Abstract
Purpose
The exact phenoconversion time from isolated rapid eye movement (REM) sleep behavior disorder (iRBD) to synucleinopathies remains unpredictable. This study investigated whole-brain dopaminergic damage pattern (DDP) with disease progression and predicted phenoconversion time in individual patients.
Methods
Age-matched 33 iRBD patients and 20 healthy controls with 11C-CFT-PET scans were enrolled. The patients were followed up 2–10 (6.7 ± 2.0) years. The phenoconversion year was defined as the base year, and every 2 years before conversion was defined as a stage. Support vector machine with leave-one-out cross-validation strategy was used to perform prediction.
Results
Dopaminergic degeneration of iRBD was found to occur about 6 years before conversion and then abnormal brain regions gradually expanded. Using DDP, area under curve (AUC) was 0.879 (90% sensitivity and 88.3% specificity) for predicting conversion in 0–2 years, 0.807 (72.7% sensitivity and 83.3% specificity) in 2–4 years, 0.940 (100% sensitivity and 84.6% specificity) in 4–6 years, and 0.879 (100% sensitivity and 80.7% specificity) over 6 years. In individual patients, predicted stages correlated with whole-brain dopaminergic levels (r = − 0.740, p < 0.001).
Conclusion
Our findings suggest that DDP could accurately predict phenoconversion time of individual iRBD patients, which may help to screen patients for early intervention.
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Data availability
The data that support the findings of this study are available upon reasonable request.
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Funding
This work was financially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (81401135, 12175268, 12205329, 11975249, 81902282, 81771483, 81361120393), Medical Innovation Research Project of Shanghai Science and Technology Commission (21Y11903300), and Youth Medical Talents-Medical Imaging Practitioner Program by Shanghai Municipal Health Commission and Shanghai Medical and Health Development Foundation (SHWRS(2020)_087).
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B.N and P.W led the project. B.S and H.Y were responsible for the study concept and the design of the study. S.F carried out the neuroimaging data preprocessing and statistical analysis. J.G and Q.X were involved in sample analyses and data interpretation. S.F and J.G wrote the manuscript. Q.X, S.Z, C.Z, B.S, H.Y, B.N, and P.W made substantial contributions to the manuscript and provided critical comments. H.L, J.W, Y.G, T.Z, and S.Z participated in the discussions of the results and the manuscript. All authors had access to the data generated during the study, including the statistical analysis, and agreed with the decision to submit the article for publication.
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The institutional review board of Huashan Hospital affiliated with Fudan University approved the study (No. KY2013-336).
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Feng, S., Ge, J., Zhao, S. et al. Dopaminergic damage pattern predicts phenoconversion time in isolated rapid eye movement sleep behavior disorder. Eur J Nucl Med Mol Imaging 51, 159–167 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00259-023-06402-1
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00259-023-06402-1