Abstract
The comment by Julian (2020) criticizes aspects of our paper, “Nitrogen enrichment, altered stoichiometry, and coral reef decline at Looe Key, Florida Keys, USA.” The comment begins by misrepresenting our extensive literature review, while providing no justification for the claim of a “skewed reading.” Julian’s critique focused on methods of data handling, statistics, and spatial awareness, which we demonstrate in every case to be either irrelevant or incorrect. We provide additional supporting data that refute these claims. For example, Julian criticized the removal of data points below the method detection limits (MDLs), but when these points are included, the results do not change. Further, Julian criticized our removal of outliers, but so few points were excluded that it did not change the results of the statistical analyses. Julian also misinterpreted the methods of our correlation and stepwise regression analyses but did not dispute the Kruskal–Wallis tests of our 30-year dataset that revealed significant decadal changes. Julian’s closing paragraph is replete with misinformation and demonstrates a lack of understanding as to how increased freshwater flows associated with Everglades Restoration have led to a worsening of algal blooms and coral decline in the Florida Keys National Marine Sanctuary (FKNMS). This comment represents a smokescreen to confuse the scientific community about the physical connectivity of the Everglades basin and the FKNMS. Past water management policies based on politics, not sound science, have caused irreparable and ongoing environmental damage to sensitive coral reef communities in the FKNMS.
References
Alemu T, Weyuma T, Alemayehu E, Ambelu A (2018) Identifying riparian vegetation as indicator of stream water quality in the Gilgel Gibe catchment, southwestern Ethiopia. Ecohydrol 11(1):e1915. https://doi.org/10.1002/eco.1915
Andersen F, Anjum RL, Rocca E (2019) Philosophical bias is the one bias that science cannot avoid. eLIFE. https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.44929
Bell PR (1992) Eutrophication and coral reefs—some examples in the Great Barrier Reef Lagoon. Water Res 26(5):553–568. https://doi.org/10.1016/0043-1354(92)90228-V
Bessel-Browne P, Negri AP, Fisher R, Clode PL, Jones R (2017) Impacts of light limitation on corals and crustose coralline algae. Sci Rep 7:11553. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-11783-z
Boyer JN, Jones RD (2002) A view from the bridge: external and internal forces affecting the ambient water quality of the Florida Keys National Marine Sanctuary. In: Porter JW, Porter KG (eds) The everglades, Florida Bay, and coral reefs of the Florida Keys. CRC Press, Boca Raton, pp 609–628
Boyer JN, Fourqurean JW, Jones RJ (1999) Seasonal and long-term trends in the water quality of Florida Bay. Estuaries 22(2):417–430
Brand LE (2002) The transport of terrestrial nutrients to South Florida coastal waters. In: Porter JW, Porter KG (eds) The everglades, Florida Bay, and coral reefs of the Florida Keys. CRC Press, Boca Raton, pp 353–406
Briceno HO, Boyer JN (2018) 2017 Annual report of the water quality monitoring project for the water quality protection program of the Florida Keys National Marine Sanctuary. Technical report of the southeast environmental research center, Florida International University
Cannizzaro JP, Barnes BB, Hu C, Corcoran AA, Hubbard KA, Muhlbach E, Sharp WC, Brand LE, Kelble CR (2019) Remote detection of cyanobacteria blooms in an optically shallow subtropical lagoonal estuary using MODIS data. Remote Sens Environ 231:111227. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2019.111227
Clark MJ, Whitfield PH (1994) Conflicting perspectives about detection limits and about the censoring of environmental data. J Am Water Resour Assoc 30:1063–1079. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1752-1688.1994.tb03353.x
Clarke JU (1998) Evaluation of censored data methods to allow statistical comparisons among very small samples with below detection limit observations. Environ Sci Technol 32(1):177–183. https://doi.org/10.1021/es970521v
Davis SM (1994) Phosphorus inputs and vegetation sensitivity in the Everglades. In: Davis SM, Ogden JC (eds) Everglades. The Ecosystem and Its Restoration. St. Lucie Press, Boca Raton, pp 357–378
