Badeck FW, Lasch P, Lexer MJ, Lindner M, Mohr P, Suckow F (2007) Multiple-use forest management in consideration of climate change and the interests of stakeholder groups. European Jorunal of Forest Research 126:225–239

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gordon JC, Lyons J (1997) The emerging role of science and scientists in ecosystem management. In: Kohm KA, Franklin JF (eds) Creating a forestry for the 21st century. The science of ecosystem management. Island Press, Washington, DC, pp 447–453

    Google Scholar 

  • Gough AD, Innes JL, Allen SD (2008) Development of common indicators of sustainable forest management. Ecological Indicators 8:425–430

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gregory R, Failing L, Ohlson D, McDaniels TL (2006) Some pitfalls of an overemphasis on science in environmental risk management decisions. Journal of Risk Research 9:717–735

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Grimm V, Railsback SF (2005) Individual-based modelling and ecology. Princeton University Press, Princeton, 428 pp

    Google Scholar 

  • Guitouni A, Martel JM (1998) Tentative guidelines to help choosing an appropriate MCDA method. European Journal of Operational Research 109:501–521

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hajkowicz SA (2008) Supporting multi-stakeholder environmental decisions. Journal of Environmental Management 88:607–614

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hasenauer H (2006) Concepts within growth modelling. In: Hasenauer H (ed) Sustainable forest management. Growth models for Europe. Springer, Berlin, pp 3–18

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Hickey GM, Innes JL, Kozak RA, Bull GQ, Vertinsky I (2005) Monitoring and information reporting for sustainable forest management: an international multiple case study analysis. Forest Ecology and Management 209:237–259

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hobbs NT (2003) Challenges and opportunities in integrating ecological knowledge across scales. Forest Ecology and Management 181:223–238

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, IPCC (2007) Climate Change 2007: the physical science basis. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. www.ipcc.ch. Accessed on 24 January 2009

  • Janssen R (1992) Multiobjective decision support for environmental management. Kluwer, Dordrecht, 232 pp

    Google Scholar 

  • Johnson KN, Bettinger P, Kline J, Spies TA, Lennette M, Lettman G, Garber-Yonts B, Larsen T (2007) Simulating forest structure, timber production, and socioeconomic effects in a multi-owner province. Ecological Applications 17:34–47

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kangas A, Kangas J (2004) Probability, possibility and evidence: approaches to consider risk and uncertainty in forestry decision analysis. Forest Policy and Economics 6:169–188

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kangas A, Kangas J (2005) Multiple criteria decision support in forest management—the approach, methods applied, and experiences gained. Forest Ecology and Management 207:133–143

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kant S (2003) Extending the boundaries of forest economics. Forest Policy and Economics 5:39–56

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kates RW, Clark WC, Corell R, Hall JM, Jaeger CC, Lowe I, others (2001) Environment and development: sustainability science. Science 2001:641–642

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Keane RE, Austin M, Field C, Huth A, Lexer MJ, Peters D, Solomon A, Wyckoff P (2001) Tree mortality in gap models: application to climate change. Climatic Change 51:509–540

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Keeney RL, Raiffa H (1993) Decisions with multiple objectives, preferences and value tradeoffs. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 569 pp

    Google Scholar 

  • Kimmins JP, Blanco JA, Seely B, Welham C, Scoullar K (2008) Complexity in modelling forest ecosystems: how much is enough? Forest Ecology and Management 256:1646–1658

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kurttila M, Muinonen E, Leskinen P, Kilpeläinen H, Pykäläinen J (2009) An approach for examining the effects of preferential uncertainty on the contents of forest management plan at stand and holding level. European Journal of Forest Research 128:37–50

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Landsberg J (2003) Modelling forest ecosystems: state of the art, challenges, and future directions. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 33:385–397

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Landsberg JJ, Waring RH (1997) A generalised model of forest productivity using simplified concepts of radiation-use efficiency, carbon balance and partitioning. Forest Ecology and Management 95:209–228

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Larocque GR, Bhatti JS, Boutin R, Chertov O (2008) Uncertainty analysis in carbon cycle models of forest ecosystems: research needs and development of a theoretical framework to estimate error propagation. Ecological Modelling 219:400–412

