Abstract
Nickell et al. (Econ J 115(500):1–27, 2005) argue that unemployment rates cointegrate with labour market institutions in a panel of OECD countries. This paper replicates their Maddala–Wu panel cointegration test and shows that this test is only valid when (i) the number of countries tends to infinity and (ii) the underlying country-specific cointegration tests are independent. Their finding of cointegration does not survive when small sample properties and heterogeneous cross-sectional dependencies are taken into account.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Bai J, Kao C (2005) On the estimation and inference of a panel cointegration model with cross-sectional dependence. Center for Policy Research Working Papers 75, Center for Policy Research, Maxwell School, Syracuse University
Baltagi BH, Li Q (1995) Testing ar(1) against ma(1) disturbances in an error component model. J Econom 68(1): 133–151
Elliott G, Rothenberg TJ, Stock JH (1996) Efficient tests for an autoregressive unit root. Econometrica 64(4): 813–36
Engel C (2000) Long-run ppp may not hold after all. J Int Econ 51(2): 243–273
Fisher R (1932) Statistical methods for research workers, 4th edn. Edinburgh
Gengenbach C, Palm FC, Urbain JP (2005) Panel cointegration testing in the presence of common factors. Research Memoranda 050, Maastricht: METEOR, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization
Kao C (1999) Spurious regression and residual-based tests for cointegration in panel data. J Econom 90(1): 1–44
Kao CW, Chiang MH (2000) Advances in econometrics, vol 15, chap On the estimation and inference of a cointegration regression in panel data, pp 179–222
Mackinnon JG (1996) Numerical distribution functions for unit root and cointegration tests. J Appl Econom 11(6): 601–618
Maddala GS, Wu S (1999) A comparative study of unit root tests with panel data and a new simple test. Oxf Bull Econ Stat 61: 631–52
Ng S, Perron P (2001) Lag length selection and the construction of unit root tests with good size and power. Econometrica 69(6): 1519–1554
Nickell S, Nunziata L, Ochel W (2005) Unemployment in the oecd since the 1960s: what do we know?. Econ J 115(500): 1–27
Pedroni P (2004) Panel cointegration: asymptotic and finite sample properties of pooled time series tests with an application to the ppp hypothesis. Econom Theory 20(03): 597–625
Phillips PCB, Moon HR (1999) Linear regression limit theory for nonstationary panel data. Econometrica 67(5): 1057–1112
Saikkonen P (1991) Asymptotically efficient estimation of cointegration regressions. Econom Theory 7(1): 1–21
Stock JH, Watson MW (1993) A simple estimator of cointegrating vectors in higher order integrated systems. Econometrica 61(4): 783–820
Strauss J, Yigit T (2003) Shortfalls of panel unit root testing. Econ Lett 81(3): 309–313
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
We acknowledge financial support from the Interuniversity Attraction Poles Program, Belgian Science Policy, contract no. P5/21. The usual disclaimer applies.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Berger, T., Everaert, G. A replication note on unemployment in the OECD since the 1960s: what do we know?. Empir Econ 36, 479–485 (2009). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-008-0207-0
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-008-0207-0