D’Elia CF, Sanders JG, Capone DG (1989) Analytical chemistry for environmental sciences. Env Sci Tech 23(7):768–774. https://doi.org/10.1021/es00065a005
Dustan P, Halas JC (1987) Changes in the reef-coral community of Carysfort reef, Key Largo, Florida: 1974 to 1982. Coral Reefs 6:91–106. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00301378
Fishman MJ (1993) Methods of analysis by the US Geological Survey National Water Quality Laboratory: determination of inorganic and organic constituents in water and fluvial sediments. US Department of the Interior, US Geological Survey. pp. 93–125 https://doi.org/10.3133/ofr93125
Florida Department of Environmental Protection (FDEP) (2016) Final Integrated water quality assessment for Florida: 2016 Sections 303(d), 305(b), and 314 (2016) Report and Listing Update. https://floridadep.gov/sites/default/files/2016-Integrated-Report.pdf. Accessed 20 Jan 2020
Fowler AE, Leffler JW, Johnson SP, DeLancey LB, Sanger DM (2018) Relationships between meteorological and water quality variables and fisheries-independent white shrimp (Litopenaeus setiferus) catch in the ACE basin NERR. South Carolina Estuar Coasts 41(1):79–88
Glibert PM, Heil CA, Hollander D, Revilla M, Hoare A, Alexander J, Murasko S (2004) Evidence for dissolved organic nitrogen and phosphorus uptake during a cyanobacterial bloom in Florida Bay. Mar Ecol Prog Ser 280:73–83. https://doi.org/10.3354/meps280073
Hallock P, Schlager W (1986) Nutrient excess and the demise of coral reefs and carbonate platforms. Palaios. https://doi.org/10.2307/3514476
Hebbali A (2018) Olsrr: tools for building Ols regression models. R package version 0.5, 1
Helsel DR, Hirsch RM (1992) Statistical methods in water resources, 49th edn. Elsevier, Amsterdam
Hu C, Hackett KE, Callahan MK, Andréfouët S, Wheaton JL, Porter JW, Muller-Karger FE (2003) The 2002 ocean color anomaly in the Florida Bight : a cause of local coral reef decline? Geophys Res Lett 30(3):1151. https://doi.org/10.1029/2002GL016479
Hu C, Muller-Karger FE, Vargo GA, Neely MB, Johns E (2004) Linkages between coastal runoff and the Florida Keys ecosystem: a study of a dark plume event. Geophys Res Lett 31:L15307. https://doi.org/10.1029/2004GL020382
Jaap WC, Szmant A, Jaap K, Dupont J, Clarke R, Somerfield P, Ault JS, Bohnsack JA, Kellison SG, Kellison GT (2008) A perspective on the biology of Florida Keys coral reefs. In: Riegl BM, Dodge R (eds) Coral Reefs of the USA. Springer, Berlin, pp 75–125
Julian P II (2020) Getting the science right to protect and restore our environment. A critique of Lapointe et al. (2019) Nitrogen enrichment, altered stoichiometry, and coral reef decline at Looe Key, Florida Keys, USA: a 3-decade study. Mar Biol. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00227-020-3667-1
Julian P, Freitag A, Payne GG, Xue SK (2019) Chapter 3A: water quality in the Everglades Protection Areas. In 2018 South Florida environmental report. South Florida Water Management District, West Palm Beach, FL
Keating D (1992) Blanket of algae smothers Keys reef: 60-mile growth creates dead zone. Miami Herald, June 17
Klein CJ, Orlando SP (1994) A spatial framework for water-quality management in the Florida Keys National Marine Sanctuary. Bull Mar Sci 54(3):1036–1044
Lapointe BE (1997) Nutrient thresholds for bottom-up control of macroalgal blooms on coral reefs in Jamaica and south- east Florida. Limnol Oceanogr 42:1119–1131. https://doi.org/10.4319/lo.1997.42.5_part_2.1119
Lapointe BE (2004) Phosphorus-rich waters at Glover’s Reef, Belize? Mar Poll Bull 48:193–195
Lapointe BE, Smith NP (1987) A preliminary investigation of upwelling as a source of nutrients to Looe Key National Marine Sanctuary. NOAA Technical Memorandum. NOS MEMD 1, Marine Sanctuaries Division
Lapointe BE, Clark MW (1992) Nutrient inputs from the watershed and coastal eutrophication in the Florida Keys. Estuar Coast 15(4):465–476. https://doi.org/10.2307/1352391
Lapointe BE, Matzie WR (1996) Effects of stormwater nutrient discharges on eutrophication processes in nearshore waters of the Florida Keys. Estuaries 19(2):422–435. https://doi.org/10.2307/1352460
Lapointe BE, O'Connell JD, Garrett GS (1990) Nutrient couplings between on-site sewage disposal systems, groundwaters, and nearshore surface waters of the Florida Keys. Biogeochemistry 10(3):289–307. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00003149
