Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Recursive equilibrium in endogenous growth models with incomplete markets

  • Research Article
  • Published:
Economic Theory Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

This paper analyzes the existence of recursive equilibria in a class of convex growth models with incomplete markets. Households have identical CRRA-preferences, production displays constant returns to scale with respect to physical and human capital, and all markets are competitive. There are aggregate productivity shocks that affect aggregate returns to physical and human capital investment (stock returns and wages), and there are idiosyncratic shocks to human capital (idiosyncratic depreciation shocks) that only affect individual human capital returns. Aggregate and idiosyncratic shocks follow a joint Markov process. Conditional on the aggregate state, idiosyncratic shocks are independently distributed over time and identically distributed across households. Finally, households have the opportunity to trade assets in zero net supply with payoffs that depend on the aggregate shock, but markets are incomplete in the sense that there are no assets with payoffs depending on idiosyncratic shocks. It is shown that there exists a recursive equilibrium for which equilibrium prices (returns) only depend on the exogenous aggregate shock variable (the wealth distribution is not a relevant state variable). Moreover, the allocation associated with this recursive equilibrium is identical to the equilibrium allocation of an economy in which households live in autarky and face both aggregate and idiosyncratic risk.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Aiyagari R. (1994). Uninsured idiosyncratic risk and aggregate saving. Q J Econ 109:659–84

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Alvarez F., Stokey N. (1998). Dynamic programming with homogeneous functions. J Econ Theory 82:167–189

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Angeletos, G., Calvet, L.: Idiosyncratic production risk, growth, and the business cycle. Working paper (2004)

  • Atkeson A., Lucas R. (1992). On efficient distribution with private information. Rev Econ Stud 59:427–453

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Becker R., Boyd J. (1997). Capital theory, equilibrium analysis, and recursive utility. Blackwell, Oxford

    Google Scholar 

  • Becker R., Zilcha I. (1997). Stationary ramsey equilibria under uncertainty. J Econ Theory 75:122–141

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ben-Porath Y. (1967). The production of human capital and the life-cycle of earnings. J Polit Econ 75:352–365

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Caballe J., Santos M. (1993). On Endogenous growth with physical and human capital. J Polit Econ 101:1042–67

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Calvet L. (2001). Incomplete markets and volatility. J Econo Theory 98:295–338

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cole H., Kocherlakota N. (2001). Efficient allocations with hidden income and hidden storage. Rev Econ Stud 68:523–542

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Coleman W.J. II. (1992). Equilibrium in a production economy with an income tax. Econometrica 59:1091–1104

    MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Constantinides G., Duffie D. (1996). Asset pricing with heterogeneous consumers. J Polit Econ 104:219–240

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Datta M., Mirman, L., Morand, O., Reffett K.: Markoviam equilibrium in infinite-horizon economies with incomplete markets and public policy. Working paper (2004)

  • Den Haan W. (1997). Solving dynamic models with aggregate shocks and heterogenous agents. Macroecon Dyn 1:355–386

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Duffie D., Geanakoplos J., Mas-Colell A., Mc Lennan A. (1994). Stationary markov equilibria. Econometrica 62:745–781

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Greenwood J., Huffman G. (1995). On the existence of nonoptimal equilibria in dynamic stochastic economies. J Econ Theory 65:611–623

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Heaton J., Lucas D. (1996). Evaluating the Effects of Incomplete markets on risk sharing and asset pricing. J Political Econ 104:443–487

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hernandez A., Santos M. (1996). Competitive equilibria for infinite horizon economies with incomplete markets. J Econ Theory 71:102–130

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Huggett M. (1993). The risk-free rate in heterogenous-agent incomplete-market economies. J Econ Dyn Control 17:953–969

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Jacobson L., LaLonde R., Sullivan D. (1993). Earnings losses of displaced workers. Am Econ Rev 83:685–709

    Google Scholar 

  • Jones L., Manuelli R. (1993). A convex model of equilibrium growth: theory and policy implications. J Polit Econ 98:1008–1038

    Google Scholar 

  • Jones, L., Manuelli, R., Stacchetti E.: Fluctuations in convex models of endogenous growth I: Growth effects. Working paper (2003)

  • King R., Rebelo S. (1990). Public policy and economic growth. J Polit Econ 98:126–150

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Khan A., Ravikumar B. (2001). Growth and risk-sharing with private information. J Monet Econ 47:499–521

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Krebs T. (2003a). Human capital risk and economic growth. Q J Econ 118:709–745

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Krebs T. (2003b). Growth and welfare effects of business cycles in economies with idiosyncratic human capital risk. Rev Econ Dyn 6:846–868

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Krebs T. (2004). Non-existence of recursive equilibria on compact state spaces when markets are incomplete. J Econ Theory 115:134–150

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Krebs T., Wilson B. (2004). Asset returns in an endogenous growth model with incomplete markets. J~Econ Dyn Control 28:817–839

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Krusell P., Smith A. (1998). Income and wealth heterogeneity in the macroeconomy. J Polit Econ 106:867–896

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Levine D., Zame B. (1996). Debt constraints and equilibrium in infinite-horizon economies with incomplete markets. J Math Econ 26:103–131

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lungqvist L., Sargent T.: The European unemployment dilemma. J Polit Econ 106:514–550

  • Ljungqvist L., Sargent T. (2000). Recursive macroeconomic theory. MIT Press, Cambridge

    Google Scholar 

  • Lucas R. (1988). On the mechanics of economic development. J Monet Econ 22:3–42

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Magill M., Quinzii M. (1994). Infinite Horizon Incomplete Markets. Econometrica 62:853–880

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Magill M., Quinzii M. (1996). Theory of incomplete markets. MIT Press, Cambridge

    Google Scholar 

  • Magill M. Quinzii M. (2000). Infinite-horizon CAPM equilibrium. Econ Theory 15:103–138

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Miao, J.: Competitive equilibria of economies with a continuum of consumers and aggregate shocks. Working paper (2004)

  • Morand O., Reffett K. (2003). Existence and uniqueness of equilibrium in nonoptimal unbounded infinite horizon economies with capital. J Monet Econ 50:1351–1373

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Neal D. (1995). Industry-specific human capital: Evidence from displaced workers. J Labour Econ 13:653–677

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ortigueira S. (2000). A dynamic analysis of an endogenous growth model with leisure. Econ Theory 16:43–62

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Prescott E., Mehra R. (1980). Recursive competitive equilibrium: the case of homogenous households. Econometrica 48:1365–79

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rebelo S. (1991). Long-run policy analysis and long-run growth. J Polit Econ 99:500–521

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rios-Rull V. (1996). Life-cycle economies and aggregate fluctuations. Rev Econ Stud 63:465–490

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Stokey N., Lucas R. (1989). Recursive methods in economic dynamics. Harvard University Press, Cambridge

    Google Scholar 

  • Topel R. (1991). Specific capital, mobility, and wages: wages rise with job seniority. J Polit Econ 99:145–176

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wright, M.: Investment and Growth with limited commitment. Working Paper (2003)

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Tom Krebs.

Additional information

I would like to thank for helpful comments Peter Howitt, Bob Lucas, Michael Magill, Tomo Nakajima, Herakles Polemarchakis, Martine Quinzii, Kevin Reffett, an anonymous referee, and seminar participants at various universities and conferences.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Krebs, T. Recursive equilibrium in endogenous growth models with incomplete markets. Economic Theory 29, 505–523 (2006). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00199-005-0012-3

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00199-005-0012-3

Keywords

JEL Classification Numbers

Navigation