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lasch P, Badeck FW, Suckow F, Lindner M, Mohr P (2005) Model-based analysis of management alternatives at stand and regional level in Brandenburg (Germany). Forest Ecology and Management 207:59–74

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lexer MJ, Vacik H, Palmetzhofer D, Oitzinger G (2005) A decision support tool to improve forestry extension services for small private landowners in southern Austria. Computers and Electronics in Agriculture 49:81–102

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Liski J, Palosuo T, Peltoniemi M, Sievänen R (2005) Carbon and decomposition model Yasso for forest soils. Ecological Modelling 189:168–182

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Loehle C (1997) A hypothesis testing framework for evaluating ecosystem model performance. Ecological Modelling 97:153–165

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Loehle C, MacCracken JG, Runde D, Hicks L (2002) Forest Management at Landscape Scales. Solving the problems. Journal of Forestry 100(6):25–33

    Google Scholar 

  • Lootsma FA (1999) Multi-criteria decision analysis via ratio and difference judgments. Applied optimization, vol 29. Kluwer, Dordrecht, 285 pp

    Google Scholar 

  • Mäkelä A, Landsberg J, Ek AR, Burk TE, Ter-Mikaelian M, Agren GI, Oliver CD, Puttonen P (2000) Process-based models for forest ecosystem management: current state of the art and challenges for practical implementation. Tree Physiology 20:289–298

    Google Scholar 

  • Maser C, Bormann BT, Brookes MH, Kiester AR, Weigand JF (1994) Sustainable forestry through adaptive ecosystem management is an open-ended experiment. In: Maser C (ed) Sustainable forestry: philosophy, science, and economics. St. Lucie Press, Delray Beach, pp 303–340

    Google Scholar 

  • McCool SF, Stankey GH (2004) Indicators of sustainability: challenges and opportunities at the interface of science and policy. Environmental Management 33:294–305

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • McMurtrie RE, Landsberg JJ (1993) Using a simulation model to evaluate the effects of water and nutrients on the growth and carbon partitioning of Pinus radiata. Forest Ecology and Management 52:243–260

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Meitner MJ, Sheppard SRJ, Cavens D, Gandy R, Picard P, Harshaw H, Harrison D (2005) The multiple roles of environmental data visualization in evaluating alternative forest management strategies. Computers and Electronics in Agriculture 49:192–205

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mendoza GA, Martins H (2006) Multi-criteria decision analysis in natural resource management: a critical review of methods and new modeling paradigms. Forest Ecology and Management 230:1–22

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mendoza GA, Prabhu R (2000) Multiple criteria decision making approaches to assessing forest sustainability using criteria and indicators: a case study. Forest Ecology and Management 131:107–126

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mendoza GA, Prabhu R (2003) Qualitative multi-criteria approaches to assessing indicators of sustainable forest resource management. Forest Ecology and Management 174:329–343

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mendoza GA, Prabhu R (2005) Combining participatory modeling and multi-criteria analysis for community-based forest management. Forest Ecology and Management 207:145–156

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mendoza GA, Macoun P, Prabhu R, Sukadri D, Purnomo H, Hartanto H (1999) Guidelines for applying multi-criteria analysis to the assessment of criteria and indicators. Center for International Forestry Research, Jakarta, 82 pp

    Google Scholar 

  • Miina J, Eerikäinen K, Hasenauer H (2006) Modeling forest regeneration. In: Hasenauer H (ed) Sustainable forest management. Growth models for Europe. Springer, Berlin, pp 93–110

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Mintzberg H, Raisinghani D, Theoret A (1976) The structure of unstructured decision processes. Administrative Science Quarterly 21:246–275

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mladenoff DJ (2004) LANDIS and forest landscape models. Ecological Modelling 180:7–19

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mollaghasemi M, Pet-Edwards J (1997) Technical briefing: making multiple-objective decisions. IEEE Computer Society Press, Los Alamitos, 91 pp

    Google Scholar 

  • Mowrer HT (2000) Uncertainty in natural resource decision support systems: sources, interpretation, and importance. Computers and Electronics in Agriculture 27:139–154

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Munda G (2005) Measuring sustainability: a multi-criterion framework. Environment, Development and Sustainability 7:117–134

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nelson J (2003) Forest-level models and challenges for their successful application. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 33:422–429