Lapointe BE, Littler MM, Littler DS (1993) Modification of benthic community structure by natural eutrophication: the Belize Barrier Reef. In: Proceedings of the seventh international coral reef symposium, pp 323–334
Lapointe BE, Matzie WR, Barile PJ (2002) Biotic phase-shifts in Florida Bay and fore reef communities of the Florida Keys: linkages with historical freshwater flows and nitrogen loading from Everglades runoff. In: Porter JW, Porter KG (eds) The Everglades, Florida Bay, and Coral Reefs of the Florida Keys. CRC Press, Boca Raton, pp 629–648. https://doi.org/10.1201/9781420039412-28
Lapointe BE, Barile PJ, Matzie WR (2004) Anthropogenic nutrient enrichment of seagrass and coral reef communities in the Lower Florida Keys: discrimination of local versus regional nitrogen sources. J Exp Mar Biol Ecol 308(1):23–58. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jembe.2004.01.019
Lapointe BE, Bedford BJ, Littler MM, Littler DS (2007) Shifts in coral overgrowth by sponges and algae. Coral Reefs 26:515. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00338-007-0242-x
Lapointe BE, Brewton RA, Herren LW, Porter JW, Hu C (2019) Nitrogen enrichment, altered stoichiometry, and coral reef decline at Looe Key, Florida Keys, USA: a 3-decade study. Mar Biol 166:108. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00227-019-3538-9
Leavey-Roback SL, Sugar CA, Krasner SW, Suffet IHM (2016) NDMA formation during drinking water treatment: a multivariate analysis of factors influencing formation. Water Res 95:300–309. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.watres.2016.02.060
McLeod AI, Hipel KW, Bodo BA (1991) Trend analysis methodology for water quality time series. Environmetrics 2(2):169–200. https://doi.org/10.1002/env.3770020205
Meals DW, Spooner J, Dressing SA, Harcum JB (2011) Statistical analysis for monotonic trends, Tech Notes 6, November 2011. Developed for U.S Environmental Protection Agency by Tetra Tech Inc, Fairfax, p 23
Mozejko J (2012) Detecting and estimating trends of water quality parameters. Water Qual Monit Assess. https://doi.org/10.5772/33052
National Research Council (NRC) (2002) Florida Bay research programs and their relation to the Comprehensive Everglades Restoration Plan. National Academy Press, Washington
Newman MC, Dixon PM, Looney BB, Pinder JE (1989) Estimating mean and variance for environmental samples with below detection limit observations 1. JAWRA J Am Water Resour As 25(4):905–916
Nixon S (2009) Eutrophication and the macroscope. Hydrobiologia 629:5–19. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10750-009-9759-z
NOAA (1988) Results of a workshop on coral reef research and management in the Florida Keys: a blueprint for action. Technical Report. National Undersea Research Program, Florida
NOAA (1996) Florida Keys National Marine Sanctuary final management plan/environmental impact statement, vol 1. NOAA Silver Spring, Maryland
Pew Oceans Commission (2003) America’s living oceans: charting a course for sea change. Pew Oceans Commission, Arlington, pp 1–166
Pohlert T (2020) trend: non-parametric trend tests and change-point detection. R package version 0.2.0. https://cran.r-project.org/web/packages/trend/vignettes/trend.pdf. Accessed 20 Jan 2020
Porter JW, Kosmynin V, Patterson KL, Porter KG, Jaap WC, Wheaton JL, Hackett K, Lybolt M, Tsokos CP, Yanev G, Marcinek DM (2002) Detection of coral reef change by the Florida Keys coral reef monitoring project. In: Porter JW, Porter KG (eds) The Everglades, Florida Bay, and Coral Reefs of the Florida Keys. CRC Press, Boca Raton, pp 749–769. https://doi.org/10.1201/9781420039412-32
Redfield AC (1958) The biological control of chemical factors in the environment. Am Sci 46(3):230A–221. https://www.jstor.org/stable/27827150. Accessed 20 Jan 2020
Rosset S, Wiedenmann J, Reed AJ, D’Angelo C (2017) Phosphate deficiency promotes coral bleaching and is reflected by the ultrastructure of symbiotic dinoflagellates. Mar Pol Bull 118(1–2):180–187. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpolbul.2017.02.044
Rudnick DT, Chen Z, Childers DL, Fontaine TD (1999) Phosphorus and nitrogen inputs to Florida Bay: the importance of the Everglades watershed. Estuaries 22(2):398–416. https://doi.org/10.2307/1353207
