The aim of this paper is to investigate the return and volatility linkages among the Moroccan stock market and that of the USA and three European countries (France, Germany and UK) before and during the financial crisis. More specifically, we use stock returns in MASI, CAC, DAX, FTSE and NASDAQ as representatives of Moroccan, French, German, British and US markets, respectively. The data sample frequency is daily and spans from January 2002 to December 2012 excluding holidays. Using the estimation results of a bivariate VAR-BEKK GARCH model, we analyze the return and volatility spillover effects between the Moroccan market and the other considered markets. Moreover, the identification of break point due to the subprime crisis is made by Lee and Strazicich (Rev Econ Stat 85(4):1082–1089, 2003, Econ Bull 33(4):2483–2492, 2013), Papell and Prodan (J Money Credit Bank 38:1329–1349, 2006) and Prodan (J Bus Econ Stat 26(1):50–65, 2008) structural break tests. The empirical results indicate varying degrees of interdependence and spillover effects between the four considered major stock markets and the Moroccan emerging stock market before and after the global financial crisis.
Return and volatility spillovers Multivariate GARCH model VAR analysis Financial crisis Stock markets Break identification Conditional correlation
C5 C22 G1 G01 G15
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The views expressed herein are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of their institutions. The authors would like to express their sincere gratitude to the Editor-in-Chief, Prof. R. M. Kunst, and the anonymous referees for their constructive comments and helpful suggestions, which greatly improved the quality of this paper.
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