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ness B, Urbel-Piirsalu E, Anderberg S, Olsson L (2007) Categorising tools for sustainability assessment. Ecological Economics 60:498–508

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Niemeijer D (2002) Developing indicators for environmental policy: data-driven and theory-driven approaches examined by example. Environmental Science and Policy 5:91–103

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pearce D, Putz FE, Vanclay JK (2003) Sustainable forestry in the tropics: panacea or folly? Forest Ecology and Management 172:229–247

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Peng C (2000) Understanding the role of forest simulation models in sustainable forest management. Environmental Impact Assessment Review 20:481–501

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Peng C, Liu J, Dang Q, Apps MJ, Jiang H (2002) TRIPLEX: a generic hybrid model for predicting forest growth and carbon and nitrogen dynamics. Ecological Modelling 153:109–130

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Porté A, Bartelink HH (2002) Modelling mixed forest growth: a review of models for forest management. Ecological Modelling 150:141–188

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Prabhu R, Colfer CJP, Venkateswarlu P, Tan LC, Soekmadi R, Wollenberg E (1996) Testing criteria and indicators for the sustainable management of forests. Phase I. Final Report. Center for International Forestry Research, Jakarta, 217 pp

    Google Scholar 

  • Pretzsch H (2001) Modellierung des Waldwachstums. Parey, Berlin, 341 pp

    Google Scholar 

  • Pretzsch H, Grote R, Reineking B, Rötzer T, Seifert S (2008) Models for forest ecosystem management: a European perspective. Annals of Botany 101:1065–1087

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Price DT, Zimmermann NE, van der Meer PJ, Lexer MJ, Leadley P, Jorritsma ITM, Schaber J, Clark DF, Lasch P, McNulty S, Wu J, Smith B (2001) Regeneration in gap models: priority issues for studying forest responses to climate change. Climatic Change 51:475–508

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pukkala T (ed) (2002) Multi-objective forest planning. Managing forest ecosystems, vol 6. Kluwer, Dordrecht, 207 pp

    Google Scholar 

  • Pukkala T (2006) The use of multi-criteria decision analysis and multi-objective optimisation in forest planning. In: Hasenauer H (ed) Sustainable forest management: growth models for Europe. Springer, Berlin, pp 263–284

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Rametsteiner E (2001) SFM indicators as tools in political and economic context: actual and potential roles. In: Raison RJ, Brown AG, Flinn DW (eds) Criteria and indicators for sustainable forest management. IUFRO Research Series, vol 7. CABI Publishing, Wallingford, pp 107–130

  • Rametsteiner E, Pülzl H, Bach H, Alkan-Olsson J (2009) Sustainability indicator development—science or political negotiation? Ecological Indicators. doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2009.06.009 (in press)

  • Rauscher HM (1999) Ecosystem management decision support for federal forests in the United States: a review. Forest Ecology and Management 114:173–197

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rauscher HM, Lloyd FT, Loftis DL, Twery MJ (2000) A practical decision-analysis process for forest ecosystem management. Computers and Electronics in Agriculture 27:195–226

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rauscher HM, Schmoldt DL, Vacik H (2007) Information and knowledge management in support of sustainable forestry: a review. In: Reynolds KM, Thomson AJ, Köhl M, Shannon MA, Ray D, Rennolls K (eds) Sustainable forestry: from monitoring and modelling to knowledge management and policy science. CABI Publishing, Oxfordshire, pp 439–460

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Renolls K, Tomé M, McRoberts RE, Vanclay JK, LeMay V, Guan BT, Gertner GZ (2007) Potential contribution of statistics and modelling to sustainable forest management: review and synthesis. In: Reynolds KM, Thomson AJ, Köhl M, Shannon MA, Ray D, Rennolls K (eds) Sustainable forestry: from monitoring and modelling to knowledge management and policy science. CABI Publishing, Oxfordshire, pp 314–341

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Reynolds KM, Johnson KN, Gordon SN (2003) The science/policy interface in logic-based evaluation of forest ecosystem sustainability. Forest Policy and Economics 5:433–446

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Reynolds KM, Twery M, Lexer MJ, Vacik H, Ray D, Shao G, Borges JG (2008) Decision support systems in forest management. In: Burstein F, Holsapple CW (eds) Handbook on decision support systems, vol 2. Springer, Berlin, pp 499–533