Shantz AA, Burkepile DE (2014) Context-dependent effects of nutrient loading on the coral-algal mutualism. Ecology 95(7):1995–2005. https://doi.org/10.1890/13-1407.1
Shinn EA, Reese RS, Reich CD (1994) Fate and pathways of injection-well effluent in the Florida Keys. Open-file report 94-276. US Geological Survey, Department of the Interior, Washington
Simmons GM (1992) Importance of submarine groundwater discharge (SGWD) and seawater cycling to material flux across sediment water interfaces in marine environments. Mar Ecol Prog Ser 84:173–184
Smith NP (1994) Long-term Gulf-to-Atlantic transport through tidal channels in the Florida Keys. Bull Mar Sci 54(3):602–609
Smith NP, Pitts PA (2002) Regional-scale and long-term transport patterns in the Florida Keys. The Everglades, Florida Bay, and Coral Reefs of the Florida Keys: an ecosystem sourcebook. CRC Press, Boca Raton, pp 343–360
Smith SV, Kimmerer WJ, Laws EA, Brock RE, Walsh TW (1981) Kaneohe Bay sewage diversion experiment: perspectives on ecosystem responses to nutritional perturbation. Pac Sci 35(4):279–395
Top Z, Brand LE, Corbett RD, Burnett W, Chanton J (2001) Helium and radon as tracers of groundwater input to Florida Bay. J Coast Res 17(4):859–868
Vega-Thurber RL, Burkepile DE, Fuchs C, Shantz AA, McMinds R, Zaneveld JR (2014) Chronic nutrient enrichment increases prevalence and severity of coral disease and bleaching. Glob Chang Biol 20(2):544–554. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12450
Voss JD, Richardson LL (2006) Nutrient enrichment enhances black band disease progression in corals. Coral Reefs 25(4):569–576. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00338-006-0131-8
Wagner DE, Kramer P, Van Woesik R (2010) Species composition, habitat, and water quality influence coral bleaching in southern Florida. Mar Ecol Prog Ser 408:65–78. https://doi.org/10.3354/meps08584
Ward-Paige CA, Risk MJ, Sherwood OA (2005) Clionid sponge surveys on the Florida Reef Tract suggest land-based nutrient inputs. Mar Pollut Bull 51:570–579. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpolbul.2005.04.006
Wiedenmann J, D’Angelo C, Smith EG, Hunt AN, Legiret FE, Postle AD, Achterberg EP (2013) Nutrient enrichment can increase the susceptibility of reef corals to bleaching. Nat Clim Change 3(2):160–164. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1661
Yang X, Liu Q, Luo X, Zheng Z (2017) Spatial regression and prediction of water quality in a watershed with complex pollution sources. Sci Rep 7(1):8318. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-08254-w
Yentsch CS, Yentsch CM, Cullen JJ, Lapointe B, Phinney DA, Yentsch SW (2002) Sunlight and water transparency: cornerstones in coral research. J Exp Mar Biol Ecol 268(2):171–183. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0022-0981(01)00379-3
Zhao J, Hu C, Lapointe BE, Melo N, Johns EM, Smith RH (2013) Satellite-observed black water events off Southwest Florida: Implications for coral reef health in the Florida Keys National Marine Sanctuary. Rem Sens 5:415–431. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs510415
Zhou P, Huang J, Pontius RG, Hong H (2016) New insight into the correlations between land use and water quality in a coastal watershed of China: Does point source pollution weaken it? Sci Total Environ 543:591–600. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2015.11.063
Acknowledgements
This work was supported in part by the US NASA Earth Science Applied Sciences Program-Water Resources, Grant # 80NSSC19K1200.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Conflict of interest
The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.
Human and animal rights statement
This article does not contain any studies with human participants or animals performed by any of the authors.
Additional information
Responsible Editor: U. Sommer.
Publisher's Note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Lapointe, B.E., Brewton, R.A., Herren, L.W. et al. Sound science, not politics, must inform restoration of Florida Bay and the coral reefs of the Florida Keys. Mar Biol 167, 67 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00227-020-3669-z
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00227-020-3669-z