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Spatio-temporal estimation of shallow landslide hazard triggered by rainfall using a three-dimensional model

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Environmental Geology

Abstract

A shallow landslide triggered by rainfall can be forecast in real-time by modeling the relationship between rainfall infiltration and decrease of slope stability. This paper describes a promising approach that combines an improved three-dimensional slope stability model with an approximate method based on the Green and Ampt model, to estimate the time–space distribution of shallow landslide hazards. Once a forecast of rainfall intensity and slope stability-related data, e.g., terrain and geology data, are acquired, this approach is shown to have the ability to estimate the variation of slope stability of a wide natural area during rainfall and to identify the location of potential failure surfaces. The effectiveness of the estimation procedures described has been tested by comparison with a one-dimensional method and by application to a landslide-prone area in Japan.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Institute of Environmental Systems, Kyushu University, Hakozaki 6-10-1, Higashi Ku, Fukuoka, 812-8581, Japan

    Cheng Qiu, Tetsuro Esaki, Yasuhiro Mitani & Chunxiang Wang

  2. Civil and Environmental Engineering School, The University of Science and Technology Beijing, No. 30 Xueyuan Road, Haidian District, Beijing, China

    Mowen Xie

Authors
  1. Cheng Qiu
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  2. Tetsuro Esaki
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  3. Mowen Xie
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  4. Yasuhiro Mitani
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  5. Chunxiang Wang
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Correspondence to Cheng Qiu.

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Qiu, C., Esaki, T., Xie, M. et al. Spatio-temporal estimation of shallow landslide hazard triggered by rainfall using a three-dimensional model. Environ Geol 52, 1569–1579 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00254-006-0601-x

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00254-006-0601-x

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