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Robinson AP, Ek AR (2003) Description and validation of a hybrid model of forest growth and stand dynamics for the Great Lakes region. Ecological Modelling 170:73–104

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Running SW, Hunt ER Jr (1993) Generalization of a forest ecosystem process model for other biomes, BIOME-BGC, and an application for global scale models. In: Ehleringer JR, Field C (eds) Scaling physiological processes leaf to globe. Academic Press, San Diego, pp 141–158

    Google Scholar 

  • Schelhaas MJ, Kramer K, Peltola H, van der Werf DC, Wijdeven SMJ (2007) Introducing tree interactions in wind damage simulation. Ecological Modelling 207:197–209

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Scheller RM, Domingo JB, Sturtevant BR, Williams JS, Rudy A, Gustafson EJ, Mladenoff DJ (2007) Design, development, and application of LANDIS-II, a spatial landscape simulation model with flexible temporal and spatial resolution. Ecological Modelling 201:409–419

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Searcy C, McCartney D, Karapetrovic S (2008) Identifying priorities for action in corporate sustainable development indicator programs. Business Strategy and the Environment 17:137–148

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Seely B, Nelson J, Wells R, Peter B, Meitner M, Anderson A, Harshaw H, Sheppard S, Bunnell FL, Kimmins H, Harrison D (2004) The application of a hierarchical, decision-support system to evaluate multi-objective forest management strategies: a case study in northeastern British Columbia, Canada. Forest Ecology and Management 199:283–305

    Google Scholar 

  • Seidl R, Lexer MJ, Jäger D, Hönninger K (2005) Evaluating the accuracy and generality of a hybrid forest patch model. Tree Physiology 25:939–951

    Google Scholar 

  • Seidl R, Baier P, Rammer W, Schopf A, Lexer MJ (2007a) Modelling tree mortality by bark beetle infestation in Norway spruce forests. Ecological Modelling 206:383–399

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Seidl R, Rammer W, Jäger D, Currie WS, Lexer MJ (2007b) Assessing trade-offs between carbon sequestration and timber production within a framework of multi-purpose forestry in Austria. Forest Ecology and Management 248:64–79

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Seidl R, Schelhaas MJ, Lindner M, Lexer MJ (2009) Modelling bark beetle disturbances in a large scale forest scenario model to assess climate change impacts and evaluate adaptive. Regional Environmental Change 9:101–119

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Siebenhüner B, Barth V (2005) The role of computer modelling in participatory integrated assessments. Environmental Impact Assessment Review 25:367–389

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Spangenberg J (2008) Second order governance: learning processes to identify indicators. Corporate Social Responsibility and Environmental Management 15:125–139

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Spash CL, Vatn A (2006) Transferring environmental value estimates: issues and alternatives. Ecological Economics 60:379–388

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Stage AR (2003) How forest models are connected to reality: evaluation criteria for their use in decision support. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 33:410–421

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Stankey GH, Clark RN, Bliss J (2003) Fostering compatible forest resource management: the conditional nature of social acceptability. In: Monserud RA, Haynes RW, Johnson AC (eds) Compatible forest management. Managing forest ecosystems, vol 8. Kluwer, Dordrecht, pp 453–480

    Google Scholar 

  • Stankey GH, Clark RN, Bormann BT (2005) Adaptive management of natural resources: theory, concepts, and management institutions. PNW-GTR-654. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Portland, 73 pp

  • Sturtevant BR, Fall A, Kneeshaw DD, Simon NPP, Papaik MJ, Berninger K, Doyon F, Morgan DG, Messier C (2007) A toolkit modeling approach for sustainable forest management. Ecology and Society 12(2), article no. 7

    Google Scholar 

  • Sverdrup H, Stjernquist I (eds) (2002) Developing principles and models for sustainable forestry in Sweden. Managing forest ecosystems, vol 5. Kluwer, Dordrecht, 480 pp

    Google Scholar 

  • Tarp P, Helles F (1995) Multi-criteria decision-making in forest management planning: an overview. Journal of Forest Economics 1:273–306

    Google Scholar 

  • Triantaphyllou E, Shu B, Nieto Sanchez SN, Ray T (1998) Multi-criteria decision making: an operations research approach. In: Webster JG (ed) Encyclopedia of electrical and electronics engineering, vol 15. Wiley, New York, pp 175–186

    Google Scholar 

  • Twery MJ, Knopp PD, Thomasma SA, Rauscher HM, Nute DE, Potter WD, Maier F, Wang J, Dass M, Uchiyama H, Glende A, Hoffman RE (2005) NED-2: a decision support system for integrated forest ecosystem management. Computers and Electronics in Agriculture 49:24–43

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Urban DL, Acevedo MF, Garman SL (1999) Scaling fine-scale processes to large-scale patterns using models derived from models: meta-models. In: Mladenoff DJ, Baker WL (eds) Spatial modelling of forest landscape change: approaches and applications. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 70–98

    Google Scholar 

  • Vacik H, Wolfslehner B, Seidl R, Lexer MJ (2007) Integrating the DPSIR-approach and the Analytic Network Process for the assessment of forest management strategies. In: Reynolds KM, Thomson AJ, Köhl M, Shannon MA, Ray D, Rennolls K (eds) From monitoring and modelling to knowledge management and policy science. CABI Publishing, Oxfordshire, pp 393–410

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • van der Sluijs JP (2002) A way out of the credibility crisis of models used in integrated environmental assessment. Futures 34:133–146

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • van der Sluijs JP, Janssen PHM, Petersen AC, Kloprogge P, Risbey JS, Tuinstra W, Ravetz JR (2004) RIVM/MNP Guidance for Uncertainty Assessment and Communication: Tool Catalogue for Uncertainty Assessment. RIVM/MNP Guidance for Uncertainty Assessment and Communication Series, vol 4, 60 pp, ISBN 90-393-3797-7

  • van der Sluijs JP, Craye M, Funtowicz S, Kloprogge P, Ravetz J, Risbey J (2005) Combining quantitative and qualitative measures of uncertainty in model-based environmental assessment: the NUSAP system. Risk Analysis 25:481–492

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • von Teuffel K, Hein S, Kotar M, Preuhsler EP, Puumalainen J, Weinfurter P (2006) End user needs and requirements. In: Hasenauer H (ed) Sustainable forest management. Growth models for Europe. Springer, Berlin, pp 19–38

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • von Winterfeldt D, Edwards W (1986) Decision analysis and behavioural research. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 604 pp

    Google Scholar 

  • Walker WE, Harremoës P, Rotmans J, van der Sluijs JP, van Asselt MBA, Janssen P, Krayer von Krauss MP (2003) Defining uncertainty. A conceptual basis for uncertainty management in model-based decision support. Integrated Assessment 4:5–17

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Walters CJ, Holling CS (1990) Large-scale management experiments and learning by doing. Ecology 71:2060–2068

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wang S (2004) One hundred faces of sustainable forest management. Forest Policy and Economics 6:205–213

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wolfslehner B, Vacik H (2008) Evaluating sustainable forest management strategies with the Analytic Network Process in a Pressure-State-Response-Framework. Journal of Environmental Management 88:1–10

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wolfslehner B, Vacik H, Lexer MJ (2005) Application of the Analytic Network Process in multi-criteria analysis of sustainable forest management. Forest Ecology and Management 207:157–170

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Woltjer M, Rammer W, Brauner M, Seidl R, Mohren GMJ, Lexer MJ (2008) Coupling a 3D patch model and a rockfall module to assess rockfall protection in mountain forests. Journal of Environmental Management 87:373–388

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgments

B. Wolfslehner received funding from the European Community’s Sixth Framework Programme within the Integrated Project “EFORWOOD”, contract no. 518128. R. Seidl received funding from a Marie Curie Fellowship within the European Community’s Seventh Framework Programme (grant agreement 237085). He furthermore acknowledges funding of the Österreichische Bundesforste AG (project grant ‘ADAPT’) as well as the Austrian Federal Ministry for Agriculture, Forestry, Environment and Water Management (Grant LE.3.2.3/00009-IV/2/2006). We are grateful to M. J. Lexer and H. Vacik for their inspiration and long-time support of our work. We furthermore thank three anonymous reviewers for helping to improve an earlier version of the manuscript.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Rupert Seidl.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Wolfslehner, B., Seidl, R. Harnessing Ecosystem Models and Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis for the Support of Forest Management. Environmental Management 46, 850–861 (2010). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00267-009-9414-5

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00267-009-9414-5

Keywords